Different-Hurdle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

129

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$835

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-17 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

46% 61% -$35

Sports

34% 55% -$20

Politics

13% 75% -$17

Crypto

6% 69% +$29

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	4	$109	58	53	+5	Yes	+$1	04-09 18:13
mlb lad wsh 2026 04 05	7	$59	80	79	+1	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$1	04-05 18:23
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$35	51	40	+11	Cavaliers	+$6	05-13 22:31
nba sac gsw 2026 04 07	3	$30	136	136	+0	Warriors	-$3	04-07 12:35
will trump attend ufc 327	3	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	04-10 01:44
will the reserve bank of india increase the policy repo rate after the april meeting	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-04 15:09
Will Rayo Vallecano reach the UEFA Conference League final?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	05-07 20:15
Will Raissa Butkowski win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-09 07:43
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	05-09 00:05
nba cle atl 2026 04 10	4	$10	33	0	+33	Hawks	-$10	04-10 01:51
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 21:54
deepseek v4 released by april 7	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-04 15:08
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-13 11:26
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-12 00:04
will justin bieber drop out as a coachella 2026 headliner	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-04 17:46
Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Conference League final?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-07 17:01
will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the april meeting	2	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	04-04 19:43
Will Shakhtar Donetsk reach the UEFA Conference League final?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-07 16:38
mlb det min 2026 04 08 spread away 1pt5	1	$8	14	0	+14	Minnesota Twins	+$6	04-08 23:03
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	05-05 18:58
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-16 03:18
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-17 02:57
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-05 18:38
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-05 20:50
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	-$7	05-09 07:16
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	05-08 19:30
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-08 18:01
nba phi hou 2026 04 09 spread home 4pt5	1	$7	15	0	+15	Rockets	-$7	04-09 17:39
will the indian union muslim league iuml win fewer than 10 seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-24 23:08
nba cha bos 2026 04 07 spread home 6pt5	1	$6	14	0	+14	Celtics	+$8	04-07 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 15:15:09	LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	LYON	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x48cb54…
05-17 02:57:36	Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x6e00c7…
05-16 23:41:28	Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x793127…
05-16 22:33:14	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5f4ad3…
05-16 05:59:14	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x683ec7…
05-16 03:18:32	Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc7a496…
05-16 02:16:45	Will Sam Couvillon be the Republican nominee for GA-09?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xbaf7f5…
05-15 23:30:53	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd0732b…
05-15 21:26:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe6745c…
05-15 19:53:32	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x205fbf…
05-15 19:50:41	Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1797f5…
05-15 18:19:53	Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	GamerLegion	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xcc67e4…
05-15 17:50:38	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0672fe…
05-15 15:29:42	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x22e558…
05-15 15:18:26	Spread: Mumbai City FC (-1.5)	Mumbai City FC	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xafa6b0…
05-15 14:21:53	Spread: Mumbai City FC (-1.5)	Mumbai City FC	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa48867…
05-15 10:08:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3543cb…
05-15 09:40:18	Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovic	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xbfe0c5…
05-15 07:59:20	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xa154b1…
05-15 06:15:00	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf21364…
05-15 05:23:52	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x065523…
05-15 05:11:04	LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa581f0…
05-15 04:41:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb49409…
05-15 04:39:06	Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs ROC Esports (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Group D	FaZe Vegas	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe40fd2…
05-15 04:23:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x21e498…
05-15 01:01:29	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc40ad7…
05-15 00:04:33	New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire	New York Liberty	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf0f7b9…
05-14 21:54:58	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72a3a8…
05-14 21:34:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2771ff…
05-14 19:50:50	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xd0979f…
05-14 18:22:24	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xd73457…
05-14 16:44:19	Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Eduardo Ribeiro	Guido Justo	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x845532…
05-14 16:44:17	Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Eduardo Ribeiro	Guido Justo	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x9adb1e…
05-14 14:39:50	Valencia: Damir Dzumhur vs Jaume Munar	Jaume Munar	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1a4479…
05-14 14:10:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7d2a35…
05-14 11:01:19	Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	391	1¢	$5	0xb0c9aa…
05-14 09:37:49	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA	USA	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdd6892…
05-14 09:29:07	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA	USA	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x72e25b…
05-14 08:02:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc762a2…
05-14 08:02:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x21fe5d…
05-14 04:50:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 14?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x72675a…
05-14 04:49:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6107b0…
05-14 04:17:37	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0xedc86a…
05-13 22:31:56	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x7fa7a8…
05-13 22:31:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x361675…
05-13 22:30:36	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0xf4c9d6…
05-13 22:22:26	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Miami Marlins	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x9e319f…
05-13 21:16:13	CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe12687…
05-13 20:46:21	Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0e1c34…
05-13 19:12:02	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x218c83…
05-13 18:51:03	Granada vs. Barcelona	Granada	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x1d5634…
05-13 18:51:03	Granada vs. Barcelona	Granada	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x194a08…
05-13 18:48:56	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa07dd5…
05-13 18:40:58	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xfd42d5…
05-13 18:40:56	Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)	Pistons	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xda5e80…
05-13 18:06:45	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	Detroit Tigers	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xf8f5f1…
05-13 17:27:49	Paris: Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x926035…
05-13 13:13:27	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8d3f4a…
05-13 11:58:33	Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x036f97…
05-13 11:57:13	Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xb5b174…
05-13 11:55:59	Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x174bdd…
05-13 11:32:11	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa22e1d…
05-13 11:26:12	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8b4bb4…
05-13 10:54:56	Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group D	ReThink	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xbaa764…
05-13 10:54:56	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Vici Gaming	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x4372f2…
05-13 10:48:42	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	ex-RUBY	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5c760b…
05-13 09:23:51	Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Juan Pablo Ficovich	Jan Choinski	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x386ef5…
05-13 08:50:45	Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Jonas Forejtek	Zsombor Piros	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc3f5c3…
05-13 08:16:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x99f0e7…
05-13 07:19:17	Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milic	Joshua Charlton	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6559d6…
05-13 07:19:17	Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milic	Joshua Charlton	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x355d0e…
05-13 05:55:15	Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palan	Keegan Smith	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xdd79dc…
05-13 05:29:35	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2b30eb…
05-13 02:17:59	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3c5180…
05-13 02:07:31	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x721ef8…
05-13 01:36:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xacc9b4…
05-13 01:36:22	Spread: Spurs (-20.5)	Spurs	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x918017…
05-12 19:43:48	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x6ac7e1…
05-12 19:43:13	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9adcab…
05-12 14:48:22	Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb630ee…
05-12 07:20:22	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa970db…
05-12 06:10:36	Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x8c364c…
05-12 03:58:11	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	TYLOO	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd7d7d1…
05-12 02:44:55	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x68379b…
05-12 01:29:26	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xf2c802…
05-12 00:04:48	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb9a923…
05-11 23:46:36	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4e8e9e…
05-11 23:12:25	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x81d08d…
05-11 22:41:23	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x63be64…
05-11 22:41:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf4bfd7…
05-11 22:10:10	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xbc7f4f…
05-11 21:35:35	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc1c098…
05-11 21:07:59	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x000d54…
05-11 21:07:52	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x90f3bd…
05-11 20:52:13	Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x6ddaeb…
05-11 20:45:30	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4a958b…
05-11 20:36:45	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x91156e…
05-11 20:30:46	Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xbc288f…
05-11 20:23:04	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf3710e…
05-11 20:23:03	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x286e16…