Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
96.0%
Resolved
1,037
Trades
1,397
lifetime
Volume
$25.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.27K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 10-30 16:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
36% 84% -$68
Crypto
30% 92% -$10
Other
19% 71% +$30
Sports
15% 91% +$69
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -333 -$298 96¢ $-321 -$23 06-23 08:57
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No +312 $286 90¢ $281 -$5 10-26 12:13
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +171 $112 100¢ $171 +$59 10-26 13:50
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -157 -$145 95¢ $-150 -$5 06-23 08:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -123 -$111 98¢ $-120 -$9 07-07 08:33
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -68 -$63 96¢ $-65 -$2 06-23 08:24
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -55 -$52 98¢ $-54 -$1 06-20 10:42
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +118 $52 36¢ $43 -$10 08-03 06:31
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -32 -$28 79¢ $-25 +$2 05-04 21:37
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +24 $23 93¢ $23 $0 10-29 00:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -17 -$15 97¢ $-16 -$1 06-23 08:36