Ambitious-Everything — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.22K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

4,117

Trades

12,671

lifetime

Volume

$102.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$83

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-24 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 57% -$1,984

Other

5% 33% -$104

Politics

2% 22% -$117

Sports

0% 57% -$13

Tech

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-59	-$51	94¢	$-56	-$5	05-26 20:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-20	-$17	82¢	$-16	+$1	06-18 01:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-6	-$5	97¢	$-6	$0	06-18 01:09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	-5	-$5	96¢	$-5	$0	06-18 01:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-09 08:00 UTC	186	$6.8K	10,903	8,082	+2,821	Up	-$227	04-09 11:56
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-07 16:00 UTC	55	$4.7K	3,591	3,502	+89	Up	+$154	04-07 19:52
bitcoin up or down february 2 3pm et	28	$4.7K	5,756	5,398	+358	Down	-$311	02-02 20:48
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 9am et	54	$3.7K	8,829	8,323	+506	Down	+$62	04-09 13:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 00:45 UTC	90	$3.1K	6,045	5,743	+302	Up	+$643	04-09 01:00
bitcoin up or down february 2 2pm et	20	$3.1K	5,083	4,705	+378	Down	+$210	02-02 19:50
bitcoin up or down february 2 1pm et	31	$2.4K	5,363	4,714	+649	Down	+$206	02-02 18:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 19:45 UTC	28	$2.1K	7,540	7,501	+39	Down	-$488	02-02 19:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	292	$2.1K	2,071	2,069	+1	No	+$3	04-08 16:05
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 12pm et	60	$1.8K	3,370	3,214	+156	Up	-$36	04-07 16:48
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-09 12:00 UTC	27	$1.4K	3,394	3,236	+158	Up	-$497	04-09 14:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:45 UTC	123	$1.3K	1,069	766	+303	Down	+$41	02-01 19:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:45 UTC	183	$1.3K	1,462	847	+615	Down	+$61	02-02 15:00
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 2pm et	27	$1.2K	1,772	1,686	+86	Down	+$28	04-07 18:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 19:00 UTC	24	$1.2K	1,384	1,207	+177	Up	+$84	04-07 19:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-07 12:00 UTC	76	$1.1K	1,491	1,229	+262	Down	-$4	04-07 15:48
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	31	$1.1K	1,124	1,124	+0	No	-$16	03-26 19:18
bitcoin up or down february 2 11am et	11	$1.1K	1,607	1,607	+0	Down	+$14	02-02 16:43
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 8am et	19	$993	1,175	1,126	+49	Up	+$43	04-09 12:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 18:00 UTC	23	$935	750	720	+30	Down	+$305	04-07 18:13
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 1pm et	13	$822	1,011	968	+43	Up	-$2	04-07 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 16:15 UTC	28	$817	827	713	+113	Up	+$46	02-02 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 14:15 UTC	5	$724	430	427	+3	Down	+$89	01-22 14:31
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 8am et	31	$699	952	906	+45	Up	+$83	04-07 12:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-28 20:00 UTC	105	$683	728	726	+1	Down	-$31	03-28 22:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:30 UTC	107	$670	620	314	+306	Up	+$88	02-02 14:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 14:30 UTC	3	$649	415	404	+11	Up	+$146	04-09 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 19:30 UTC	11	$630	806	798	+9	Up	+$153	02-02 19:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:15 UTC	266	$614	790	634	+156	Down	-$9	02-01 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 21:15 UTC	211	$605	943	356	+587	Up	-$47	02-01 21:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 06:53:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb45ebe…
10-24 06:38:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xf62149…
10-24 06:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x9b930a…
10-24 06:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0xda0ccf…
10-24 06:09:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0xf35455…
10-24 05:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x61f59d…
10-24 05:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x65f851…
10-24 04:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xf5d82c…
10-24 04:22:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0xaac4fd…
10-24 03:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x82a4a9…
10-24 03:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x99634d…
10-24 03:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x3667e6…
10-24 02:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xead6ac…
10-24 02:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x451abe…
10-24 01:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x966fbb…
10-24 01:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xadd583…
10-24 00:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa5c6fb…
10-23 22:23:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x83ee86…
10-23 21:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x42e71d…
10-23 20:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x70496c…
10-23 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x1904e4…
10-23 20:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xd14ae1…
10-23 20:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x8727e1…
10-23 20:07:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x2c6580…
10-23 19:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x48446a…
10-23 19:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x85bd01…
10-23 19:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xefa461…
10-23 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x10de11…
10-23 18:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x18d9c1…
10-23 18:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$14	0x9ade30…
10-23 17:38:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x795e9a…
10-23 16:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x362e3e…
10-23 15:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x76fa08…
10-23 15:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xf1207f…
10-23 15:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0xa49206…
10-23 14:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0xb0f72e…
10-23 14:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xf5149c…
10-23 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x11b1db…
10-23 13:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x7f4f7a…
10-23 12:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x828853…
10-23 12:54:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xf111a3…
10-23 11:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x89acc4…
10-23 11:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	76¢	$15	0x44b465…
10-23 11:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x2ce406…
10-23 11:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x045620…
10-23 10:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0xfde515…
10-23 09:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x6b8bc8…
10-23 09:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x30f85d…
10-23 08:38:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x9824c9…
10-23 08:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0xc1b7de…
10-23 07:24:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x3a5cd3…
10-23 06:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x54cbf2…
10-23 06:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x036f32…
10-23 06:07:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0x24c8c9…
10-23 05:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x185fe4…
10-23 04:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xd7ea8e…
10-23 03:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xa88270…
10-23 02:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x7ca8a2…
10-23 02:07:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x6c7989…
10-23 01:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x0b5c8e…
10-23 01:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x9dc67e…
10-23 01:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	663	2¢	$13	0xd39337…
10-23 01:25:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x755781…
10-23 01:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x1d3448…
10-23 00:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x97d599…
10-23 00:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x8c4843…
10-22 23:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0xf0733c…
10-22 23:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$15	0x1c5e8c…
10-22 23:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x9de792…
10-22 23:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x8e3375…
10-22 21:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x79fdf8…
10-22 21:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x9548e2…
10-22 21:37:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x747626…
10-22 20:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$15	0xb05e87…
10-22 20:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x51d0da…
10-22 20:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x96374b…
10-22 19:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$14	0xb7ee3b…
10-22 19:07:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x0a4da3…
10-22 18:08:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0xc9d722…
10-22 17:52:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x5122e5…
10-22 17:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x4e4fe8…
10-22 17:38:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xfa96e0…
10-22 17:07:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	56¢	$14	0x9986b0…
10-22 17:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0x866c06…
10-22 14:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x571a35…
10-22 13:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe99bf6…
10-22 13:55:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xd887d6…
10-22 11:26:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x9a571a…
10-22 11:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0x05c322…
10-22 10:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x17e718…
10-22 09:42:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe68203…
10-22 09:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xb20515…
10-22 09:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0xceefd5…
10-22 07:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x70d38f…
10-22 07:09:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x4782a6…
10-22 07:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x956657…
10-22 06:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x6a59d3…
10-22 01:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x6965ef…
10-21 23:53:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xe32093…
10-21 19:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0xb0cd8f…