(anonymous) 0x38cf97…0fd885
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.32K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.49K
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
1,734
Trades
2,765
lifetime
Volume
$134.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$18.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 10-29 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
76% 55% +$3,589
Politics
19% 48% +$753
Tech
3% 67% +$3
Crypto
2% 57% -$20
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +4,445 $3,364 95¢ $4.2K +$858 10-18 01:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4,657 $1,942 66¢ $3.1K +$1,155 10-26 23:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,756 $1,100 42¢ $1.1K +$45 10-15 20:51
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No +1,018 $940 97¢ $986 +$45 10-05 17:36
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +960 $450 80¢ $773 +$323 10-23 17:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +734 $450 98¢ $715 +$266 10-03 21:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +2,549 $1,938 22¢ $548 -$1,390 10-16 19:02
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +738 $133 70¢ $516 +$384 10-26 23:13
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +571 $400 84¢ $483 +$83 09-17 22:11
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +439 $400 100¢ $438 +$39 10-28 10:48
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +1,666 $400 26¢ $425 +$25 10-29 17:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,481 $400 29¢ $422 +$22 09-28 09:33
US recession by end of 2026? No +449 $400 93¢ $418 +$18 09-22 13:29
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +390 $292 100¢ $390 +$98 09-24 13:20
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +373 $284 99¢ $369 +$85 10-28 12:43
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +333 $200 99¢ $331 +$131 10-28 10:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +430 $299 74¢ $318 +$20 10-25 21:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +865 $410 36¢ $307 -$103 09-24 10:09
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +284 $225 100¢ $283 +$58 10-28 11:43
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +280 $225 99¢ $277 +$52 10-27 20:45
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +270 $200 99¢ $267 +$68 10-14 19:02
No one announced as next James Bond? No +337 $202 77¢ $261 +$58 10-18 13:50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +847 $261 30¢ $254 -$7 10-28 10:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +315 $221 78¢ $247 +$27 10-27 23:50
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +1,048 $147 23¢ $241 +$94 10-24 20:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +843 $210 26¢ $223 +$14 10-28 09:43
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +227 $186 97¢ $220 +$35 10-06 06:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +831 $214 26¢ $216 +$2 10-25 22:02
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +347 $225 60¢ $207 -$18 10-27 10:00
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +240 $199 84¢ $203 +$4 10-29 15:20