Realized P&L
-$353
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
299
lifetime
Volume
$25.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$906
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-09 14:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 25% $-472
Other
49% 100% +$119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +400 $284 72¢ $286 +$2 06-06 11:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +400 $200 56¢ $222 +$22 06-06 12:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -185 $-181 95¢ $-175 +$6 06-09 14:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-26 63¢ $-126 $-100 05-29 16:16
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -103 $-95 94¢ $-97 $-2 06-03 16:53