Jaded-Softening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$272

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-09 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-0

Politics

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 04:32
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 03:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-06 03:45
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 02:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 03:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:41
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:35
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 02:52
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 02:27
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 03:38
israel closes its airspace by june 9	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-09 02:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 07:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 03:38
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:11
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 04:57
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 02:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 03:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-22 04:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 04:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-04 03:32
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 03:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 03:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:51
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 01:54
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 02:23
Will Alberta join the US?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 04:25
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 03:00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 02:12:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc27fac…
06-09 02:09:04	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe3263a…
06-09 01:57:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x43af67…
06-09 01:54:58	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee795f…
06-08 01:49:46	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x04dd89…
06-08 01:37:25	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd17cdd…
06-06 04:17:16	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xb03a96…
06-06 03:50:42	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x453385…
06-05 03:30:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf3574d…
06-05 03:28:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98b7d1…
06-05 03:17:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77b415…
06-05 03:09:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x77d800…
06-04 03:32:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x06fc82…
06-04 03:08:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa7ddea…
06-03 03:19:59	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa7a723…
06-03 03:09:24	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba02c3…
06-02 02:51:53	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x544550…
06-02 02:50:46	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x60a93a…
06-02 02:31:33	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a2ab4…
06-02 02:27:40	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7f7450…
06-01 03:38:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc88ecb…
06-01 03:37:11	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x17246d…
06-01 03:24:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x00eb1b…
06-01 03:17:33	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x49e500…
05-29 02:45:29	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x12f74d…
05-29 02:31:45	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8c02ab…
05-28 04:25:41	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9a1f53…
05-28 04:24:59	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcdfb9d…
05-28 04:15:04	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc3b732…
05-28 03:50:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4513a7…
05-27 03:36:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1e6b59…
05-27 03:21:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd93a64…
05-26 03:02:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1bfa60…
05-26 02:56:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x77375f…
05-23 03:09:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0ca62d…
05-23 02:53:37	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf5d003…
05-22 04:20:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x54aa57…
05-22 04:18:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3fce72…
05-22 03:44:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9bf0ba…
05-22 03:40:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87e16d…
05-20 03:38:45	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf457e7…
05-20 03:36:08	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0fc551…
05-20 03:22:53	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0738e1…
05-20 03:13:00	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8274b3…
05-19 03:12:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9a79d1…
05-19 03:01:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ed7a9…
05-18 04:23:08	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9672ef…
05-18 04:22:12	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x56b737…
05-18 04:16:59	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfcb5ad…
05-18 04:14:01	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x220d6a…
05-16 03:33:30	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfbdb45…
05-16 03:26:47	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d46da…
05-15 03:26:39	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa382a5…
05-15 03:22:48	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x48d5fa…
05-15 03:11:55	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xff51cf…
05-15 02:58:06	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2272ad…
05-14 03:32:47	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xde4146…
05-14 03:30:10	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f665b…
05-14 03:22:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x7098b8…
05-14 02:48:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc0f0e4…
05-12 04:33:17	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5ab2a0…
05-12 03:38:32	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ac2ad…
05-09 02:32:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb42e6c…
05-09 02:22:56	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x27b6fd…
05-08 03:57:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7fc8b3…
05-08 03:55:53	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x582831…
05-08 03:48:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x05488f…
05-08 03:38:30	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4a630…
05-07 02:20:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7d9f7b…
05-07 02:10:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x166c54…
05-06 03:47:16	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x80692e…
05-06 03:45:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcd41fa…
05-06 03:34:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x159ac2…
05-06 03:28:34	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x217b58…
05-05 03:01:38	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd3ee9a…
05-05 03:00:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x938343…
05-05 02:51:42	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x752841…
05-05 02:48:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x189b42…
05-04 02:29:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x56b403…
05-04 02:09:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x09123d…
04-30 03:49:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x158d51…
04-30 03:47:16	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb85098…
04-30 03:41:08	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1805f4…
04-30 03:34:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfe75e4…
04-29 03:00:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x541bc3…
04-29 02:59:04	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x95180a…
04-29 02:51:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6744ef…
04-29 02:35:58	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46e0c9…
04-28 02:23:46	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7792fa…
04-28 02:22:30	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xda21f1…
04-28 02:20:26	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3845f3…
04-28 02:16:52	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4dbd81…
04-27 02:14:46	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x04cb4f…
04-27 02:13:24	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0a31d6…
04-27 02:10:32	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x23832c…
04-27 02:02:20	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b059b…
04-25 02:45:44	Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6be2c0…
04-25 02:41:50	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9b8254…
04-25 02:37:16	Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4a3668…
04-25 02:29:36	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xabd954…