Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$920

Hit rate

36.2%

Resolved

208

Trades

1,184

lifetime

Volume

$103.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$10.6K

6 positions

First seen

2026-07-19

last 11-01 23:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

61% 67% -$23,242

Politics

37% 73% -$5,172

Crypto

2% 38% -$1,680

Sports

0% 50% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+21,721	$9,226	40¢	$8.7K	-$483	10-05 14:54
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	+1,519	$777	44¢	$661	-$116	09-15 16:01
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	+2,000	$662	30¢	$606	-$56	09-16 21:21
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$355	28¢	$275	-$80	11-02 07:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+726	$327	28¢	$200	-$127	08-31 20:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+254	$132	30¢	$75	-$57	08-31 21:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	42	$14.0K	17,492	17,492	+0	Yes	-$4,900	10-10 17:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	53	$9.2K	21,721	0	+21,721	open	—	10-05 14:54
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	13	$5.3K	3,079	3,079	+0	open	—	09-17 14:15
Fed rate hike in 2026?	36	$4.8K	14,072	3	+14,069	Yes	-$4,824	09-16 04:23
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$4.4K	3,333	3,333	+0	No	-$587	10-10 18:13
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	23	$2.9K	7,659	0	+7,659	Yes	-$2,860	09-10 12:36
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	67	$2.3K	6,704	0	+6,704	No	-$2,339	09-05 06:55
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-10-10?	33	$2.2K	8,975	0	+8,975	No	-$2,219	10-10 17:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$2.2K	4,575	0	+4,575	No	-$2,199	09-05 02:42
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	9	$2.1K	2,016	2,016	+0	open	—	09-24 08:54
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?	5	$2.0K	1,065	1,065	+0	Yes	+$62	10-10 18:59
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	2	$1.8K	1,025	1,025	+0	open	—	10-26 06:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:00 UTC	45	$1.6K	2,931	0	+2,931	Up	-$1,617	08-30 08:03
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$1.5K	2,045	2,045	+0	Yes	+$141	10-02 00:16
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	8	$1.5K	1,428	1,428	+0	open	—	10-03 01:20
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	7	$1.3K	799	799	+0	Yes	+$224	10-04 20:40
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	9	$1.2K	2,579	0	+2,579	No	-$1,214	09-08 16:48
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?	9	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$194	10-10 17:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	2	$1.2K	933	933	+0	open	—	10-07 01:20
Will Odense BK win on 2026-10-18?	5	$1.1K	725	725	+0	Yes	+$286	10-18 15:58
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	25	$1.1K	2,543	0	+2,543	Yes	-$1,143	09-05 09:38
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	6	$989	1,342	0	+1,342	Yes	+$353	09-21 19:29
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	12	$959	2,643	0	+2,643	No	-$959	09-04 08:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$916	2,001	0	+2,001	Yes	-$916	08-31 21:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	2	$916	500	500	+0	open	—	10-10 18:11
Will CD Cobresal vs. CD Universidad de Concepción end in a draw?	11	$819	988	988	+0	Yes	-$230	10-10 20:01
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09?	8	$819	964	0	+964	Yes	+$145	10-09 20:37
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	9	$777	1,519	0	+1,519	open	—	09-15 16:01
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	3	$772	548	548	+0	open	—	10-18 14:33
Will SS Arezzo vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?	7	$716	400	400	+0	Yes	+$77	10-10 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 07:19:40	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xed5856…
11-02 07:19:40	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	467	28¢	$131	0xd0501e…
11-02 07:19:40	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xc1705d…
11-02 07:19:40	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x9081da…
11-01 23:27:12	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0xf58b7b…
11-01 23:15:10	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	93	66¢	$61	0x35b5ef…
11-01 23:05:04	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	220	61¢	$134	0x13fec1…
11-01 22:54:31	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xec975d…
10-28 01:00:08	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	66¢	$27	0x7bd25d…
10-26 06:46:03	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,025	89¢	$912	0xe113b9…
10-26 04:24:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	86	86¢	$74	0xb7b067…
10-26 00:29:32	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	61	54¢	$33	0xfefe64…
10-26 00:29:32	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	33	54¢	$18	0x717271…
10-26 00:29:03	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	SELL	44	52¢	$23	0x2d93d2…
10-26 00:29:02	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0xc5a64b…
10-25 18:37:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	144	78¢	$112	0x232f46…
10-25 18:37:02	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd0a10f…
10-25 10:16:23	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	150	79¢	$118	0x831252…
10-25 09:43:26	ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Mozambique vs Zambia	Zambia	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0x57811f…
10-25 08:54:06	ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Mozambique vs Zambia	Zambia	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0x56b438…
10-25 08:53:53	Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	496	64¢	$319	0xcd51e7…
10-25 05:13:08	Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2fb4ec…
10-25 04:52:29	Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x22e096…
10-24 20:40:38	Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xac3815…
10-24 19:37:12	Will UD Almería win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf41763…
