Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$400

Unrealized P&L

+$355

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$101.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$312

Open exposure

$19.0K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-27 07:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

80% 83% +$256

Other

16% 100% +$144

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-11,707	-$11,709	98¢	$-11490	+$219	10-19 11:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+4,518	$4,319	99¢	$4.5K	+$139	10-27 08:54
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	+1,372	$1,314	96¢	$1.3K	+$5	10-25 20:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$930	92¢	$923	-$7	10-01 19:25
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	-813	-$774	97¢	$-789	-$15	07-05 14:26
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	-370	-$37	6¢	$-22	+$15	08-25 22:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	85	$42.0K	16,351	28,058	-11,707	open	—	10-19 11:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	24	$10.3K	7,558	3,040	+4,518	open	—	10-27 08:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	18	$8.4K	4,449	4,093	+355	No	+$54	01-31 16:59
Plague pandemic in 2026?	6	$7.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	10-18 05:40
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	7	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$42	10-07 17:40
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	14	$4.7K	2,386	2,386	+0	No	+$103	09-17 12:52
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	4	$4.2K	2,119	2,119	+0	open	—	10-20 07:52
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$4.2K	3,813	425	+3,388	Yes	+$2	09-18 17:19
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	18	$2.8K	2,880	0	+2,880	No	+$99	02-19 16:48
Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	11	$2.2K	2,004	271	+1,734	No	+$53	09-16 19:23
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	13	$1.4K	1,410	38	+1,372	open	—	10-25 20:29
Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	18	$1.1K	550	550	+0	No	+$10	08-11 23:58
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	7	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-01 19:25
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	17	$898	67	880	-813	open	—	07-05 14:26
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	2	$792	800	0	+800	No	+$8	02-13 10:36
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	2	$579	300	300	+0	open	—	10-20 10:08
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	8	$527	540	0	+540	No	+$13	09-17 13:22
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$2	01-23 06:48
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	5	$380	197	197	+0	No	+$4	01-23 07:14
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?	3	$345	370	0	+370	open	—	10-19 17:58
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?	3	$336	350	0	+350	open	—	10-07 05:28
will the us strike 7 countries in january 2026 877	7	$304	180	127	+53	No	+$3	01-31 19:48
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	4	$293	300	0	+300	No	+$7	02-02 18:54
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	4	$277	150	150	+0	No	+$1	01-28 00:25
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	1	$250	0	251	-251	No	-$1	06-27 18:18
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	2	$248	254	0	+254	No	+$6	02-18 20:09
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	3	$207	217	0	+217	No	+$10	01-31 13:34
will the us strike 5 countries in february 2026	4	$195	200	0	+200	No	+$5	02-02 10:32
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$112	114	0	+114	No	+$2	06-02 11:18
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	2	$98	0	100	-100	No	-$2	05-21 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:54:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0xed99dc…
10-27 07:02:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x445098…
10-27 06:58:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,520	99¢	$1,499	0x452fb7…
10-27 05:43:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$491	0x4ce329…
10-27 05:42:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$982	0xd5d079…
10-25 20:29:14	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x445819…
10-25 14:32:57	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xdae0b9…
10-25 14:30:05	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xf86b4c…
10-25 13:49:33	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0x920f0e…
10-20 14:27:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,938	0xd78b58…
10-20 10:08:30	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0x920f82…
10-20 07:52:34	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	1,250	100¢	$1,246	0xf61919…
10-19 22:32:44	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	450	96¢	$431	0xe0bb29…
10-19 21:36:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0xcc9642…
10-19 21:36:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	97¢	$439	0x6a7f84…
10-19 17:58:21	US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xbb6e73…
10-19 17:55:30	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x132b95…
10-19 17:55:09	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x8d6bb1…
10-19 13:30:36	US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x760b7c…
10-19 11:45:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$975	0x1a989f…
10-19 09:25:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1eb12f…
10-19 08:49:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xcd3d2b…
10-19 05:51:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x339fae…
10-18 23:20:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96	97¢	$94	0x5a0f49…
10-18 21:41:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	192	97¢	$187	0x19d6d5…
10-18 21:34:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,117	97¢	$1,088	0x4c907e…
10-18 18:12:15	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	143	96¢	$137	0x44d14c…
