Watery-Export — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.36K

Unrealized P&L

-$139

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

208

Trades

1,858

lifetime

Volume

$109.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$91

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-11 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

72% 41% -$2,633

Sports

17% 37% +$670

Politics

7% 36% -$697

Tech

3% 57% -$698

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes		+100	$45	60¢	$60	+$15	10-11 04:38
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes		+100	$185	30¢	$30	-$155	10-11 19:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer	32	$4.0K	4,191	4,191	+0	No	-$127	09-15 15:48
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	57	$3.3K	12,197	12,165	+32	No	+$603	03-06 19:50
will karmine corp win the lec 2026 versus	26	$2.9K	2,115	2,115	+0	No	+$63	03-01 22:10
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	11	$2.6K	1,559	1,559	+0	No	+$40	03-05 22:06
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$2.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$32	02-11 01:34
lol dk gen 2026 01 24 game2	4	$2.5K	1,252	1,252	+0	Gen.G	+$34	01-24 12:57
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	6	$2.4K	1,458	1,458	+0	BetBoom Team	+$12	05-12 20:53
lol dk gen 2026 01 24 game1	3	$2.4K	1,219	1,219	+0	Gen.G	+$35	01-24 12:18
lol hle1 dnf 2026 01 24	3	$2.3K	1,182	1,182	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$34	01-24 10:40
lol hle1 dnf 2026 01 24 game2	3	$2.3K	1,148	1,148	+0	DN Freecs	+$11	01-24 09:47
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	21	$2.1K	2,000	1,987	+13	Connecticut Huskies	-$164	04-04 22:47
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	19	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$41	02-28 17:33
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	6	$1.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$135	02-23 18:47
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$1.8K	1,397	1,397	+0	open	—	10-09 16:24
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	31	$1.7K	1,227	1,274	-46	Yes	+$746	03-23 19:34
lol we tt 2026 01 26 game2	4	$1.7K	1,977	457	+1,521	Team WE	-$1,181	01-26 10:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$1.7K	1,799	1,798	+0	No	-$27	03-11 18:16
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	14	$1.6K	1,028	1,028	+0	Yes	-$22	04-08 10:01
will parivision win dreamleague 28	8	$1.5K	827	827	+0	No	+$106	02-25 22:12
will team vitality win krakow 2026	8	$1.5K	1,075	1,075	+0	Yes	+$623	02-08 20:55
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	5	$1.4K	20,811	20,811	+0	No	-$2	01-26 17:47
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?	8	$1.3K	900	900	+0	Yes	+$482	07-26 04:51
will the 2026 state of the union have less than 35m viewers	8	$1.3K	970	970	+0	Yes	-$81	02-20 15:04
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	6	$1.3K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$6	05-20 13:01
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	66	$1.2K	1,646	1,646	+0	Yes	+$638	07-12 21:45
blast open rotterdam 2026 will any team beat vitality	30	$1.2K	1,106	1,106	+0	No	+$288	03-29 11:12
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 74 75f	7	$1.1K	780	780	+0	No	-$8	03-16 13:40
lol bro2 hle1 2026 01 22 game2	3	$1.1K	556	556	+0	OKSavingsBank BRION	+$55	01-22 09:52
will parivision win krakow 2026	3	$1.1K	557	557	+0	No	+$55	02-01 23:10
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	13	$1.0K	1,182	1,182	+0	Yes	+$829	05-16 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 19:30:22	Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	25¢	$62	0x051e66…
10-11 17:48:39	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	287	100¢	$286	0x683bc2…
10-11 14:03:33	Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	29¢	$44	0xb293e3…
10-11 13:47:18	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	130	10¢	$13	0x505c5c…
10-11 04:38:12	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x9fcd5f…
10-09 17:12:10	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xc94290…
10-09 16:50:52	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	SELL	86	48¢	$41	0x741828…
10-09 16:50:43	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	SELL	172	49¢	$85	0xe4a8b0…
10-09 16:24:26	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,397	63¢	$880	0xd82e92…
10-09 16:23:29	Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	42¢	$38	0x26c1a8…
10-09 15:26:49	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	286	63¢	$180	0x991be3…
10-09 15:09:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	635	63¢	$400	0xa8572f…
10-09 15:08:43	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xfb3972…
10-09 14:08:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	476	63¢	$300	0x9040eb…
10-09 14:00:04	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	194	57¢	$110	0x2dee17…
10-09 13:04:18	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x8ebbae…
10-09 11:34:39	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x50cca4…
10-09 10:57:39	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x3b641c…
10-09 10:12:39	dwts 35 week 5 elimination tylcam	No	SELL	27	51¢	$14	0x55aea7…
10-09 07:35:06	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xecc21f…
10-09 07:34:45	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	600	9¢	$57	0x428a1c…
10-08 17:20:41	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x590a97…
10-08 14:52:30	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	59	44¢	$26	0x90e2ae…
10-08 11:43:00	Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x11ec10…
10-08 11:42:36	Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xabc88d…
10-08 11:42:36	Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9e45e7…
10-08 11:13:30	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x8d1c42…
10-08 11:11:57	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xd0d4c3…
10-08 11:08:53	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	45	38¢	$17	0xa9905d…
10-08 10:56:47	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x9a4aff…
