Realized P&L (30d)
-$11.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$606
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved (30d)
168
Trades (30d)
603
1,180 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$44.8K
$103.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$12.1K
8 positions
First seen
2026-07-19
last 10-28 01:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
61% 66% -$23,318
Politics
37% 71% -$5,568
Crypto
2% 38% -$1,680
Sports
0% 50% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +21,721 $9,226 42¢ $9.2K -$49 10-05 14:54
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,342 $989 72¢ $960 -$29 09-21 19:29
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +1,519 $777 44¢ $661 -$116 09-15 16:01
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +2,000 $662 29¢ $587 -$75 09-16 21:21
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +1,500 $495 24¢ $368 -$128 09-16 21:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +726 $327 24¢ $178 -$149 08-31 20:57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? Yes +86 $74 88¢ $76 +$2 10-26 04:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +254 $132 28¢ $70 -$62 08-31 21:00