Realized P&L
+$11.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$266
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
44
Trades
67
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$251
Open exposure
$418
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-22 15:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
92%
15%
+$11,573
Other
6%
8%
-$248
Crypto
1%
0%
-$180
Sports
1%
100%
+$62
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | +4,900 | $539 | 6¢ | $318 | -$220 | 07-19 16:31 | |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +2,248 | $115 | 4¢ | $83 | -$32 | 07-22 15:35 | |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | +2,500 | $10 | 0¢ | $11 | +$1 | 06-14 09:09 | |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | +2,000 | $10 | 0¢ | $3 | -$7 | 05-11 18:42 | |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | +1,667 | $10 | 0¢ | $2 | -$7 | 06-14 09:10 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 6 | $11.8K | 18,004 | 18,004 | +0 | Yes | +$11,315 | 04-08 00:51 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 2 | $1.5K | 1,132 | 1,132 | +0 | Yes | +$754 | 04-08 00:33 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 2 | $539 | 4,900 | 0 | +4,900 | open | — | 07-19 16:31 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 2 | $516 | 640 | 320 | +320 | Yes | +$236 | 04-15 14:23 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 3 | $480 | 1,111 | 1,111 | +0 | Yes | +$280 | 05-08 18:25 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 1 | $217 | 445 | 0 | +445 | No | -$217 | 04-15 14:23 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 15 687 | 3 | $192 | 587 | 346 | +241 | No | -$48 | 06-14 15:02 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2 | $178 | 293 | 293 | +0 | No | +$62 | 07-19 16:27 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | 3 | $139 | 2,448 | 200 | +2,248 | open | — | 07-22 15:35 |
| will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026 | 2 | $139 | 763 | 0 | +763 | No | -$139 | 04-19 19:59 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 2 | $100 | 5,356 | 0 | +5,356 | No | -$100 | 04-19 19:09 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | 1 | $100 | 167 | 0 | +167 | No | -$100 | 05-10 19:15 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 6 | 1 | $100 | 5,429 | 0 | +5,429 | No | -$100 | 03-04 22:17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | 1 | $60 | 250 | 0 | +250 | No | -$60 | 05-10 19:16 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 1 | $56 | 933 | 0 | +933 | No | -$56 | 03-21 19:21 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 2 | $55 | 1,743 | 0 | +1,743 | No | -$55 | 05-20 17:10 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | 1 | $50 | 1,084 | 0 | +1,084 | No | -$50 | 04-18 13:39 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 1 | $50 | 339 | 0 | +339 | No | -$50 | 03-21 19:20 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | 1 | $50 | 714 | 0 | +714 | No | -$50 | 04-18 13:39 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $50 | 910 | 0 | +910 | No | -$50 | 05-10 04:36 |
| trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026 | 1 | $50 | 773 | 0 | +773 | No | -$50 | 04-12 17:45 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | 1 | $40 | 1,111 | 0 | +1,111 | No | -$40 | 05-10 07:04 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $30 | 1,275 | 0 | +1,275 | No | -$30 | 05-10 18:21 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | 1 | $26 | 548 | 0 | +548 | No | -$26 | 04-09 17:33 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 1 | $20 | 2,222 | 0 | +2,222 | No | -$20 | 04-18 13:36 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | 1 | $20 | 182 | 0 | +182 | No | -$20 | 05-03 16:29 |
| Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? | 1 | $20 | 439 | 0 | +439 | No | -$20 | 05-10 04:31 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | 1 | $15 | 55 | 0 | +55 | No | -$15 | 07-07 19:25 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 | 1 | $12 | 29 | 0 | +29 | Yes | -$12 | 07-22 15:37 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 1 | $10 | 1,111 | 0 | +1,111 | No | -$10 | 04-12 05:34 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||