Best-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.7%

Resolved

231

Trades

507

lifetime

Volume

$501

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-01 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

44% 8% -$2

Politics

32% 19% -$1

Crypto

17% 30% -$2

Tech

4% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-03 02:40
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 03:19
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:05
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-22 03:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-17 03:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 07:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-21 02:10
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 02:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-01 02:09
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 03:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-09 02:07
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 08:02
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 01:52
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by 9 or more 953	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-13 07:29
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 02:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 01:53
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:07
will bitcoin reach 68k on march 29	3	$2	10	9	+1	No	-$1	03-30 03:43
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 01:47
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 01:56
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:30
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-31 03:12
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-21 01:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:50
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-27 02:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-16 01:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:11:45	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x706dd5…
08-01 07:01:47	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd86cd7…
08-01 06:54:57	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6e5ed5…
08-01 06:46:48	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0b1409…
07-31 03:24:48	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe27e6d…
07-31 03:21:57	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xab849a…
07-31 03:12:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x306072…
07-31 02:58:51	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfcf75a…
07-30 06:06:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x75feb6…
07-30 04:13:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc6967e…
07-30 03:41:27	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc95306…
07-30 03:04:18	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x33bfc6…
07-29 04:48:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x04e6ab…
07-29 04:30:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa98a2e…
07-29 04:24:26	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2a1f1e…
07-29 04:16:14	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbb47ba…
07-28 04:13:52	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x29a35d…
07-28 03:35:00	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x378df3…
07-28 03:31:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x48d31f…
07-28 03:22:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x03f64b…
07-27 02:57:34	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x37ff5f…
07-27 02:55:03	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1d68fe…
07-27 02:52:52	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4c8889…
07-27 02:45:10	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd4bbbd…
07-25 03:50:13	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc62887…
07-25 03:36:40	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x527fe3…
07-24 04:01:51	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9806f4…
07-24 03:50:22	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4fec06…
07-24 03:41:03	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x66b401…
07-24 03:20:54	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8c1c51…
07-23 03:12:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7c701a…
07-23 03:04:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x36f632…
07-23 03:01:52	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x15efc7…
07-23 02:56:58	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5bb974…
07-22 03:10:40	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa774ba…
07-22 03:03:00	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe94780…
07-22 02:57:52	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x631a62…
07-22 02:49:25	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e6b28…
07-21 02:58:07	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6a823a…
07-21 02:52:10	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x020720…
07-21 02:47:52	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x012bea…
07-21 02:35:27	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x425a66…
07-20 04:52:09	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x77c6d5…
07-20 04:38:12	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xebce8f…
07-20 04:33:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9bffe8…
07-20 04:20:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1e56e3…
07-18 04:34:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa6b46…
07-18 04:24:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3081f5…
07-18 04:00:30	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xfb14c7…
07-18 03:51:43	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9fb810…
07-18 03:43:06	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac0f38…
07-18 03:22:27	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1800f2…
07-17 03:10:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x52ef31…
07-17 02:56:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x963761…
07-17 02:51:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xaeb35d…
07-17 02:44:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x04508e…
07-16 02:59:26	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x306731…
07-16 02:40:26	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x912366…
07-16 02:37:01	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x555be4…
07-16 02:30:13	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0bab43…
07-15 02:52:35	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc024f4…
07-15 02:44:56	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1a67a…
07-15 02:38:55	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x37ee44…
07-15 02:28:17	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x18e664…
07-14 03:57:52	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1d98e0…
07-14 03:53:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcb9400…
07-14 03:49:41	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb7fa8f…
07-14 03:29:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd641b0…
07-13 03:38:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc34676…
07-13 03:27:52	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x31d376…
07-13 03:25:25	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5333ce…
07-13 03:15:41	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3c580a…
07-11 03:08:20	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x04c4c1…
07-11 03:01:22	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3b433c…
07-11 02:55:17	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x342107…
07-11 02:46:53	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4f5f04…
07-10 03:36:05	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x57fa0e…
07-10 03:13:07	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a80ad…
07-10 03:08:55	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc73ec7…
07-10 03:07:10	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd47b9a…
07-09 03:11:38	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xde8b84…
07-09 02:47:50	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c42ff…
07-09 02:46:01	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfe8c88…
07-09 02:38:35	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xab724a…
07-08 03:20:13	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x079d3e…
07-08 03:15:23	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfbd9f3…
07-08 03:10:05	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8a2661…
07-08 02:35:23	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x589268…
07-07 03:52:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x78837a…
07-07 03:30:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6d00b5…
07-07 03:23:44	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2eb400…
07-07 03:14:47	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcd52b1…
07-06 03:09:11	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf3baf7…
07-06 02:59:17	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf14cc0…
07-06 02:56:13	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1f7495…
07-06 02:47:13	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3dbb74…
07-04 02:54:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x433809…
07-04 02:36:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38b677…
07-04 02:33:05	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd17f9a…
07-04 02:19:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe0034e…