Petty-Penny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$997

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

216

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$5.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-15 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

58% 40% -$528

Other

40% 42% -$493

Crypto

2% 60% +$24

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		-20	-$6	11¢	$-2	+$4	05-06 07:15
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		-90	-$5	0¢	$-0	+$5	05-14 16:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	9	$303	175,020	0	+175,020	Yes	-$303	04-19 15:44
will iran strike lebanon in march	7	$220	46,478	0	+46,478	Yes	-$220	03-24 19:57
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	21	$203	798	798	+0	No	-$178	05-15 15:16
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	5	$195	265	199	+66	Yes	+$127	04-09 20:03
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	8	$192	746	746	+0	Yes	+$101	04-09 17:47
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	15	$138	130	130	+0	Yes	+$62	04-29 07:04
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$130	325	325	+0	No	+$0	03-20 18:11
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	5	$115	70	70	+0	Yes	+$21	05-05 00:49
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	7	$114	127	40	+87	Yes	-$43	04-15 19:16
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	4	$106	373	0	+373	No	-$106	04-03 21:10
will iran strike uae again in march	3	$97	198	198	+0	Yes	+$27	04-02 17:57
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	2	$94	101	101	+0	Yes	+$64	04-08 03:07
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	7	$86	65	65	+0	Yes	+$38	05-11 23:43
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?	2	$79	50	50	+0	Yes	+$20	05-09 05:11
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	2	$78	50	50	+0	No	+$12	04-30 01:27
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	3	$75	50	50	+0	Down	+$16	05-02 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	8	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	-$12	05-13 06:28
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$65	40	40	+0	No	+$10	04-24 14:08
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	2	$64	40	40	+0	Down	+$12	05-09 05:19
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	5	$61	580	580	+0	Yes	-$19	04-05 15:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$60	55	55	+0	No	$0	05-13 06:36
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	4	$54	60	60	+0	No	+$6	04-21 19:43
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$52	30	30	+0	No	+$3	04-24 14:07
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	5	$52	90	88	+2	Yes	-$20	04-22 15:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$52	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-13 06:36
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	2	$50	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-04 02:44
Will "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	4	$47	30	30	+0	Yes	+$9	05-09 05:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$47	102	102	+0	Yes	-$3	04-05 05:50
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	3	$46	30	30	+0	Yes	+$12	04-27 04:04
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$46	30	30	+0	No	+$4	04-15 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:16:34	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	798	2¢	$13	0xd99d4c…
05-15 04:37:35	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	99	21¢	$21	0x0498be…
05-15 04:36:46	Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xae2d97…
05-15 04:34:30	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x632210…
05-15 04:34:10	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa96db4…
05-14 21:57:20	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x6bd50e…
05-14 21:48:09	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x4e0049…
05-14 21:34:00	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	130	16¢	$21	0xf8d2f9…
05-14 21:29:02	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xf69732…
05-14 20:51:55	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb5927e…
05-14 20:51:13	Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x850192…
05-14 19:17:47	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x71da43…
05-14 18:51:34	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	28	55¢	$16	0xd13485…
05-14 18:45:11	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xbac6c8…
05-14 18:29:15	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x36709a…
05-14 16:23:59	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0xbcab1d…
05-14 16:17:01	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xf754cf…
05-14 16:15:40	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x413fc8…
05-14 16:08:32	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xe973df…
05-14 16:06:50	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	6¢	$5	0xe1544e…
05-14 16:03:52	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x6d323c…
05-14 16:00:29	Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x373153…
05-14 09:03:11	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x16e7b2…
05-14 08:06:59	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa28cbf…
05-14 07:31:00	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x87f268…
05-14 07:27:58	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x437caf…
05-14 07:25:43	Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x764f03…
05-14 07:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	158	2¢	$4	0x3241a0…
05-14 07:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x5b7d07…
05-14 07:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd5cc34…
05-14 07:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe4c3b2…
05-14 07:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe55592…
05-14 07:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6cfcc6…
05-14 07:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa5db2b…
05-14 07:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x0915a1…
05-14 06:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xd97633…
05-14 06:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xe35d9b…
05-14 06:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x7d76f6…
05-14 06:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x1c5cab…
05-14 06:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x23f88b…
05-14 05:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xeaed11…
05-14 05:40:55	Will "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x5bd27a…
05-14 05:40:15	Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xe5d134…
05-14 05:35:54	Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x43d48e…
05-14 05:33:38	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xbb7d86…
05-14 05:33:38	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x81fa87…
05-14 05:33:38	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x612edd…
05-14 05:16:44	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x8f832e…
05-14 05:04:22	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x22c250…
05-14 05:01:33	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x445baf…
05-14 05:01:26	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x775d59…
05-14 04:59:16	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x4155f8…
05-13 06:36:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xebfa03…
05-13 06:36:42	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x74eaa4…
05-13 06:36:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x55b6bc…
05-13 06:34:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x84decb…
05-13 06:34:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0xf62dbd…
05-13 06:33:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0xbb40fb…
05-13 06:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0xc844cf…
05-13 06:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x280f60…
05-13 06:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x00ee3d…
05-13 06:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x81f1c8…
05-13 06:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xb0a070…
05-13 06:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x07c0b5…
05-13 06:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0xb7206d…
05-13 06:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0xb28c50…
05-13 06:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa1e2fe…
05-13 06:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x4112fa…
05-13 06:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x26498b…
05-13 06:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x023d18…
05-13 06:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x8ed3cd…
05-13 06:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x4bbe1e…
05-13 06:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe7349b…
05-13 06:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1a4ced…
05-13 06:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x5b502f…
05-13 05:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xf43079…
05-13 05:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x987012…
05-13 05:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x816db8…
05-13 05:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x19917d…
05-13 05:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x7364dd…
05-13 05:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xb56397…
05-13 05:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7238ea…
05-13 05:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x59249e…
05-13 05:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x93d1e8…
05-13 05:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xa3eec3…
05-13 05:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x49bc7e…
05-13 05:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x347f99…
05-13 05:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0x421271…
05-13 05:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xc1004e…
05-13 05:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xf2f7c2…
05-13 05:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xad2c97…
05-13 05:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x5e20ce…
05-12 23:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x9add6b…
05-12 23:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa538f9…
05-12 23:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0xe1b3c4…
05-12 19:26:32	Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x444295…
05-12 19:25:55	Will "Apex" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf1d3c8…
05-12 19:01:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x4a953a…
05-12 19:00:56	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc4631a…
05-12 19:00:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5c34ef…