(anonymous) 0x3e987a…215389 Create alert
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$240
Unrealized P&L
-$124
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
96
Trades
598
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$755
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 11-06 17:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
54% 41% -$3
Politics
40% 43% -$111
Tech
2% 100% +$17
Sports
2% 6% -$108
Crypto
2% 25% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? Yes +155 $90 57¢ $88 -$2 11-06 16:57
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027? No +100 $68 61¢ $61 -$7 11-02 08:28
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +100 $43 57¢ $57 +$14 11-01 13:34
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +100 $47 42¢ $42 -$4 11-01 22:50
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? No +100 $59 37¢ $37 -$22 11-04 12:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? No +100 $36 36¢ $36 +$0 11-03 01:09
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31? No +50 $33 66¢ $33 +$0 11-05 13:17
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? No +50 $32 66¢ $33 +$1 11-03 14:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +50 $35 64¢ $32 -$3 11-05 05:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +53 $40 57¢ $30 -$10 09-21 12:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +100 $35 29¢ $29 -$6 11-04 16:23
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? No +50 $29 52¢ $26 -$3 11-06 02:45
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -77 -$19 34¢ $-26 -$7 09-10 14:41
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027? No +50 $24 48¢ $24 +$1 11-04 18:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? Yes +40 $24 60¢ $24 +$0 11-05 21:42
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +50 $29 42¢ $21 -$8 11-03 21:56
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government? No +60 $35 31¢ $19 -$17 11-04 19:36
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +50 $25 33¢ $17 -$8 11-05 04:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? No +40 $16 40¢ $16 +$0 11-05 21:34
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +49 $25 32¢ $16 -$9 11-05 21:32
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? No +50 $28 29¢ $14 -$14 11-06 09:30
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027? Yes +20 $13 55¢ $11 -$2 11-05 18:54
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the January interest rate announcement? Yes +20 $16 52¢ $10 -$6 11-05 08:47
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027? No +20 $7 45¢ $9 +$2 11-06 17:28
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -118 -$16 7¢ $-8 +$8 07-23 11:41
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $11 38¢ $8 -$3 11-05 09:29
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 36¢ $7 -$2 11-05 15:16
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $12 24¢ $7 -$5 11-03 05:31
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +10 $20 64¢ $7 -$14 11-05 16:00
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +11 $7 60¢ $7 $0 11-04 17:33