Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$642

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

6,306

Trades

6,751

lifetime

Volume

$118.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-12 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 98% -$37

Other

11% 19% -$126

Politics

11% 27% -$320

Sports

2% 46% -$144

Tech

1% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	68	$3.2K	2,828	2,828	+0	No	-$1	06-19 10:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	30	$2.2K	2,580	2,780	-200	Yes	-$157	06-14 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	19	$2.1K	1,839	1,839	+0	open	—	07-08 02:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	17	$2.1K	2,057	2,057	+0	No	$0	07-02 14:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	11	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	14	$1.4K	1,310	1,310	+0	Yes	-$28	05-28 17:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	17	$1.3K	1,186	1,186	+0	No	+$23	06-18 12:25
Fed rate hike in 2026?	18	$1.1K	894	894	+0	Yes	-$40	07-08 07:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	9	$977	657	657	+0	No	+$0	06-25 15:41
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	4	$815	965	965	+0	Yes	-$124	07-12 14:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$754	600	600	+0	No	-$14	05-30 22:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	4	$510	400	400	+0	Yes	+$2	06-14 19:32
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$408	400	400	+0	No	+$2	07-12 07:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	33	$388	400	400	+0	open	—	07-12 04:35
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$368	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-18 07:36
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	10	$359	509	509	+0	No	-$22	07-12 14:54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	11	$356	312	312	+0	No	$0	06-12 17:42
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$343	324	324	+0	No	+$0	07-08 15:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$342	352	352	+0	Yes	+$2	06-25 13:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$340	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	06-11 03:26
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	5	$323	326	326	+0	No	+$0	05-28 15:43
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	2	$312	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-01 15:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$304	400	400	+0	No	-$8	06-02 13:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	5	$304	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	06-01 17:25
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	2	$295	200	200	+0	No	+$3	07-11 08:58
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-07 20:35
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$286	262	262	+0	No	+$8	06-23 21:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$284	315	315	+0	open	—	05-24 20:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	2	$280	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-23 10:17
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	4	$278	200	200	+0	No	-$10	05-28 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:54:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	98	42¢	$41	0x364c13…
07-12 14:39:35	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	965	36¢	$346	0x3d0bf5…
07-12 07:56:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0xab3faa…
07-12 07:55:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x770591…
07-12 04:35:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x69b8a5…
07-12 03:46:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x3534a2…
07-12 02:28:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x8e871c…
07-11 17:04:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	45	50¢	$23	0xc50b65…
07-11 16:28:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xd6e5cf…
07-11 08:58:13	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$149	0x4560e3…
07-11 03:08:23	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0xc2cee4…
07-11 03:08:23	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x64e7bf…
07-10 21:08:05	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	335	48¢	$161	0xda94ea…
07-10 21:04:32	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0x283a36…
07-10 20:58:53	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x70123a…
07-10 18:33:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	136	8¢	$11	0xedd873…
07-10 13:32:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x143bb7…
07-10 08:06:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	70	83¢	$58	0xab230f…
07-10 07:42:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0xb9b0cd…
07-09 17:45:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x8024c1…
07-09 17:44:50	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0xac6ec5…
07-09 17:38:17	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	160	58¢	$93	0x871419…
07-09 17:17:47	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x62da8e…
07-09 09:57:52	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	249	48¢	$120	0x11378c…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	249	48¢	$120	0xacacc7…
07-08 18:30:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	29¢	$62	0x8d4a08…
07-08 17:30:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	51	85¢	$43	0x5d7fe9…
07-08 15:26:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	324	53¢	$172	0xa31f40…
07-08 07:12:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xb3313e…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	213	37¢	$79	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	213	37¢	$79	0x83f958…
07-08 00:48:29	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x20ba31…
07-08 00:48:11	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x4b8c64…
07-08 00:24:40	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xdf0f27…
07-08 00:04:02	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xff2f83…
07-07 23:59:55	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	96	41¢	$39	0xc677dc…
07-07 19:58:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	98	65¢	$64	0xd34ded…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	324	53¢	$172	0xed6c15…
07-07 14:04:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	140	38¢	$53	0x33e7a2…
07-07 13:55:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	255	38¢	$97	0xfff719…
07-07 13:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	395	38¢	$150	0x4a5733…
07-07 12:08:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xe34629…
07-07 12:08:20	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xe3fee1…
07-07 12:08:20	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xca45f3…
07-07 12:08:20	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x6648fc…
07-07 12:08:20	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x329a09…
07-07 12:08:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xf23483…
07-07 12:08:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xdbfc46…
07-07 12:08:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xc688e7…
07-07 12:08:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x2a9523…
07-07 12:08:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x25195f…
07-07 12:07:59	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	73	42¢	$31	0x2a9234…
07-07 12:07:50	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	32	42¢	$13	0x84efb6…
07-07 12:07:50	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	63	42¢	$26	0x2a5516…
07-07 12:07:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	207	42¢	$87	0x42d2ff…
07-07 06:18:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	127	60¢	$76	0x8dc4f6…
07-07 06:11:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x61bb5d…
07-07 06:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xbdf02a…
07-07 06:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	127	60¢	$76	0x94ae2a…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	287	61¢	$175	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	287	61¢	$175	0xa9f42a…
07-06 22:31:47	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	75	62¢	$46	0xb07ec0…
07-06 21:28:49	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	75	62¢	$46	0xaed008…
07-06 15:18:38	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	52¢	$53	0x7e989d…
07-06 15:18:07	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	52¢	$53	0xb48ff5…
07-06 15:10:37	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	SELL	202	49¢	$99	0x36f421…
07-06 14:40:08	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	202	49¢	$99	0xfd0b3d…
07-06 10:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	217	69¢	$150	0x41e8e4…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 01:17:11	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	44¢	$95	0x3c071a…
07-05 12:01:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x35e860…
07-05 12:01:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x8029bc…
07-05 08:57:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	18	31¢	$5	0x09761b…
07-05 08:57:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xdd60ab…
07-05 08:57:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	158	31¢	$49	0xe146f2…
07-05 08:57:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x5f40b6…
07-05 08:57:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	211	31¢	$65	0x66f9c2…
07-04 21:10:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	136	31¢	$42	0xf6741e…
07-04 21:10:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0x723c16…
07-04 21:10:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xb725fd…
07-04 00:07:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0xd46185…
07-04 00:07:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	156	83¢	$130	0xc99215…
07-04 00:06:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$167	0x52e053…
07-03 19:41:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x6a1fa5…
07-03 19:41:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xbc9f93…
07-02 15:56:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	51	85¢	$43	0x1d8d5c…
07-02 14:24:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	213	72¢	$153	0xe311fb…
07-02 14:24:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	213	72¢	$153	0xf3e728…
07-02 13:25:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	112	59¢	$66	0x61fb5c…
07-02 13:25:52	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	112	59¢	$66	0x7f6654…
07-02 12:30:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x76fa8f…
07-02 12:30:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0xbeed51…
07-02 12:30:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	169	18¢	$30	0xb81edc…
07-02 12:30:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0x117aac…
07-02 04:22:28	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x371e7f…
07-02 02:44:56	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x5cfc71…
07-01 15:41:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x61c098…
07-01 15:33:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x166006…
07-01 07:14:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	85¢	$104	0xe8d313…
07-01 07:14:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	85¢	$66	0xf741bc…