Rubbery-Harvester 0x44dabe…7fe225 Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.90K
Unrealized P&L
-$403
Hit rate
95.8%
Resolved (7d)
6
Trades (7d)
283
2,463 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$45.5K
$707.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$287
Open exposure
$31.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 11-13 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
71% 73% +$14,361
Politics
16% 68% +$1,106
Sports
9% 65% -$5,316
Tech
3% 64% -$855
Crypto
0% 43% -$87
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,720 $4,681 100¢ $5.7K +$1,025 11-04 13:16
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +3,140 $1,047 100¢ $3.1K +$2,083 11-02 21:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2,465 $1,990 98¢ $2.4K +$431 11-12 19:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +19,161 $4,071 12¢ $2.4K -$1,676 11-10 15:10
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +2,106 $1,603 100¢ $2.1K +$499 11-04 12:47
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +2,358 $2,022 86¢ $2.0K -$6 11-13 14:46
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,000 $1,986 65¢ $2.0K -$32 11-12 14:18
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +2,416 $1,569 70¢ $1.7K +$110 11-06 21:56
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +1,602 $1,408 86¢ $1.4K -$22 11-12 14:47
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,069 $923 93¢ $994 +$71 10-26 11:21
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +1,000 $950 97¢ $968 +$18 11-12 19:17
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +914 $556 97¢ $884 +$327 11-11 17:28
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,745 $918 49¢ $862 -$57 11-12 14:38
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +760 $600 89¢ $675 +$75 11-12 19:14
Will Joy O'Donnell win the 2026 Brantford—Brant South by-election? Yes +837 $669 79¢ $661 -$8 11-12 14:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +916 $679 52¢ $472 -$207 11-06 21:57
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +501 $436 88¢ $443 +$7 11-12 12:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +11,179 $1,699 4¢ $419 -$1,280 11-10 11:17
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +796 $344 52¢ $410 +$65 11-13 14:43
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? Yes +479 $405 73¢ $350 -$55 11-13 03:12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +351 $328 93¢ $327 -$1 11-06 11:19
Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? No +403 $267 68¢ $276 +$9 11-12 13:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +350 $290 79¢ $276 -$15 11-06 11:19
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? No +211 $189 90¢ $191 +$2 11-12 19:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? No +2,540 $1,695 6¢ $164 -$1,532 11-10 11:39
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? No +203 $168 76¢ $154 -$13 11-12 19:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +639 $340 20¢ $131 -$209 11-05 17:41
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be above $4T at the end of 2026? Yes +250 $143 52¢ $129 -$14 11-12 17:49
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,002 $110 12¢ $122 +$12 11-12 19:29
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +199 $121 55¢ $108 -$12 11-12 19:25