Watery-Export 0x39a81a…9b7d57
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Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,183
lifetime
Volume
$75.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$308
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-23 07:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
80% 67% +$13
Sports
13% — —
Politics
4% 0% —
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -668 $-125 16¢ $-110 +$14 06-09 21:14
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -1,193 $-140 9¢ $-107 +$33 06-23 07:39
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -489 $-72 10¢ $-46 +$26 06-16 21:22
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -343 $-44 7¢ $-24 +$20 06-07 21:25
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -42 $-28 48¢ $-20 +$8 06-11 21:30