Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$399

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

6,276

Trades

6,554

lifetime

Volume

$108.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-12 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 98% $-23

Other

9% 38% +$39

Politics

8% 11% $-357

Tech

1% 0% $-58

Sports

1% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	35	$2.3K	1,678	2,104	-426	No	+$106	06-19 10:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	19	$2.1K	1,839	1,839	+0	open	—	07-08 02:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	11	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-01 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$1.6K	1,510	1,446	+64	No	+$41	07-02 14:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	21	$1.6K	1,980	1,982	-2	Yes	$-79	06-14 17:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	17	$1.3K	1,186	1,186	+0	No	+$23	06-18 12:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	12	$1.2K	1,110	1,110	+0	Yes	$-28	05-28 17:44
Fed rate hike in 2026?	18	$1.1K	894	894	+0	open	—	07-08 07:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	9	$977	657	657	+0	No	+$0	06-25 15:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	33	$388	400	400	+0	open	—	07-12 04:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	3	$382	200	400	-200	Yes	$-70	06-14 19:32
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$368	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-18 07:36
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	10	$359	509	509	+0	No	$-22	07-12 14:54
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$343	324	324	+0	open	—	07-08 15:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$340	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-30 22:40
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	2	$312	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-01 15:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$304	400	400	+0	No	$-8	06-02 13:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	5	$304	200	200	+0	Yes	$-0	06-01 17:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	7	$298	312	210	+102	No	$-58	06-12 17:42
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-07 20:35
starmer out by july 31 2026	11	$275	264	264	+0	Yes	$-65	06-19 06:29
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$256	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 19:41
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$247	343	343	+0	Yes	+$0	06-30 02:57
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$239	249	249	+0	open	—	07-09 09:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$216	186	186	+0	No	+$0	06-19 09:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	4	$212	200	200	+0	Yes	$-28	05-28 17:55
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$211	271	271	+0	No	+$0	06-26 04:24
will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	2	$198	202	202	+0	Yes	+$0	07-06 15:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$181	206	206	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 15:15
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	4	$166	180	180	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:54:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	98	42¢	$41	0x364c13…
07-12 07:56:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0xab3faa…
07-12 04:35:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x69b8a5…
07-12 03:46:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x3534a2…
07-11 17:04:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	45	50¢	$23	0xc50b65…
07-11 16:28:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xd6e5cf…
07-11 03:08:23	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0xc2cee4…
07-11 03:08:23	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x64e7bf…
07-09 09:57:52	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	249	48¢	$120	0x11378c…
07-09 09:57:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	249	48¢	$120	0xacacc7…
07-08 18:30:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	29¢	$62	0x8d4a08…
07-08 15:26:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	324	53¢	$172	0xa31f40…
07-08 07:12:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xb3313e…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	213	37¢	$79	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	213	37¢	$79	0x83f958…
07-07 19:58:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	98	65¢	$64	0xd34ded…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	324	53¢	$172	0xed6c15…
07-07 14:04:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	140	38¢	$53	0x33e7a2…
07-07 13:55:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	255	38¢	$97	0xfff719…
07-07 13:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	395	38¢	$150	0x4a5733…
07-07 06:18:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	127	60¢	$76	0x8dc4f6…
07-07 06:11:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x61bb5d…
07-07 06:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xbdf02a…
07-07 06:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	127	60¢	$76	0x94ae2a…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	287	61¢	$175	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	287	61¢	$175	0xa9f42a…
07-06 15:18:38	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	52¢	$53	0x7e989d…
07-06 15:18:07	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	52¢	$53	0xb48ff5…
07-06 15:10:37	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	SELL	202	49¢	$99	0x36f421…
07-06 14:40:08	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	202	49¢	$99	0xfd0b3d…
07-06 10:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	217	69¢	$150	0x41e8e4…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 01:17:11	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	44¢	$95	0x3c071a…
07-05 12:01:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x35e860…
07-05 12:01:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x8029bc…
07-05 08:57:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	18	31¢	$5	0x09761b…
07-05 08:57:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xdd60ab…
07-05 08:57:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	158	31¢	$49	0xe146f2…
07-05 08:57:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x5f40b6…
07-05 08:57:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	211	31¢	$65	0x66f9c2…
07-04 21:10:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	136	31¢	$42	0xf6741e…
07-04 21:10:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0x723c16…
07-04 21:10:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xb725fd…
07-03 19:41:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x6a1fa5…
07-03 19:41:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xbc9f93…
07-02 14:24:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	213	72¢	$153	0xe311fb…
07-02 14:24:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	213	72¢	$153	0xf3e728…
07-02 04:22:28	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x371e7f…
07-02 02:44:56	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x5cfc71…
07-01 15:41:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x61c098…
07-01 15:33:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x166006…
07-01 07:14:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	85¢	$104	0xe8d313…
07-01 07:14:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	85¢	$66	0xf741bc…
07-01 07:14:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x9a6525…
06-30 22:59:52	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x2d8c58…
06-30 22:53:29	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x527d75…
06-30 07:30:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x6d7c4e…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3b05db…
06-30 02:57:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	293	36¢	$105	0xb4582e…
06-30 02:57:38	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x5e298f…
06-30 02:57:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	343	36¢	$123	0xdceb62…
06-29 12:35:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x6ed064…
06-29 12:35:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xe0fa03…
06-27 06:51:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	84	63¢	$53	0xc54913…
06-27 06:51:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x1a247f…
06-27 06:51:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	86	63¢	$54	0x80ca02…
06-26 09:22:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x63a020…
06-26 09:18:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x0490ed…
06-26 06:08:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x91c384…
06-26 06:08:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xe90fa4…
06-26 04:24:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	271	39¢	$106	0xc9f2a9…
06-26 04:24:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	271	39¢	$106	0x9ccfe2…
06-25 15:41:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0x918bca…
06-25 05:41:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xb0adb7…
06-24 13:40:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	230	75¢	$172	0x17ffa0…
06-24 13:39:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xf40510…
06-24 13:27:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	231	75¢	$173	0x234d47…
06-23 14:36:49	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x7313cc…
06-23 14:36:34	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x4045ce…
06-23 08:16:14	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0x90cf44…
06-22 08:08:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	293	56¢	$164	0x7c19db…
06-22 07:39:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	293	56¢	$164	0x633051…
06-21 12:29:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0xd219ab…
06-21 02:33:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	333	53¢	$176	0x027016…
06-21 01:54:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	333	53¢	$176	0x4b05a3…
06-21 01:54:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x08377f…
06-19 18:04:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x058314…
06-19 17:12:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x8bddf6…
06-19 10:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xd883a5…
06-19 10:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x209404…
06-19 10:31:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xda35a9…
06-19 10:31:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	46	8¢	$4	0xca9c34…
06-19 10:31:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x87f93b…
06-19 10:31:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x305463…
06-19 10:31:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xed23b8…
06-19 10:31:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	74	8¢	$6	0x9f9435…
06-19 10:31:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xb0517e…
06-19 10:31:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x85326e…
06-19 10:31:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x6bb5be…
06-19 09:06:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	186	58¢	$108	0xf51629…