10-08 09:18:08	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xba1383…
10-08 09:16:21	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xcc2cf0…
10-07 18:44:34	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	78	41¢	$32	0x752101…
10-07 18:44:07	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x9e1c02…
10-07 18:27:04	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	112	40¢	$45	0x9cf27f…
10-07 15:07:41	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x507bf5…
10-07 12:43:04	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	132	34¢	$45	0xf8a638…
10-07 08:56:50	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	218	32¢	$70	0x497d47…
10-06 21:09:18	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	107	40¢	$43	0xa66f3a…
10-06 19:45:12	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	120	25¢	$30	0x71c0b1…
10-06 19:36:02	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0xc1b9fc…
10-06 17:18:35	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	158	25¢	$40	0xdc29ce…
10-06 17:12:57	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x309b2c…
10-06 13:58:02	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	155	39¢	$60	0x27fe08…
10-06 12:13:52	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x88ec5c…
10-06 12:13:51	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xf88a44…
10-06 12:13:51	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xee2a76…
10-06 12:13:51	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe5280c…
10-06 12:13:51	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xcee47a…
10-05 19:59:50	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xf36c9b…
10-05 14:53:07	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x9c4bf1…
10-05 13:46:13	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	16	41¢	$6	0x892eb8…
10-05 13:46:13	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x57b506…
10-05 13:46:13	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	76	41¢	$31	0x2c0f10…
10-05 12:11:01	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,300	33¢	$429	0x1c6c55…
10-05 12:01:58	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xf01ee1…
10-05 10:57:20	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	31¢	$403	0xa1db8c…
10-05 10:51:40	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x866b85…
10-05 10:47:37	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x04ff16…
10-05 10:20:25	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0x0704cf…
10-05 08:43:08	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x59f455…
10-05 08:00:41	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xf980a0…
10-05 07:40:41	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	340	29¢	$100	0x85a746…
10-04 20:23:08	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x52de75…
10-04 20:22:29	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	No	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x5538c3…
10-04 20:11:11	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	No	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0xf9b1fd…
10-04 19:47:32	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf2b172…
10-04 19:29:43	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x0895a1…
10-04 19:28:07	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x9541bc…
10-04 19:27:53	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x174a51…
10-04 19:27:25	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x2bf0ab…
10-04 19:26:25	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xd20335…
10-04 19:24:40	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	108	47¢	$50	0x6d088f…
10-04 16:32:16	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x4c89f4…
10-04 15:53:44	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x41eea0…
10-04 15:26:34	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0xe0d1db…
10-04 15:26:32	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xdf09d1…
10-04 15:15:23	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xc6dee7…
10-04 11:23:52	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$5	0xf3b41a…
10-04 11:18:58	Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	98	13¢	$13	0xff4742…
10-04 11:08:40	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	104	25¢	$26	0x10cd30…
10-03 16:49:51	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3d53cc…
10-03 14:35:21	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x8af531…
10-03 14:33:39	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe8f6f3…
10-03 14:30:05	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x90f2fa…
10-03 14:27:20	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	Yes	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x272221…
10-02 21:21:02	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xd6b118…
10-02 20:36:03	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x936ed4…
10-02 14:26:47	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xe29d86…
10-02 14:26:33	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x1a17ac…
10-02 14:25:02	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x45f9ab…
10-02 14:15:42	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xa73be2…
10-02 14:15:03	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x1e741d…
09-29 17:25:09	Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x34093d…
09-28 16:19:53	Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x080818…
09-28 15:57:54	Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	539	56¢	$300	0x23cd7e…
09-25 15:00:47	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on September 25?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x606eda…
09-25 14:01:39	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on September 25?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x424c54…
09-25 13:51:48	Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on September 25?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1ec160…
09-25 13:49:23	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25?	Yes	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0x5a2671…