Ready-Furnace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-12 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

40% — —

Other

37% — —

Sports

23% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$265	172	172	+0	open	—	05-21 16:47
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$213	113	113	+0	No	$-0	04-15 07:00
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$165	157	157	+0	open	—	06-06 23:02
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$156	79	79	+0	open	—	04-27 01:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$149	78	78	+0	open	—	05-23 13:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	4	$134	86	86	+0	open	—	06-02 17:43
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$125	71	71	+0	open	—	04-23 14:02
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$124	69	69	+0	open	—	05-24 12:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	5	$124	133	133	+0	open	—	05-31 11:22
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	5	$94	118	118	+0	open	—	06-10 14:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$78	41	41	+0	open	—	05-18 18:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$75	40	40	+0	open	—	05-28 18:17
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	04-26 23:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$72	41	41	+0	open	—	04-21 04:08
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	03-26 23:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$70	51	51	+0	open	—	06-07 21:47
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	4	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	03-30 23:21
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	3	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	05-30 19:34
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-18 21:29
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$67	35	35	+0	open	—	04-20 19:07
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	05-14 23:20
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	04-25 07:25
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	5	$65	70	70	+0	open	—	06-08 23:58
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	04-04 08:23
Iran leadership change by June 30?	3	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	06-03 05:26
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	3	$64	41	41	+0	open	—	06-09 07:29
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	06-07 05:48
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	03-28 09:32
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-11 15:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$34	46	0	+46	open	—	05-29 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 10:25:28	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x7d5edb…
06-12 10:25:28	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x5a12af…
06-12 08:28:31	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xe799c6…
06-12 08:28:31	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x666504…
06-12 08:28:30	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$2	0x54ff19…
06-10 14:04:51	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0xf78d3a…
06-10 14:04:51	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0x316b6f…
06-10 11:03:12	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xe01441…
06-10 07:01:43	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	78	19¢	$15	0x2674ec…
06-10 04:42:13	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	78	19¢	$15	0xc46c7a…
06-10 01:52:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x51631b…
06-10 01:52:21	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	27	34¢	$9	0xce5ccb…
06-09 21:29:06	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0xf704b3…
06-09 07:29:58	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x8131d9…
06-09 04:20:34	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xbb829e…
06-09 04:20:34	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0x6b75b9…
06-08 23:58:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xaa6231…
06-08 23:58:15	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x16c3a6…
06-08 23:58:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	63	47¢	$30	0xbc93cd…
06-08 21:32:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x1c307a…
06-08 21:32:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x17df06…
06-07 21:47:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	51	69¢	$35	0xf31e96…
06-07 21:46:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x7e21f4…
06-07 05:48:00	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xf9f15f…
06-07 04:11:04	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xa2cf14…
06-06 23:02:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x9d9fa5…
06-06 19:36:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x7993bb…
06-06 19:36:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x41833b…
06-05 03:30:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	44	81¢	$36	0x04f4cd…
06-04 20:51:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	44	81¢	$36	0xc6aa64…
06-04 14:57:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	73	19¢	$14	0x7f906b…
06-04 12:40:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xcc6022…
06-04 12:40:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	20¢	$8	0x5e5ef0…
06-03 05:26:30	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xa0c629…
06-03 05:26:29	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xdc52f5…
06-03 03:20:55	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x325f52…
06-02 17:43:37	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	42	78¢	$33	0x57b732…
06-02 15:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	42	79¢	$33	0x6a64c8…
05-31 23:16:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	15¢	$11	0xa32ad4…
05-31 21:38:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0xbc9375…
05-31 21:29:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xbd9e89…
05-31 11:22:02	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0xcce778…
05-31 11:21:14	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0xe663aa…
05-31 00:28:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x9f4504…
05-31 00:28:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x0c8cd7…
05-30 22:56:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xb1ed4a…
05-30 19:34:38	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x88cb42…
05-30 19:34:38	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x475f70…
05-30 15:59:00	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x3f9e4b…
05-30 11:15:32	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	44	77¢	$34	0x765de7…
05-30 09:14:23	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0x805642…
05-30 04:58:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x90348c…
05-30 04:56:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	72	31¢	$22	0xcef7e8…
05-30 02:34:02	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0xb70de2…
05-29 22:16:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	73¢	$34	0x99cdc4…
05-28 18:17:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xe00ad2…
05-28 18:16:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x62706b…
05-24 12:34:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	39	91¢	$35	0x39b816…
05-24 10:31:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0x764349…
05-23 13:08:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x7d83ef…
05-23 11:07:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xabde4a…
05-23 09:22:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x952d7c…
05-21 16:47:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0xb99ac6…
05-21 13:42:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x219ae9…
05-21 13:42:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x04c459…
05-21 02:55:52	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$3	0x757220…
05-21 00:36:08	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xaca514…
05-21 00:36:08	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xa6bfca…
05-21 00:17:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xc17c7b…
05-20 22:21:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xa9a2f8…
05-20 18:12:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0xd7e27c…
05-20 16:13:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xa4127f…
05-19 09:49:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x3f9294…
05-19 09:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x619ea1…
05-19 07:57:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x5d0702…
05-18 18:14:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x0f360c…
05-18 16:18:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x0bb356…
05-17 08:21:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	37	93¢	$35	0xd7feb8…
05-17 08:21:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	37	93¢	$35	0x14ea63…
05-16 22:10:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x3c4a2c…
05-16 22:09:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x26433c…
05-16 12:03:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0xa45f05…
05-16 09:46:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x23ebc9…
05-14 23:20:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x5e373d…
05-14 19:13:00	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xf54b5e…
04-27 09:23:48	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x86f536…
04-27 09:13:26	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x76cc51…
04-27 01:36:10	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x7ff53d…
04-27 01:34:54	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xb574b9…
04-26 23:07:58	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x4b0cb3…
04-26 21:37:08	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xef1f74…
04-25 07:25:46	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xa8aed4…
04-25 07:25:46	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x2bc069…
04-25 04:22:12	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe278e1…
04-25 04:22:10	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xd086cc…
04-23 14:02:00	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0x49fd03…
04-23 12:55:38	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0xd966b9…
04-22 05:11:46	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x3f5a82…
04-22 03:46:56	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xba07e3…
04-21 04:08:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0x16931e…