Enormous-Mustard 0x3e4956…b1ae9d
new
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Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
28
28 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$73
$73 lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$57
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 09:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
48% — —
Other
27% — —
Crypto
25% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -42 $-11 28¢ $-12 $-0 05-06 09:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 60¢ $-6 $-0 05-08 06:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? No +10 $6 55¢ $5 $-1 05-08 05:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 05-07 22:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No -5 $-4 78¢ $-4 +$0 05-06 07:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? No -5 $-3 70¢ $-4 $-1 05-07 07:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 66¢ $-3 +$1 05-06 05:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes -20 $-2 15¢ $-3 $-1 05-08 06:20
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? No -5 $-3 54¢ $-3 $-0 05-08 04:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No -5 $-2 52¢ $-3 $-0 05-07 07:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-3 48¢ $-2 +$0 05-06 08:05
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes -10 $-2 21¢ $-2 +$0 05-08 07:04
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? Yes -4 $-2 46¢ $-2 $-0 05-08 09:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 34¢ $-2 $-1 05-06 06:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 07:33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 05-07 09:55
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes -4 $-2 12¢ $-0 +$1 05-06 20:36
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? Yes -1 $-0 12¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 20:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes -1 $-0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 08:00