Realized P&L (7d)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved (7d)
412
Trades (7d)
459
1,286 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.56K
$23.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.27K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 10-29 06:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
39% 84% -$68
Crypto
25% 91% -$16
Other
20% 71% +$30
Sports
16% 91% +$69
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -333 -$298 96¢ $-320 -$22 06-23 08:57
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No +312 $286 92¢ $287 +$1 10-26 12:13
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +171 $112 100¢ $171 +$59 10-26 13:50
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -157 -$145 96¢ $-150 -$5 06-23 08:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -123 -$111 98¢ $-121 -$9 07-07 08:33
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -68 -$63 96¢ $-65 -$2 06-23 08:24
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -55 -$52 97¢ $-53 -$1 06-20 10:42
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +118 $52 34¢ $41 -$12 08-03 06:31
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -32 -$28 80¢ $-26 +$2 05-04 21:37
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +24 $23 92¢ $22 -$1 10-29 00:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -17 -$15 97¢ $-16 -$1 06-23 08:36