Expensive-Neurobiologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

19.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$167

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 08-15 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

61% 22% -$52

Politics

36% 15% -$29

Sports

3% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$6	92¢	$9	+$3	06-03 03:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	-204	-$31	3¢	$-6	+$25	06-03 03:14
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$5	98¢	$6	+$1	06-03 03:19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	12¢	$1	$0	06-03 03:17
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	1¢	$0	-$1	06-03 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 01:43:15	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xe23d21…
08-15 01:43:15	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x057196…
08-15 01:08:00	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x85d2c8…
07-03 00:51:29	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x17704c…
06-04 04:34:48	Will Iran be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3563a8…
06-04 04:27:57	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x0bd0fe…
06-04 04:26:04	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xcdbe25…
06-03 03:40:55	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x9e59e8…
06-03 03:34:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf92a83…
06-03 03:30:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x82c04c…
06-03 03:29:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xec2609…
06-03 03:26:19	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x8159a2…
06-03 03:19:06	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb22ff8…
06-03 03:17:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf11235…
06-03 03:14:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	204	15¢	$31	0xaef4c9…
05-05 10:21:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x286d3f…
04-20 17:31:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0xd4bf35…
04-18 01:08:44	will trump say sucker or loser this week april 19	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x477759…
04-14 00:56:11	will trump say boy oh boy this week april 19	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9d35ce…
04-14 00:55:57	will trump say hezbollah this week april 19	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe1a1c6…
04-14 00:55:41	will trump say sucker or loser this week april 19	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xec1ab6…
04-14 00:55:29	will trump say ass this week april 19	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x69f1e6…
04-13 00:16:49	will trump say barack hussein obama this week april 19	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x036ffa…
04-12 21:19:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0xf33039…
04-12 21:16:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x2ffc18…
04-12 20:26:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x848474…
04-12 20:26:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	151	2¢	$3	0x613e55…
04-12 20:26:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x5876f2…
04-12 12:54:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x90d6f4…
04-12 12:36:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7373af…
04-12 12:24:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x67ae32…
04-12 12:19:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x47add3…
04-11 04:22:21	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 15 495 617	No	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0x6be1fa…
04-11 04:16:01	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 15 495 617	No	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xa937eb…
04-11 03:23:37	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x976350…
04-11 03:19:01	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0xf26a5b…
04-11 03:18:41	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x7c26f7…
04-11 01:54:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5e6251…
04-08 21:46:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xe1f09e…
04-08 21:42:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xdb3428…
04-08 21:37:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x07c5fe…
04-08 20:21:33	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa12f52…
04-08 14:09:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xe01dd1…
04-07 11:25:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x2a76b5…
04-07 01:26:27	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x96c640…
04-06 02:39:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x497eb2…
04-06 02:39:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x397ef8…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$31	0	204	-204	open	—	06-03 03:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$27	67	0	+67	No	-$27	04-11 01:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$15	34	0	+34	Yes	-$15	04-07 11:25
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	04-08 20:21
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$8	120	0	+120	No	-$8	08-15 01:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	6	$7	300	300	+0	No	-$3	04-20 17:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-03 03:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$6	857	0	+857	Yes	-$6	04-08 21:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	04-12 12:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$5	28	0	+28	No	-$5	04-06 02:39
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-03 03:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	1	$4	8	0	+8	Yes	-$4	06-03 03:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	3	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	04-12 12:54
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$4	120	0	+120	Yes	-$4	04-11 03:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	06-03 03:29
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$3	5	0	+5	Portugal	+$2	07-03 00:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	05-05 10:21
Will Iran be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	06-04 04:34
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	24	0	+24	No	-$2	06-04 04:27
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 03:26
will trump say sucker or loser this week april 19	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-18 01:08
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 15 495 617	2	$1	40	0	+40	Yes	-$1	04-11 04:22
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$1	250	0	+250	No	-$1	06-03 03:40
will trump say hezbollah this week april 19	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	04-14 00:55
will trump say ass this week april 19	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	04-14 00:55
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	1	$1	18	0	+18	No	-$1	06-04 04:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-03 03:17
will trump say barack hussein obama this week april 19	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	04-13 00:16
will trump say boy oh boy this week april 19	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-14 00:56