Another-Exploration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$74

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-26 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$1

Politics

32% — —

Sports

16% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		-135	$-76	1¢	$-1	+$74	05-30 11:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	13	$1.2K	1,073	1,073	+0	open	—	04-27 09:10
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	15	$927	906	906	+0	No	+$1	04-27 01:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	9	$917	569	569	+0	open	—	06-16 01:07
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$912	743	743	+0	open	—	06-07 22:49
Netanyahu out by April 30?	10	$835	430	430	+0	open	—	04-12 19:21
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	7	$623	556	556	+0	open	—	03-22 18:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	8	$622	606	606	+0	open	—	05-24 16:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	7	$610	666	285	+381	open	—	06-13 03:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$558	290	290	+0	open	—	04-24 13:49
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$507	577	577	+0	open	—	04-25 23:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$468	912	912	+0	open	—	06-24 13:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$448	246	246	+0	open	—	06-09 04:30
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$424	224	224	+0	open	—	06-18 01:21
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	4	$407	222	197	+25	open	—	06-14 23:51
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	4	$403	224	224	+0	open	—	06-24 02:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	4	$403	219	219	+0	open	—	06-23 19:32
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$389	802	802	+0	Yes	+$1	04-18 22:54
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$336	173	173	+0	open	—	03-17 04:53
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$336	173	173	+0	open	—	03-16 14:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$334	296	296	+0	open	—	05-27 21:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$319	163	163	+0	open	—	05-16 00:38
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$315	160	160	+0	open	—	04-23 11:54
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$313	158	158	+0	open	—	06-19 16:04
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	4	$313	479	479	+0	open	—	03-22 02:41
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$302	157	157	+0	open	—	03-19 20:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$281	144	144	+0	open	—	03-26 14:28
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$280	146	146	+0	open	—	03-28 07:14
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$280	142	142	+0	open	—	03-27 06:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$250	281	281	+0	open	—	05-23 19:53
israel closes its airspace by july 31	6	$216	676	676	+0	open	—	06-20 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 04:19:55	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	136	8¢	$11	0xc9fb8c…
06-25 04:18:17	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0x48dd72…
06-25 04:18:17	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	455	11¢	$50	0x12431c…
06-25 02:38:49	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	773	12¢	$93	0xdeb65c…
06-24 13:45:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	628	2¢	$16	0xe51ae8…
06-24 06:40:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	628	2¢	$14	0xcdfbea…
06-24 02:58:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	44	90¢	$40	0xd10f00…
06-24 02:58:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	180	90¢	$162	0xc54566…
06-23 23:13:19	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xa8d383…
06-23 23:13:19	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	185	90¢	$166	0x4ec005…
06-23 19:32:14	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	178	92¢	$164	0x4d46ec…
06-23 19:32:13	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0x09fdec…
06-23 17:24:04	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	94	92¢	$86	0xa509e8…
06-23 17:24:04	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x55b346…
06-21 07:58:49	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	332	6¢	$20	0xeb1c46…
06-21 04:20:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	332	8¢	$27	0x654934…
06-20 14:35:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	203	16¢	$32	0xf67b2f…
06-20 14:35:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	224	16¢	$36	0xb8a090…
06-20 14:35:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0x978729…
06-20 14:35:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	221	16¢	$35	0x5052b0…
06-20 13:32:38	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x9eed5c…
06-20 13:32:23	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	657	16¢	$105	0x364591…
06-19 16:04:53	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0x04b586…
06-19 13:43:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$156	0x3be3e2…
06-18 13:16:35	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	12¢	$22	0xe9352e…
06-18 12:11:44	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	12¢	$22	0x1ce844…
06-18 01:21:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xfdbfd6…
06-18 01:21:53	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xe18a78…
06-18 01:21:53	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	170	94¢	$159	0x466bf6…
06-17 21:36:11	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	224	96¢	$214	0x36305c…
06-17 01:03:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	5¢	$11	0x3faba4…
06-17 01:03:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	5¢	$17	0x28d0f9…
06-17 01:01:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	598	4¢	$26	0x2ac9aa…
06-16 01:07:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x16ed95…
06-15 22:48:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x0dd16f…
06-14 23:51:13	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x85ab63…
06-14 21:49:16	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	187	98¢	$183	0x39677b…
06-14 15:58:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	213	82¢	$175	0x5e675e…
06-14 15:58:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	46	82¢	$38	0x116d45…
06-14 14:15:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	259	83¢	$215	0x69e690…
06-14 08:00:40	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$145	0x5c8995…
06-14 08:00:39	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$69	0x1e8b5e…
06-14 03:38:54	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	580	18¢	$102	0x7af7bb…
06-13 22:29:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xe05134…
06-13 22:29:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	273	76¢	$207	0x92488e…
06-13 22:29:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x5c28e8…
06-13 17:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0x19dbb7…
06-13 17:52:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	118	78¢	$92	0x479381…
06-13 17:52:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	148	78¢	$115	0x40dcaf…
06-13 03:19:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	381	65¢	$248	0x321de9…
06-12 11:01:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	135	79¢	$107	0xddd910…
06-12 11:01:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	150	79¢	$118	0x29862d…
06-12 09:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	148	77¢	$114	0x98efc3…
06-12 09:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	137	77¢	$105	0x859c8c…
06-11 09:47:36	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0x21583d…
06-09 12:54:57	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	185	2¢	$4	0x6ce801…
06-09 12:54:57	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x4ab5ae…
06-09 12:54:57	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	192	2¢	$4	0x1c7a30…
06-09 11:43:27	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x8b3a2e…
06-09 04:30:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	246	91¢	$224	0xa20652…
06-09 03:07:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	130	91¢	$118	0xdca2cf…
06-09 03:07:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	116	91¢	$106	0xd55597…
06-08 22:29:33	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	280	10¢	$28	0xd6ff49…
06-08 20:54:34	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	280	9¢	$25	0x220a1b…
06-08 16:38:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	250	66¢	$165	0xa8a943…
06-08 16:38:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0x247cd8…
06-08 15:17:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x683e4c…
06-08 15:17:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	124	61¢	$76	0xe8f323…
06-08 15:17:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	143	61¢	$87	0xec4663…
06-08 15:17:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe8e6eb…
06-07 22:49:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	108	98¢	$105	0xf0da46…
06-07 22:49:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	128	98¢	$125	0xe57335…
06-07 20:30:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	236	66¢	$157	0xbebf1c…
06-07 16:19:57	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x15252c…
06-07 16:19:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x575044…
06-06 07:35:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x36d07c…
06-06 07:35:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xa76a9c…
06-06 07:35:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x0bcf4d…
06-06 07:34:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x890db7…
06-06 07:33:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x0a9bfb…
06-06 07:29:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x454ba6…
06-06 07:28:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x3505da…
06-06 07:25:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x7b41e4…
06-06 07:24:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x47a3cd…
06-06 07:24:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x1f4fed…
06-06 07:19:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x8caad0…
06-06 07:19:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x67f11c…
06-06 07:18:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc7e3ec…
06-06 07:18:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x5ae8ae…
06-06 07:17:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8038b0…
06-06 07:14:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xd218a9…
06-06 07:12:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xf8d7eb…
06-06 07:11:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x3758da…
06-06 07:10:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x5e4c25…
06-06 07:10:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x5abdcf…
06-06 07:08:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x3ff66e…
06-06 07:07:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	6¢	$5	0xf60b64…
06-05 23:29:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	6¢	$20	0x42f3d9…
06-05 14:01:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	193	81¢	$157	0x22808a…
06-05 11:40:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	193	81¢	$156	0xb4f935…