Quizzical-Toilet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$334

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-08 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-0

Politics

34% 33% $-0

Crypto

22% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-20 08:00
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 03:19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:02
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 03:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 02:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 02:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:09
will the winner of beast games season 2 be strong or smart	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-08 08:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:08
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 01:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-03 02:42
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:53
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:48
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:29
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 02:41
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:56
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 01:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:52
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 03:42
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:19
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 01:41
iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 02:34
over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 02:55
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:10
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-20 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 02:46:50	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x36f141…
07-09 02:39:37	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbf76f2…
07-08 03:10:25	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1474ae…
07-08 02:35:56	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdfb412…
07-07 03:51:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x28ab68…
07-07 03:32:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7ea076…
07-07 03:26:02	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x03af58…
07-07 03:16:56	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x15f162…
07-06 03:12:26	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb8531c…
07-06 03:00:08	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf3731e…
07-04 02:54:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb047c8…
07-04 02:36:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x676b75…
07-04 02:34:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a7a04…
07-04 02:20:56	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x684239…
07-02 02:55:28	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x214207…
07-02 02:45:56	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb9eade…
07-02 02:40:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb2ba1d…
07-02 02:32:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf7ba2e…
07-01 02:22:08	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xdb7ee6…
07-01 02:13:52	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5d5848…
07-01 02:09:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdae532…
07-01 01:56:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x836480…
06-30 02:52:10	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x37cc4a…
06-30 02:44:34	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xde14a4…
06-30 02:41:26	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x56ce40…
06-30 02:35:28	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb4bb22…
06-29 04:28:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5347c2…
06-29 04:12:53	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd09278…
06-29 04:08:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x697490…
06-29 03:46:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc32614…
06-27 02:37:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x011187…
06-27 02:20:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x041d74…
06-27 02:16:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x851b27…
06-27 02:10:01	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x89d3bf…
06-26 04:13:32	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04602d…
06-26 03:45:38	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb067d…
06-26 03:19:41	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbfde29…
06-26 03:09:53	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb0dc0b…
06-25 03:50:59	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7e8b22…
06-25 03:43:14	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaf99f7…
06-25 03:38:16	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1986d9…
06-25 03:35:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3ed91d…
06-24 03:45:29	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa3c117…
06-24 03:44:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6dffa0…
06-24 03:38:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9454d…
06-24 03:32:25	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb7b3a1…
06-23 02:49:29	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x849027…
06-23 02:47:08	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0ed70f…
06-23 02:30:37	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x89f390…
06-23 02:26:05	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x42929e…
06-22 03:04:11	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x51099c…
06-22 03:03:34	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x121d90…
06-22 02:46:52	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x98f370…
06-22 02:40:35	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc0913…
06-21 03:23:56	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1f9185…
06-21 03:14:53	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb8c2f7…
06-18 02:59:53	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x04e318…
06-18 02:57:38	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x99e554…
06-18 02:47:13	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb98ee3…
06-18 02:40:25	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa47e98…
06-17 03:01:24	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8dba83…
06-17 02:53:03	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x80f14b…
06-17 02:49:33	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6553f0…
06-17 02:37:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x285217…
06-16 02:46:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2c4c4a…
06-16 02:38:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa4e836…
06-15 03:05:54	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x10c114…
06-12 03:52:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc910ac…
06-12 03:44:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x942a27…
06-12 03:40:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5096ca…
06-12 03:26:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc2b130…
06-11 03:07:39	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x9d08cf…
06-11 03:06:01	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x76bd8b…
06-11 03:03:37	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x17a93d…
06-09 01:37:16	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x048002…
06-09 01:36:36	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x50ee4b…
06-09 01:23:22	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x83ad4f…
06-09 01:18:49	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7b1927…
06-06 03:29:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f6201…
06-06 03:23:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x634d11…
06-06 03:19:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb4530b…
06-06 03:03:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5eeae6…
06-04 02:41:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x697a78…
06-04 02:14:58	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfb5108…
06-04 02:06:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1e7002…
06-03 02:42:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa75259…
06-02 02:10:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe86ee8…
06-02 02:06:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0c0b85…
06-02 01:56:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x11e8dc…
06-01 03:02:34	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xcb723b…
06-01 02:28:30	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x40edbd…
05-30 02:31:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbe9fff…
05-30 02:09:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc1c688…
05-29 02:10:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x285f90…
05-29 02:07:06	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa1c5b7…
05-29 01:55:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee3b35…
05-29 01:50:00	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4f9bad…
05-28 03:30:46	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe54e03…
05-28 03:23:16	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x469e78…
05-25 02:47:55	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x326d34…