Different-Hurdle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

7.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$40

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-16 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

58% 0% $-22

Other

30% 100% +$3

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	05-11 20:36
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No		+5	$5	88¢	$4	$-0	05-16 22:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$19	11	40	-29	Cavaliers	$-18	05-13 22:31
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-11 20:36
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 22:33
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$4	20	0	+20	Thunder	$-4	05-11 21:07
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	1	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	05-15 18:19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 23:30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	05-11 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:33:14	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5f4ad3…
05-15 23:30:53	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd0732b…
05-15 18:19:53	Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	GamerLegion	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xcc67e4…
05-13 22:31:56	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x7fa7a8…
05-13 22:31:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x361675…
05-11 22:41:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf4bfd7…
05-11 21:07:52	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x90f3bd…
05-11 20:36:45	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x91156e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	4	$7.56K	111	05-16 22:52
(anonymous) 0x4247…91c4	4	$762	17	05-16 22:57
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$650	19	05-15 07:49
Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37	3	$12.5K	61	05-16 22:58
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	3	$5.80K	89	05-15 18:58
Grand-Reasoning 0x54b5…4b31	3	$1.03K	11	05-16 22:57
Kosher-Refuse 0x2117…5c26	3	$559	5	05-15 23:14