10-24 18:28:18	Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xf89ed4…
10-24 18:25:20	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc3eb30…
10-24 18:22:24	Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x058c05…
10-24 17:14:15	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xc53597…
10-24 17:03:42	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x0c45e1…
10-24 13:51:57	Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x78ace2…
10-24 13:17:47	Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x284f21…
10-24 13:14:42	Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x90e00f…
10-24 13:14:18	Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x239e98…
10-24 13:08:44	Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xd6822e…
10-24 13:04:45	Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. FC Energie Cottbus end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x919bee…
10-24 13:01:39	Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8b7736…
10-24 12:56:41	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbfb1f4…
10-24 12:52:17	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x62497d…
10-24 12:51:50	Will Hertha BSC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x44c753…
10-24 12:51:00	Will Hertha BSC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd5f0b1…
10-24 12:50:33	Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. FC Energie Cottbus end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xcbde0a…
10-24 12:36:15	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x249232…
10-24 12:25:39	Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcd9cf2…
10-24 12:22:53	Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x25e5ea…
10-24 06:59:32	Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x201b7d…
10-24 06:53:27	Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x70c221…
10-24 06:51:39	Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xef4c79…
10-24 06:51:27	Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x14f1af…
10-24 06:51:17	Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xcbfcee…
10-24 06:51:17	Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5249e8…
10-24 06:49:53	Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3938b7…
10-23 20:59:51	Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd36262…
10-23 20:59:20	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x11a5f3…
10-23 20:56:08	Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4ea0b7…
10-23 20:48:11	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0x1b5392…
10-23 20:44:32	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x437624…
10-23 20:43:57	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfa297a…
10-23 20:41:38	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x4d2632…
10-23 20:30:42	Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9888b5…
10-23 20:27:38	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x73fc5b…
10-23 20:21:18	Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x142a58…
10-23 20:20:45	Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbfee61…
10-23 20:18:53	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8f1907…
10-23 20:08:21	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc9b70d…
10-23 20:08:03	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x52d962…
10-23 20:07:54	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf0f59d…
10-23 19:52:48	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x85fccf…
10-23 19:03:51	Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x25ed4b…
10-23 18:54:53	Will IF Elfsborg vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xfd4bfd…
10-23 18:51:17	Will IF Elfsborg vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x9cbeab…
10-23 18:45:51	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x2b26a4…
10-23 15:03:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0x7730d9…
10-23 13:08:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xb5e32a…
10-22 21:20:05	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x8b3636…
10-22 21:18:41	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x93d65b…
10-22 21:15:02	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x546427…
10-22 21:05:53	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf2a4f1…
10-22 21:02:18	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x340b36…
10-22 21:01:12	Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70f90c…
10-22 20:58:51	Will NK Celje vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x079c5e…
10-22 20:58:12	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb0b0ff…
10-22 20:55:53	Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xea81da…
10-22 20:50:27	Will NK Celje vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x79efce…
10-22 20:25:36	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x851c02…
10-22 20:24:45	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xb0a414…
10-22 18:48:41	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x3d22d4…
10-22 18:45:51	Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC København end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfe1d1c…
10-22 18:39:51	Will NEC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x4df26c…
10-22 18:38:44	Will FK Jablonec vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x70dadf…
10-22 18:37:14	Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC København end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x14073c…
10-22 18:32:50	Will FK Jablonec vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x64c405…
10-22 18:28:00	Will NEC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x4e2558…
10-22 18:10:36	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	250	50¢	$125	0xecd47f…
10-22 13:34:57	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xaab009…
10-22 12:17:11	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x40e4c1…
10-22 12:14:18	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x8608d3…
10-22 11:37:35	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	250	54¢	$135	0x32de5a…
10-21 20:59:12	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x1c280c…
10-21 20:58:02	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xea4828…