10-18 16:08:18	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0x4399b4…
10-18 15:43:44	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x5de126…
10-18 15:42:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0x032ca3…
10-18 05:40:02	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	4,000	98¢	$3,928	0x444d04…
10-18 02:25:27	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0xd7d731…
10-17 06:40:44	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,235	0xfbc8d4…
10-17 05:49:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	769	98¢	$749	0xb6ec09…
10-17 03:51:30	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xb651b2…
10-16 23:46:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,061	97¢	$1,032	0xfb00c6…
10-15 02:30:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	930	96¢	$896	0xa806eb…
10-14 22:22:45	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	869	100¢	$866	0x2d5d92…
10-13 06:57:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	131	96¢	$126	0xbd63a2…
10-13 06:40:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	769	96¢	$737	0xd98f8a…
10-13 06:38:17	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	869	99¢	$859	0xc6e892…
10-13 05:43:42	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	250	96¢	$239	0x466e9c…
10-13 05:30:42	US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?	No	BUY	312	93¢	$290	0xdb9b42…
10-12 01:18:23	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x93b476…
10-10 14:07:34	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	304	97¢	$296	0xe2d3a2…
10-10 13:32:13	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x50a8f7…
10-10 13:16:21	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	114	97¢	$111	0x0b37f5…
10-10 11:09:28	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	115	97¢	$112	0x0246e1…
10-10 09:52:07	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3,428	97¢	$3,339	0xccc707…
10-09 15:56:33	Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x42e16f…
10-09 12:48:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x7cbffc…
10-09 10:53:42	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	230	96¢	$221	0x237d04…
10-09 05:46:50	Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x6cb90b…
10-08 08:50:28	Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf05fa4…
10-07 22:45:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	700	97¢	$677	0xd3beb2…
10-07 17:40:31	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,323	99¢	$1,311	0x8c8955…
10-07 17:16:25	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x8e150f…
10-07 16:46:35	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabaa12…
10-07 16:21:49	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x50ca9f…
10-07 16:13:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$284	0x7c1988…
10-07 15:47:38	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x7edf17…
10-07 15:15:50	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x618983…
10-07 15:09:14	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,976	0x97cc1e…
10-07 15:00:19	Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	103	76¢	$78	0x50e1aa…
10-07 14:48:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x4e2271…
10-07 09:46:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x15eefe…
10-07 05:28:30	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xd4920c…
10-06 23:43:34	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xc4896a…
10-03 08:23:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	228	98¢	$223	0xb0a0f4…
10-01 19:25:05	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	790	93¢	$735	0x01230e…
09-30 21:24:26	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x24f943…
09-30 02:49:54	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	93¢	$23	0x562d81…
09-29 19:25:18	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xb95ca2…
09-29 19:25:18	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xa49439…
09-29 19:25:18	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x21f6a8…
09-29 16:48:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x9c0f27…
09-29 16:48:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	98¢	$4,900	0x93d43a…
09-29 16:47:48	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	93¢	$74	0xb9c706…
09-28 19:50:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	97¢	$4,850	0x792fde…
09-18 17:19:06	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3,813	100¢	$3,794	0x6e814b…
09-17 15:13:37	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xea2268…
09-17 15:07:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,000	96¢	$3,840	0xf08926…
09-17 13:22:42	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0x0ee060…
09-17 13:17:13	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$69	0xc6f822…
09-17 12:52:33	Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0xd271a5…
09-17 05:37:39	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x7ee60f…
09-17 04:55:03	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x2bea56…
09-17 00:24:04	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x9e4030…
09-16 19:23:15	Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x68c2b1…
09-16 19:23:15	Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$121	0x3afe37…
09-16 19:23:13	Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1e047b…
09-16 18:08:01	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	108	96¢	$104	0xe818dd…
09-16 15:56:24	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc36afd…
09-16 15:17:59	Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x2ec338…
09-15 11:13:07	Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xbebfcc…
09-15 11:13:07	Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x5ee1d9…
09-14 11:21:48	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x75e8e3…
09-13 15:02:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0x3b7dd1…
09-13 15:02:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x717dea…
09-13 15:01:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,908	94¢	$2,734	0xa7a0bc…