Vivid-Airplane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

19.4%

Resolved

133

Trades

727

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-17 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Politics

41% 38% -$1

Other

27% 29% -$15

Sports

24% 11% -$1

Crypto

8% 95% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	-7	-$7	99¢	$-7	$0	05-06 14:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	-5	-$5	95¢	$-5	+$0	06-03 11:55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	05-25 21:06
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	06-14 20:50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	05-23 07:51
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	80¢	$0	$0	05-21 07:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NBA: SGA Award Parlay	2	$386	439	439	+0	No	+$0	05-23 00:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	4	$187	526	526	+0	No	-$4	07-15 00:22
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	22	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	06-16 01:53
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	08-14 06:10
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	14	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	06-15 07:38
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$96	49	49	+0	open	—	05-30 04:09
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	06-15 00:58
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	2	$89	109	109	+0	Yes	+$0	07-08 21:29
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	10	$88	44	44	+0	No	$0	06-02 03:04
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	06-04 07:03
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	10	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	06-07 02:46
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	3	$87	169	169	+0	Yes	-$1	07-20 21:11
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	10	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	06-02 20:10
will gamerlegion qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509953	2	$82	71	71	+0	No	-$2	07-22 16:03
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	10	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	05-25 20:04
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny willett	2	$78	253	253	+0	No	-$2	07-14 01:32
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	11	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	09-26 09:56
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	12	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	06-15 20:13
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	10	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	06-15 08:57
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	12	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	06-16 00:13
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 blades brown	2	$69	89	89	+0	Yes	-$4	07-14 13:59
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jeremy paul	2	$68	263	263	+0	No	-$5	07-14 01:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	10	$68	36	36	-0	open	—	07-01 12:01
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	10	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	07-01 12:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$68	36	36	+0	open	—	06-04 10:28
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	8	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	06-15 13:28
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	07-01 12:01
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	8	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	05-23 13:36
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-18 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?	2	$55	109	109	+0	No	+$0	07-14 07:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 17:36:59	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x612801…
10-15 20:40:23	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xd6acb3…
10-15 13:44:22	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x36bef9…
10-13 19:53:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf1b368…
10-08 16:38:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe46600…
10-04 09:06:14	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x1d1c28…
10-04 05:25:14	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4f236e…
09-26 09:56:24	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdec572…
09-26 09:45:44	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaaf5f5…
09-21 20:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe701bf…
09-21 14:15:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x718cba…
09-21 11:05:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x65d81e…
09-07 08:15:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x750465…
09-05 02:38:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0cc26b…
08-28 22:50:21	bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6bd3e4…
08-14 06:10:27	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xca23d9…
08-14 05:53:13	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23c5c5…
07-24 00:18:39	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x3c3bb3…
07-23 00:46:57	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xdd6f41…
07-23 00:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x660422…
07-23 00:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	46	39¢	$18	0x7e6a2c…
07-22 22:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x4d99e2…
07-22 22:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x035e1f…
07-22 22:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcc32c2…
07-22 22:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xba2087…
07-22 16:03:24	will gamerlegion qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509953	Yes	SELL	71	56¢	$40	0xc49bb2…
07-22 15:56:34	will gamerlegion qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509953	Yes	BUY	71	59¢	$42	0x0bd4c3…
07-22 14:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?	Yes	SELL	37	42¢	$16	0x51ab18…
07-22 14:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	37	42¢	$16	0x060e58…
07-20 21:11:54	Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	26¢	$31	0xc9add9…
07-15 03:27:46	Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x33b72b…
07-15 03:27:43	Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	26¢	$44	0x39d4a0…
07-15 00:22:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	305	16¢	$47	0x8f53a1…
07-15 00:22:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	305	16¢	$49	0x399262…
07-14 13:59:58	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 blades brown	Yes	SELL	89	37¢	$33	0x9f53f4…
07-14 08:05:46	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 blades brown	Yes	BUY	89	41¢	$36	0x9e13d8…
07-14 07:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	109	25¢	$27	0x70b416…
07-14 07:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	109	25¢	$27	0xee5d84…
07-14 06:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	57	45¢	$26	0x2ebfd9…
07-14 06:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	57	45¢	$26	0x34641f…
07-14 05:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x49ac3c…
07-14 05:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xc857d6…
07-14 05:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	47	33¢	$16	0x5fa5b3…
07-14 05:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	47	33¢	$16	0x2f0b4f…
07-14 05:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0x742124…
07-14 05:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x0d6b77…
07-14 05:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0xe1f20d…
07-14 05:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x563222…
07-14 04:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x14f02b…
07-14 04:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x03747e…
07-14 02:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xb2ccd8…
07-14 02:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x0632d5…
07-14 02:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xe9d55a…
07-14 02:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe0ab11…
07-14 02:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x48f695…
07-14 02:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2943d6…
07-14 01:35:49	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jeremy paul	Yes	SELL	263	12¢	$32	0xd2c0d4…
07-14 01:35:46	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jeremy paul	Yes	BUY	263	14¢	$37	0x3b97ab…
07-14 01:32:53	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny willett	Yes	SELL	253	15¢	$38	0xf0f9a7…
07-14 01:32:50	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny willett	Yes	BUY	253	16¢	$40	0xeba177…
07-14 01:30:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	221	20¢	$44	0x3a0ba0…
07-14 01:30:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	221	21¢	$46	0xdddceb…
07-08 21:29:28	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	41¢	$45	0x722a12…
07-01 13:17:16	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	41¢	$45	0xfb1c5c…
07-01 12:01:32	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x137447…
07-01 12:01:31	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xff68a4…
07-01 12:01:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x614a59…
07-01 12:01:28	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1b0784…
06-28 09:51:14	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xfe8a32…
06-16 05:56:09	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6049c9…
06-16 01:53:21	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc53f32…
06-16 01:39:27	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe68c10…
06-16 00:13:33	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1b5e04…
06-15 23:59:36	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfcb88f…
06-15 20:13:42	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaa3500…
06-15 19:58:49	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd7c2e…
06-15 18:05:58	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x415993…
06-15 17:53:30	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9231dd…
06-15 17:18:58	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd0a048…
06-15 14:08:13	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6dbe2b…
06-15 13:28:31	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb220e3…
06-15 13:15:43	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf844d0…
06-15 08:57:39	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x120a43…
06-15 08:46:49	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x750ea2…
06-15 07:38:21	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa42bd1…
06-15 07:27:42	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x831ad2…
06-15 06:56:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x9a67ac…
06-15 03:46:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x8ed506…
06-15 00:58:00	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4c1fbe…
06-15 00:43:01	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81ae94…
06-14 23:44:39	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa85f3b…
06-14 23:29:49	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcb02a8…
06-14 22:51:31	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd06a78…
06-14 22:37:18	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe50673…
06-14 20:50:34	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x8af6dc…
06-07 09:50:07	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b0a2a…
06-07 03:57:01	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x994d90…
06-07 02:46:42	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf2b6e4…
06-07 02:33:42	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb9896c…
06-07 01:21:48	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xb24bb4…