Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
92.4%
Resolved
601
Trades
669
lifetime
Volume
$3.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$152
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 10-27 05:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Other
43% 96% +$15
Politics
24% 90% -$14
Crypto
20% 95% +$7
Sports
10% 94% -$2
Tech
2% 92% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-26 05:15
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-19 05:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-24 05:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-25 05:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-24 05:15
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-22 05:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-24 05:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-24 05:15
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-22 05:15
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-23 05:15
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-25 05:15
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-24 05:30
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-24 05:15
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-25 05:30
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-24 05:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-24 05:30
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-25 05:15
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-20 05:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-26 05:30
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-25 05:30
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-27 05:15
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-25 05:30
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-26 05:30
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-27 05:15
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-13 05:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-26 05:30
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-22 05:15
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-26 05:30
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-26 05:15
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-24 05:30