Spry-Secretary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$696

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

158

Trades

476

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$295

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-08 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

56% 7% -$602

Politics

27% 4% -$89

Crypto

13% 100% +$3

Tech

3% 17% -$4

Sports

1% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-08).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+300	$290	98¢	$295	+$6	07-06 04:41
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+20	$8	0¢	$0	-$8	07-04 07:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$552	400	400	+0	No	+$0	03-18 12:35
lol jdg lll 2026 03 19	1	$368	400	0	+400	JD Gaming	+$32	03-18 12:45
lol we lng 2026 02 11	2	$340	500	0	+500	Team WE	-$340	02-11 07:19
lol wb tes 2026 01 27	1	$310	500	0	+500	Weibo Gaming	+$190	01-26 10:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$290	300	0	+300	open	—	07-06 04:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$248	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-19 08:37
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	+$0	02-27 07:19
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$227	230	0	+230	No	+$3	07-06 04:41
lol vit fnc 2026 01 26	1	$205	500	0	+500	Fnatic	-$205	01-26 10:03
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	04-22 15:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	6	$181	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	06-30 18:24
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	6	$150	150	150	+0	No	-$11	07-03 23:30
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	05-19 09:06
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	05-19 09:06
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	05-19 09:06
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	5	$147	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-03 16:54
will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	4	$146	100	100	+0	open	—	07-03 21:15
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	6	$134	150	150	+0	No	$0	07-03 15:24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$122	150	150	+0	No	$0	07-04 15:35
lol ig1 nip 2026 03 01	1	$106	200	0	+200	Invictus Gaming	-$106	02-27 07:30
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$100	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-30 22:49
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-24 15:27
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-24 15:27
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-24 15:27
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-24 15:27
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-11 07:40
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	4	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	07-04 07:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	07-05 05:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$98	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	07-01 09:19
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 20:27:57	will krakens valuation hit high 15b by december 31	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xf639b7…
08-01 00:28:20	will krakens valuation hit high 15b by december 31	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x3d3baa…
07-06 04:41:35	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$227	0x0eaa84…
07-06 04:41:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$290	0x6a31b3…
07-06 04:39:43	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd6a4f8…
07-06 04:39:38	Will Ally Kennedy win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x23a1b6…
07-06 04:39:32	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xb6bd2d…
07-06 04:39:11	Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xa8dee6…
07-06 04:38:56	Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb08b06…
07-06 04:38:52	Will 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe6e66d…
07-06 04:38:46	Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x9ed19f…
07-06 04:38:38	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x94a703…
07-06 04:38:32	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184735357	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x841e24…
07-06 04:38:28	Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x1c172f…
07-06 04:38:23	Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x7a8f02…
07-06 04:38:17	Will Troy Reh record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xdc359a…
07-06 04:37:59	Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xae50fe…
07-06 04:37:53	Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x4e5cea…
07-06 04:37:23	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x9d6c1a…
07-06 04:37:17	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xce26ce…
07-06 04:37:13	will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x03177f…
07-06 04:37:08	Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x8c6ac7…
07-06 04:37:04	will databricks valuation hit low 140b by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xe8d9be…
07-06 04:36:58	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x358e04…
07-06 04:36:53	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x195866…
07-06 04:36:49	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xde7714…
07-06 04:36:40	will lambdas valuation hit low 7b by december 31	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x57a32b…
07-06 04:33:08	Will Nightblood Gaming Win North America ACE Stage 3	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9bdf26…
07-06 03:55:02	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x016939…
07-06 03:11:35	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xf6463d…
07-06 00:34:52	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x8682ce…
07-06 00:21:08	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4ce794…
07-05 22:58:41	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by july 31 20260629164744650	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x370e88…
07-05 22:58:40	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by july 31 20260629164744650	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x1aaf9a…
07-05 22:44:58	Will Marcus Holman win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x4c1786…
07-05 21:08:37	Will Marcus Holman win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x885560…
07-05 20:56:52	will vucic officially leave office by july 31 20260629165804201	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xe4b51f…
07-05 20:28:56	Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x1ad63d…
07-05 20:21:19	will vucic officially leave office by july 31 20260629165804201	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x6a3e05…
07-05 19:50:07	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xaf66a6…
07-05 18:40:29	Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	SELL	45	45¢	$20	0xa9c1e2…
07-05 18:40:26	Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xa68641…
07-05 17:44:08	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x6bfb17…
07-05 17:41:40	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x6331e3…
07-05 14:31:26	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xc112c1…
07-05 14:27:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x13b711…
07-05 14:27:34	will revoluts valuation hit high 87pt5b by july 31 20260630204859528	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x8feec8…
07-05 14:27:25	Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xd44bbc…
07-05 14:27:02	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x4148ab…
07-05 14:26:58	will databricks valuation hit high 165 by july 31 20260629184745126	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x36fd83…
07-05 13:37:29	Will Marcus Holman win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x1d30bf…
07-05 12:10:20	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x910e46…
07-05 10:32:01	will databricks valuation hit high 165 by july 31 20260629184745126	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x128e40…
07-05 10:20:01	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x3e094b…
07-05 10:19:38	Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xa9e165…
07-05 10:19:29	Will Izzy Scane win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xf64a2e…
07-05 10:09:58	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x241a56…
07-05 09:31:29	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184735357	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd648f0…
07-05 09:24:49	will lambdas valuation hit low 7b by december 31	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x9b250a…
07-05 09:20:23	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xe9d5b9…
07-05 08:59:47	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x04dfae…
07-05 08:58:46	Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x704b6f…
07-05 08:30:04	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0xf1cb9b…
07-05 08:05:56	Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x68ce99…
07-05 07:55:28	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x0eafbe…
07-05 06:35:08	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0xdeb6b6…
07-05 05:27:56	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xb99bc5…
07-05 05:27:47	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x274b10…
07-05 05:26:07	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x10117a…
07-05 05:25:56	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x2a0ada…
07-05 05:25:20	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xfea1b0…
07-05 05:25:08	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$29	0xa0ebd7…
07-05 05:09:19	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	44	74¢	$33	0x25b353…
07-05 04:38:29	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xbef5ba…
07-05 04:37:08	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x29b23e…
07-05 03:44:08	Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x64aa81…
07-05 03:31:25	will trump say beautiful 7 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620558	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x2872b7…
07-05 03:09:17	Will Brigid Duffy record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x33c280…
07-05 03:00:07	Will Brigid Duffy record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x48d52d…
07-05 02:43:02	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x4a64d8…
07-05 02:20:28	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x723305…
07-05 02:19:01	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x845d1d…
07-05 01:28:58	Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe3e78f…
07-05 00:09:50	Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x587beb…
07-05 00:07:56	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x3f305f…
07-05 00:06:37	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9de56f…
07-04 23:53:08	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xaca1ad…
07-04 23:53:05	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc30fd2…
07-04 23:53:05	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x379163…
07-04 23:52:55	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x58867f…
07-04 23:42:37	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb5dc9f…
07-04 23:29:37	will trump say golden dome during tribute to america rally 20260630160620570	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xe21e69…
07-04 22:02:38	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf016df…
07-04 21:51:55	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd9baf1…
07-04 21:33:14	Will Ally Kennedy win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xa7530b…
07-04 21:33:05	Will Izzy Scane win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb28c47…
07-04 21:15:49	Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xc38266…
07-04 20:54:14	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x7c7812…
07-04 20:45:47	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x700fd4…
07-04 20:16:35	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x4ebec6…