(anonymous) 0x3c1eb3…d758fe Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
52.1%
Resolved
209
Trades
422
lifetime
Volume
$1.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$133
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-27
last 09-09 09:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
59% 48% -$88
Politics
34% 64% +$27
Sports
3% 50% -$9
Tech
2% 40% -$8
Crypto
1% 50% +$10
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17 $7 92¢ $16 +$9 08-07 19:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $12 90¢ $13 +$1 08-25 20:07
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$0 09-05 13:04
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? Yes +10 $4 81¢ $8 +$4 09-04 21:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 08-25 20:02
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 09-01 11:29
US recession by end of 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-25 18:21
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 09-01 06:06
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 09-01 13:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 09-01 14:25
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 08-18 11:58
No one announced as next James Bond? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 08-16 15:55
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 07-31 17:26
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$1 09-04 02:12
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $0 07-31 16:28
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 09-05 14:05
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$2 09-03 13:46
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +4 $3 91¢ $4 +$1 08-17 12:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $4 36¢ $4 $0 09-01 20:40
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +10 $2 33¢ $3 +$1 08-10 05:12
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +3 $2 96¢ $3 +$1 08-09 19:32
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? No +5 $4 55¢ $3 -$1 09-04 05:44
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $4 42¢ $2 -$2 09-03 23:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +5 $4 37¢ $2 -$2 08-18 13:35
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +1 -$1 95¢ $1 +$2 08-09 11:08
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +15 $4 8¢ $1 -$3 09-04 20:55
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +20 $3 5¢ $1 -$2 08-25 20:31
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes +15 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 09-03 01:43
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 08-09 11:42
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +10 $7 5¢ $0 -$6 08-03 17:44