Juicy-Road — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.6%

Resolved

Trades

218

lifetime

Volume

$4.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 09-05 09:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

47% 41% +$21

Crypto

22% 52% +$0

Politics

15% 40% -$6

Tech

10% 33% +$0

Sports

5% 33% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$160	81	81	+0	Yes	$0	04-28 03:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$138	70	70	-0	open	—	07-02 06:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$114	57	57	+0	No	$0	04-17 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 02:55 UTC	4	$102	99	98	+1	Up	+$20	03-26 03:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$102	54	54	-0	open	—	07-06 04:52
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$84	42	42	+0	open	—	07-21 01:16
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	3	$83	42	42	+0	open	—	07-27 02:08
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	04-14 10:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	2	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	04-14 10:50
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$0	04-17 00:58
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	2	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	04-17 00:58
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$81	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-30 09:09
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	$0	04-01 13:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	04-07 13:07
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$80	41	41	+0	No	$0	04-09 15:24
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	05-05 05:05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$78	40	40	+0	No	$0	05-08 01:01
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$74	39	39	-0	open	—	07-10 06:02
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$68	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 00:44
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-20 09:55
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	4	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	07-20 09:55
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$61	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	03-14 03:09
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	07-20 07:55
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-19 13:22
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-06 04:51
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$59	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-16 11:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$55	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	06-20 10:22
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$52	32	32	+0	Yes	-$7	03-18 23:48
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	06-21 08:35
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	06-26 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 09:40:36	bitcoin above 82k on september 5 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xc435e0…
09-05 09:40:18	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc12635…
09-03 00:45:51	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x848144…
08-31 01:58:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xba5c99…
08-31 01:58:31	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x21faf8…
08-22 00:57:13	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf41686…
08-22 00:56:54	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x949a5a…
08-21 01:50:21	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf6e111…
08-21 01:50:01	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa12409…
08-20 02:13:03	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x96a594…
08-20 02:12:43	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xabf82f…
08-01 02:22:06	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd99b2e…
08-01 02:21:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd1564c…
07-29 09:25:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe7aae5…
07-29 09:24:44	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x15389c…
07-28 04:22:51	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x11139a…
07-28 04:22:25	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x681350…
07-27 02:09:01	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x480eb9…
07-27 02:08:39	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb0f7f5…
07-24 15:07:07	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb48e3f…
07-21 01:16:57	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0xfbd747…
07-21 01:16:33	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x7b68d3…
07-20 09:56:49	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xba677d…
07-20 09:55:48	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x978ae6…
07-20 09:55:40	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x2242f5…
07-20 07:55:42	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7f55ea…
07-20 07:55:30	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x51e51f…
07-20 07:55:07	Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0b5801…
07-20 07:55:00	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x913bcb…
07-17 16:20:22	Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x17eca5…
07-17 16:19:58	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xd2f77b…
07-17 16:19:36	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xef7abc…
07-17 16:19:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xbb4692…
07-14 00:56:38	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xa27652…
07-14 00:55:04	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x3bd40a…
07-14 00:54:29	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x231796…
07-14 00:54:22	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x3b069b…
07-10 06:04:04	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x820c73…
07-10 06:03:34	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb1ae17…
07-10 06:02:52	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	39	93¢	$37	0xec1a64…
07-06 04:53:04	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0xec1d85…
07-06 04:52:52	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09a2e2…
07-06 04:52:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x10e556…
07-06 04:51:58	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xbd47a7…
07-02 06:04:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x2af4e0…
07-02 06:03:53	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe38fde…
07-02 06:03:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xb552ed…
06-26 05:34:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xccbf4d…
06-26 05:33:44	Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa5edaf…
06-26 05:31:08	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xb457ae…
06-26 05:30:56	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0edce4…
06-26 05:30:35	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x46fe03…
06-26 05:30:31	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x589b93…
06-23 00:45:14	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x804b1c…
06-23 00:45:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5186d1…
06-23 00:44:40	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x593850…
06-23 00:44:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb02322…
06-23 00:44:26	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x498061…
06-21 08:36:13	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x76cdda…
06-21 08:35:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ab611…
06-21 08:35:37	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x555675…
06-21 08:35:20	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe4b5bf…
06-21 08:35:04	Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe370f9…
06-20 10:23:22	Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6d7d3a…
06-20 10:23:05	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe41132…
06-20 10:22:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xeea394…
06-20 10:22:32	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xd1fd92…
06-20 10:22:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x09e412…
06-18 01:44:34	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x9a0f8e…
06-18 01:44:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd60191…
06-18 01:43:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7fadd7…
06-18 01:43:23	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x6114e0…
06-14 09:34:43	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x67fd1f…
06-14 09:34:21	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x2a51e6…
06-14 09:33:43	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x93a1bc…
06-12 02:31:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xaf9f71…
06-12 02:31:15	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xadeba9…
06-12 02:30:55	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x660d9c…
06-06 15:14:27	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x6fdead…
06-06 15:14:12	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xaee8bc…
06-06 15:14:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd4bcaf…
06-06 15:14:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xedeb9b…
05-31 01:08:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x4e333d…
05-31 01:08:01	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xabcc26…
05-31 01:07:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd9972…
05-31 01:07:33	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x0a1745…
05-31 01:07:27	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xdc640c…
05-30 14:13:50	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x7a2b3e…
05-30 14:13:27	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa222c3…
05-30 14:12:14	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xd52c3b…
05-30 14:12:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x431c73…
05-23 15:27:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd11029…
05-23 15:26:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x9e2de0…
05-23 15:26:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x80b0f2…
05-23 15:26:25	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x8dc0a9…
05-23 15:26:20	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd2bb60…
05-23 01:11:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x56701e…
05-23 01:10:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x958a98…
05-23 01:10:28	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd43163…
05-23 01:09:40	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x4da843…