Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$99

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

26.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$360

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-29

last 09-28 03:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

67% 40% +$97

Politics

33% 25% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No		+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	09-28 03:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	4	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-02 05:56
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$972	495	495	+0	No	+$0	05-07 05:58
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	2	$950	485	485	+0	No	+$0	05-03 05:07
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	2	$946	498	498	+0	No	+$0	06-12 04:07
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	2	$877	464	464	+0	open	—	07-08 07:03
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	2	$874	459	459	+0	No	+$3	07-08 05:51
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$827	440	440	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 04:45
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by september 30 2026	2	$819	450	450	+0	No	+$0	08-25 01:58
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	2	$819	445	445	+0	open	—	08-07 02:46
will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742055	2	$819	445	445	+0	No	+$0	08-06 06:18
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	2	$818	435	435	+0	Yes	+$0	08-07 04:37
will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	2	$817	445	445	+0	No	$0	08-06 07:23
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	2	$793	415	415	+0	open	—	07-12 02:35
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	2	$793	415	415	+0	open	—	07-12 05:08
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	2	$757	405	405	+0	No	+$0	06-23 03:59
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	2	$751	409	409	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 07:00
US military draft authorized in 2026?	2	$750	400	400	+0	open	—	06-23 05:46
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	2	$745	405	405	+0	No	+$0	06-24 02:54
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	1	$485	505	0	+505	National Bank of Egypt Club	+$20	05-07 06:03
Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)	1	$475	485	0	+485	RC Celta de Vigo	+$10	05-03 05:14
dota2 iac std 2026 06 12 game1 both teams destroy barracks	1	$470	500	0	+500	No	+$30	06-12 06:03
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	1	$465	475	0	+475	Villarreal CF	+$10	05-02 06:01
Spread: Mantova 1911 (-1.5)	1	$446	470	0	+470	AC Monza	+$24	05-01 06:24
fif lit geo 2026 03 29 spread home 2pt5	1	$201	206	0	+206	Georgia	+$5	03-29 08:13
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	3	$140	935	935	+0	open	—	07-11 06:05
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	4	$86	900	900	+0	No	-$1	07-11 03:10
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-28 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 03:25:50	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x49fd59…
08-25 04:45:18	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	440	94¢	$414	0xcbe52a…
08-25 02:28:24	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	94¢	$414	0x63992e…
08-25 01:58:06	will russia announce a new forced mobilization by september 30 2026	No	SELL	450	91¢	$410	0x8413df…
08-25 01:23:55	will russia announce a new forced mobilization by september 30 2026	No	BUY	450	91¢	$410	0x51353d…
08-07 04:37:51	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	Yes	SELL	435	94¢	$409	0xca7aab…
08-07 03:02:57	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	Yes	BUY	435	94¢	$409	0x95f9a4…
08-07 02:46:07	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	SELL	445	92¢	$409	0x808b8b…
08-07 02:12:21	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	BUY	445	92¢	$409	0xe08e27…
08-06 07:23:23	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	No	SELL	445	92¢	$409	0x664c17…
08-06 06:41:35	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	No	BUY	445	92¢	$409	0x87f03c…
08-06 06:18:03	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742055	No	SELL	445	92¢	$409	0xaaa230…
08-06 05:43:05	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742055	No	BUY	445	92¢	$409	0xc4a1c1…
07-12 05:08:05	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	415	96¢	$397	0xc14fde…
07-12 03:19:04	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	415	96¢	$396	0x32c994…
07-12 02:35:38	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	415	96¢	$397	0x243da4…
07-12 02:03:35	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	415	96¢	$397	0xa4095b…
07-11 06:05:53	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	SELL	935	8¢	$75	0xacacdf…
07-11 04:58:31	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	BUY	480	7¢	$34	0x6e8eda…
07-11 04:57:38	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	BUY	455	7¢	$32	0xdb0b26…
07-11 03:10:22	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	SELL	460	5¢	$22	0x8774e4…
07-11 03:10:08	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	SELL	440	5¢	$21	0xa5edce…
07-11 02:19:14	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	BUY	460	5¢	$22	0xef161f…
07-11 02:19:02	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	BUY	440	5¢	$21	0xa63197…
07-08 07:03:52	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	464	94¢	$438	0x26f5e5…
07-08 06:35:49	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	464	94¢	$438	0xd255ba…
07-08 05:51:29	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	459	96¢	$438	0x428143…
07-08 05:22:52	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	459	95¢	$436	0x8a1f34…
06-24 07:00:26	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	SELL	409	92¢	$375	0x92aa6e…
06-24 03:17:44	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	BUY	409	92¢	$375	0x253fe6…
06-24 02:54:47	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	405	92¢	$373	0x1de9e6…
06-24 01:56:55	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	405	92¢	$373	0x1e3bc8…
06-23 05:46:58	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	400	93¢	$373	0xa30f17…
06-23 05:14:43	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$377	0x254b6d…
06-23 03:59:13	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	No	SELL	405	94¢	$379	0x105598…
06-23 03:27:25	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	No	BUY	405	94¢	$379	0x2f8df6…
06-12 06:03:51	dota2 iac std 2026 06 12 game1 both teams destroy barracks	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x9069cb…
06-12 04:07:21	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	SELL	498	95¢	$473	0xf59f51…
06-12 02:58:24	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	BUY	498	95¢	$473	0x6e2d03…
05-07 06:03:36	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	National Bank of Egypt Club	BUY	505	96¢	$485	0x0b01c5…
05-07 05:58:54	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	495	98¢	$486	0xf7193b…
05-07 03:09:32	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	495	98¢	$486	0x0ac6cf…
05-03 05:14:02	Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	485	98¢	$475	0xd1a838…
05-03 05:07:42	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	485	98¢	$475	0xcabc2f…
05-03 02:32:32	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	485	98¢	$475	0x0e42f4…
05-02 06:01:24	Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	475	98¢	$465	0x6b1a32…
05-02 05:56:06	Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	SELL	510	91¢	$465	0xda9bb8…
05-02 02:40:22	Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	BUY	510	91¢	$465	0xe86659…
05-01 06:24:48	Spread: Mantova 1911 (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	470	95¢	$446	0xda3465…
05-01 06:16:58	Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	SELL	490	91¢	$447	0xdd0313…
05-01 02:41:22	Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	BUY	490	91¢	$447	0xf4d4c9…
03-29 08:13:50	fif lit geo 2026 03 29 spread home 2pt5	Georgia	BUY	206	98¢	$201	0x0d5001…