Realized P&L (90d)
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
39.8%
Resolved (90d)
7
Trades (90d)
3
172 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$24
$3.69K lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$253
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-02 19:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 34% +$178
Politics
31% 43% -$61
Other
2% 29% -$26
Tech
1% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +172 $130 93¢ $160 +$30 07-07 10:05
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? No -47 -$2 87¢ $-41 -$39 05-08 06:47
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +198 $100 18¢ $35 -$65 07-01 17:58
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +52 $20 14¢ $7 -$12 08-22 10:44
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +86 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 08-01 08:10
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +7 $3 43¢ $3 $0 11-02 19:24
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -95 -$33 2¢ $-2 +$31 05-08 06:41
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -57 -$13 2¢ $-1 +$12 05-08 06:40
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +17 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-01 08:14
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +9 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-05 20:14