Realized P&L
+$8.63K
Unrealized P&L
+$669
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
160
Trades
1,828
lifetime
Volume
$617.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$338
Open exposure
$31.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 10-26 23:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
76% 74% +$13,165
Politics
12% 71% +$2,539
Sports
10% 61% -$6,147
Tech
2% 67% -$843
Crypto
0% 43% -$87
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5,326 $3,636 72¢ $3.8K +$172 09-27 21:35
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,239 $2,655 92¢ $3.0K +$309 09-20 04:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,627 $2,316 92¢ $2.4K +$87 09-04 22:19
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3,456 $2,256 66¢ $2.3K +$7 10-26 23:40
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,871 $2,008 70¢ $2.0K +$16 10-26 23:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,660 $1,895 74¢ $2.0K +$59 09-29 02:39
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,731 $1,910 72¢ $2.0K +$42 10-22 18:12
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +1,832 $1,444 96¢ $1.7K +$306 09-15 14:50
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,728 $1,479 78¢ $1.3K -$140 10-21 16:48
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,700 $1,251 74¢ $1.3K +$16 10-15 11:11
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,069 $923 90¢ $957 +$34 10-26 11:21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,383 $1,001 68¢ $947 -$54 10-02 20:23
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,247 $933 74¢ $916 -$16 10-22 03:59
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +982 $884 88¢ $859 -$25 08-20 03:53
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $670 70¢ $695 +$25 10-22 17:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +698 $663 97¢ $677 +$14 10-26 19:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $650 66¢ $665 +$15 10-05 04:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $645 66¢ $655 +$10 10-06 19:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +904 $570 66¢ $592 +$23 09-28 01:29
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +650 $572 72¢ $465 -$108 10-07 20:09
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +500 $405 81¢ $405 +$0 10-22 17:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +400 $368 92¢ $370 +$2 10-06 07:45
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +426 $290 70¢ $298 +$9 09-02 11:30
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +359 $273 80¢ $289 +$16 10-26 11:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +439 $274 57¢ $252 -$21 09-05 17:21
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +240 $149 100¢ $240 +$91 10-25 20:06
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +1,042 $380 11¢ $115 -$265 10-13 11:25
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +156 $92 68¢ $107 +$15 10-04 03:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +225 $92 34¢ $76 -$17 10-01 18:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +86 $27 87¢ $75 +$48 10-21 17:56