Realized P&L
+$96
Unrealized P&L
-$73
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
101
Trades
172
lifetime
Volume
$3.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$232
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-02 19:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 34% +$178
Politics
31% 43% -$61
Other
2% 29% -$26
Tech
1% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +172 $130 96¢ $165 +$35 07-07 10:05
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? No -47 -$2 87¢ $-41 -$39 05-08 06:47
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +52 $20 18¢ $10 -$10 08-22 10:44
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +198 $100 3¢ $5 -$95 07-01 17:58
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +7 $3 42¢ $3 $0 11-02 19:24
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +86 $5 3¢ $2 -$2 08-01 08:10
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -95 -$33 2¢ $-2 +$31 05-08 06:41
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -57 -$13 2¢ $-1 +$11 05-08 06:40
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? Yes +12 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 07-01 18:08
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +17 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-01 08:14
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +9 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-05 20:14