Belated-Haversack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

168

Trades

308

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-29 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 74% +$4

Other

22% 48% -$3

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 50% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+3	$2	84¢	$2	+$0	09-22 08:32
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	86¢	$2	+$0	10-06 04:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-2	-$2	98¢	$-2	$0	04-29 04:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	09-16 08:29
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	09-08 06:21
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-20 06:15
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	03-18 07:59
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-24 03:40
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:56
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-16 07:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	09-10 07:21
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-29 06:10
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	04-29 04:42
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-06 02:34
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	07-08 09:40
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	06-26 03:40
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	$0	06-17 04:44
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-03 06:53
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	06-12 05:13
will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	06-10 06:01
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	07-31 08:49
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	$0	04-08 06:08
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	$0	08-22 03:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$30	20	10	+10	Yes	+$0	05-29 06:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 04:29
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	3	$30	15	15	+0	No	$0	03-21 03:50
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	4	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-20 07:36
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	$0	03-16 06:30
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	$0	04-07 11:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	08-28 10:57
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	09-14 12:30
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	06-05 05:46
will bnb reach 1100 in march	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-06 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:43:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26b6cd…
10-29 05:43:28	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x29b6ab…
10-29 05:43:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe4d174…
10-27 03:26:41	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x311d1b…
10-27 03:26:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x26fb2c…
10-27 03:25:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb2e426…
10-27 03:25:29	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe977b1…
10-23 07:16:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x454570…
10-23 07:16:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x15d9e5…
10-21 07:02:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf43cce…
10-21 07:01:54	Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb4c90b…
10-21 07:01:50	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x14f7c7…
10-19 13:40:36	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x77dfee…
10-19 13:40:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab9428…
10-19 13:40:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf15912…
10-19 13:37:50	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa0502c…
10-19 13:37:32	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xaa8943…
10-15 07:12:17	will solana reach 200 in october 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4fbd6b…
10-15 07:12:02	will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc65fce…
10-15 07:11:40	will ethereum reach 3600 in october 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x36d374…
10-15 07:11:29	will ethereum reach 4500 in october 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd2b87e…
10-13 06:04:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5ae9f4…
10-13 06:04:52	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcebcd7…
10-13 06:04:34	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcd1420…
10-13 06:04:25	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0c0f0c…
10-08 09:17:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b9766…
10-08 09:17:15	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeed77b…
10-08 09:16:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa84dc0…
10-06 04:53:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf77bb3…
10-06 04:52:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc96ce1…
10-06 04:52:40	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x8c5c0e…
10-06 04:52:22	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaaaf87…
09-26 06:53:38	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x477092…
09-26 06:48:05	Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb3550f…
09-24 07:43:33	ethereum above 3000 on september 24 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc45aac…
09-24 07:42:48	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xec67ee…
09-24 07:42:15	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcc44b7…
09-22 08:32:22	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x409f1f…
09-22 08:31:30	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x257a6d…
09-22 08:30:39	ethereum up or down on september 22 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x886646…
09-22 08:30:24	will john ternus attend the white house state dinner for xi jinping	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x222fcd…
09-22 08:30:04	will tim cook attend the white house state dinner for xi jinping	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcb72b9…
09-22 08:29:58	will sundar pichai attend the white house state dinner for xi jinping	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb848ed…
09-22 08:29:52	will jensen huang attend the white house state dinner for xi jinping	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x495ac1…
09-22 08:28:15	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef0c24…
09-22 08:27:34	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe6716b…
09-22 08:26:30	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8ffcd5…
09-18 08:46:09	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04b67c…
09-18 08:45:49	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x20eb2b…
09-18 08:44:58	Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb3b9b7…
09-18 08:44:40	bitcoin up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x105ff0…
09-18 08:44:18	xrp up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x338876…
09-18 08:44:10	ethereum up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1d9d61…
09-16 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down on September 16?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3d500…
09-16 08:29:52	Solana Up or Down on September 16?	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9b4343…
09-16 08:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16?	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb90f58…
09-16 08:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down on September 16?	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc13c54…
09-16 08:29:04	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x10d3ff…
09-14 12:31:42	HYPE Up or Down on September 14?	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbe43da…
09-14 12:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down on September 14?	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x37d9b0…
09-14 12:30:40	XRP Up or Down on September 14?	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x33b2e6…
09-14 12:30:25	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4247cc…
09-14 12:30:04	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x340d51…
09-10 07:26:57	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf25601…
09-10 07:26:06	Solana Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x9f10b2…
09-10 07:25:39	Dogecoin Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x66412b…
09-10 07:21:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7e320f…
09-08 06:24:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe64b9d…
09-08 06:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdd5fb6…
09-08 06:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf54685…
09-08 06:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fecd0…
09-08 06:21:46	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe45f5a…
09-05 06:47:55	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe5c705…
09-05 06:43:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa7cc91…
09-03 08:23:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa2b4d6…
09-03 08:23:16	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x96f1e2…
09-01 08:17:36	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa57a56…
08-28 10:57:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x39e3cf…
08-28 10:57:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2eaf5f…
08-26 10:34:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6a61f4…
08-26 10:34:36	bitcoin above 82k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1cdd18…
08-26 10:34:16	solana up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb68e78…
08-26 10:33:46	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x118dc4…
08-26 10:33:30	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xf52dee…
08-22 09:15:15	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfa4034…
08-22 09:14:19	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x91582c…
08-22 09:14:07	bitcoin up or down on august 22 2026	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x9ffaf6…
08-22 03:43:13	will tropical storm saudel make landfall in japan 1787177922936	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x06291c…
08-22 03:43:07	will tropical storm saudel make landfall in japan 1787177922936	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8c7890…
08-22 03:42:25	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b043c…
08-22 03:41:22	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1ea00b…
08-22 03:40:49	bitcoin up or down on august 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6ca58a…
08-22 03:39:34	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb43948…
08-20 06:49:57	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc1c4a8…
08-18 07:17:30	ethereum above 2000 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeed912…
08-14 07:04:04	xrp above 1pt2 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf0eb16…
08-12 10:52:39	ethereum above 2000 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x79a9e2…
08-07 07:01:06	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1d65f8…
08-07 07:00:48	ethereum above 2000 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x877341…
08-05 07:41:00	xrp above 1pt2 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6db0b4…