Respectful-Breakpoint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

103

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$162

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-03 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

54% 75% +$4

Crypto

14% 91% +$1

Politics

12% 94% +$1

Sports

10% 100% +$1

Tech

9% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-02 07:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-11 02:45
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	06-02 07:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	82¢	$1	+$0	06-29 02:46
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-16 03:05
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	06-17 05:30
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-29 02:46
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	95¢	$1	$0	06-17 05:30
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	+1	$1	16¢	$0	-$1	06-30 02:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	6	$11	12	+12	Yes	+$1	06-17 05:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	06-29 02:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-08 07:37
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$4	5	+5	Yes	+$1	07-03 03:46
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	07-03 03:46
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	07-03 03:46
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	07-02 02:16
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	07-03 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-07 07:19
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	07-02 02:16
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	2	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	06-17 05:28
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	07-01 02:04
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	2	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	06-11 02:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	06-18 05:57
will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	2	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	06-29 02:48
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	07-01 02:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-07 07:44
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-18 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-07 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-08 07:59
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	06-30 02:04
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	06-15 05:28
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	05-06 08:04
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	06-15 05:26
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	06-15 05:26
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	06-15 05:28
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	06-15 05:26
will base launch a token by september 30 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	06-11 02:45
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	06-11 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 03:47:07	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x502c09…
07-03 03:46:58	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xda193a…
07-03 03:46:52	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfab8fb…
07-03 03:46:46	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x271f77…
07-03 03:46:38	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0d0f6a…
07-03 03:46:23	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd77956…
07-03 03:46:17	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x523e7b…
07-03 03:46:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfd1ca7…
07-03 03:45:43	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2a4ee2…
07-02 02:17:05	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc8cac4…
07-02 02:16:53	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf67a6a…
07-02 02:16:49	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x79a97f…
07-02 02:16:43	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x556063…
07-02 02:16:37	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd0636f…
07-02 02:16:22	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcf6872…
07-02 02:16:16	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0483c6…
07-02 02:16:08	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb030a7…
07-02 02:16:02	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6ae518…
07-02 02:15:56	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x51f8c3…
07-01 02:05:05	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7b6bb9…
07-01 02:04:59	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xeb6bf0…
07-01 02:04:53	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xde5950…
07-01 02:04:49	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc76c9e…
07-01 02:04:43	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5315bf…
07-01 02:04:35	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe143eb…
07-01 02:04:29	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbe34b9…
07-01 02:03:49	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x62e355…
07-01 02:03:38	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xda258a…
07-01 02:03:31	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6556b3…
07-01 02:03:26	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x76797b…
06-30 02:09:46	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x897943…
06-30 02:09:19	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x43369a…
06-30 02:09:14	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x15499a…
06-30 02:09:07	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2ee673…
06-30 02:09:01	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa5fa61…
06-30 02:08:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xabc767…
06-30 02:08:19	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x79e8fa…
06-30 02:07:49	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x546076…
06-30 02:04:58	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x49edce…
06-29 02:48:31	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x18f34b…
06-29 02:48:25	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xed6e9b…
06-29 02:48:19	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x16ac61…
06-29 02:47:59	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xce0036…
06-29 02:46:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa78f2c…
06-29 02:46:20	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x06fe98…
06-29 02:45:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9fed4a…
06-29 02:45:32	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4701b3…
06-29 02:45:05	Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8e6b4b…
06-29 02:44:46	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xafd5bc…
06-18 05:57:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x605e3a…
06-18 05:57:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x529096…
06-18 05:56:58	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd4d7da…
06-18 05:56:52	Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x203b7c…
06-18 05:56:16	Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x427559…
06-18 05:56:10	Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd21f45…
06-18 05:56:04	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3e5631…
06-17 05:58:34	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcb1ceb…
06-17 05:54:20	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa52d70…
06-17 05:50:55	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd9e0da…
06-17 05:50:37	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0db341…
06-17 05:49:46	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x458ff3…
06-17 05:36:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb20d05…
06-17 05:36:07	Will West Virginia win the 2026 College World Series?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x947435…
06-17 05:35:46	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x375dea…
06-17 05:35:38	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d43bf…
06-17 05:35:22	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5e367e…
06-17 05:34:55	Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0ff12e…
06-17 05:34:47	Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf5ede7…
06-17 05:30:08	Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6854d…
06-17 05:30:01	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f7a66…
06-17 05:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x67188d…
06-17 05:28:08	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x01cf6a…
06-16 03:07:27	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x113c6a…
06-16 03:07:03	Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e9c2a…
06-16 03:06:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaabce3…
06-16 03:06:21	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba2a6d…
06-16 03:06:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19fdac…
06-16 03:05:43	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x54afda…
06-16 03:05:28	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x404bb7…
06-15 05:29:28	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x818b6c…
06-15 05:29:15	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb7d527…
06-15 05:28:40	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4e8914…
06-15 05:28:27	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeee547…
06-15 05:28:13	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0b64e0…
06-15 05:28:00	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xff421f…
06-15 05:27:45	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0e3145…
06-15 05:27:30	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb1d212…
06-15 05:27:22	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x09bd5c…
06-15 05:27:12	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf5c20f…
06-15 05:27:03	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1f142e…
06-15 05:26:52	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x32a6be…
06-15 05:26:43	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x80659c…
06-15 05:26:34	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa9b1f6…
06-15 05:26:24	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9d5dbe…
06-15 05:26:15	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6bf35b…
06-15 05:26:06	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4c9730…
06-11 02:45:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8bebe8…
06-11 02:45:19	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5e8a3f…
06-11 02:44:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x75e34c…
06-11 02:44:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5fe795…