Reliable-Stomach — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$76.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$255

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-26 22:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

88% 100% +$1,486

Other

7% 0% $-11

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	51	$22.9K	22,657	22,657	+0	open	—	05-29 18:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	9	$13.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	05-06 08:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	104	$8.4K	17,500	14,500	+3,000	open	—	04-25 05:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$4.7K	6,159	0	+6,159	open	—	05-23 19:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$4.0K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$368	05-06 08:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$3.3K	6,868	0	+6,868	open	—	06-11 20:10
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	17	$3.3K	2,931	2,931	+0	open	—	05-21 17:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$2.5K	1,488	1,488	+0	No	+$472	05-05 05:26
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	4	$2.2K	10,970	0	+10,970	open	—	06-07 07:26
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	3	$2.1K	1,639	1,639	+0	open	—	06-11 20:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.8K	3,578	2,163	+1,415	Yes	+$646	05-08 19:29
wti up or down on june 25 2026	23	$1.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-25 06:21
spy up or down on june 24 2026	8	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-24 06:38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	6	$1.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-01 20:11
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	12	$1.0K	2,500	2,500	-0	open	—	06-25 19:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	13	$859	500	500	+0	open	—	06-26 22:42
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	2	$526	529	529	+0	open	—	05-21 17:39
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$392	795	0	+795	open	—	06-06 02:42
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	4	$242	1,849	1,849	+0	open	—	04-29 23:52
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$208	178	202	-24	open	—	06-09 02:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$201	10,813	0	+10,813	open	—	04-13 04:11
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$118	9,856	9,856	+0	open	—	05-13 19:20
bitcoin above 76k on april 22	1	$109	2,381	0	+2,381	open	—	04-22 08:48
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	16	$106	5,300	0	+5,300	open	—	04-10 22:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$71	3,949	3,949	+0	open	—	04-27 07:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$60	0	200	-200	open	—	05-23 00:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	1	$39	0	214	-214	open	—	05-23 15:37
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$25	12,685	0	+12,685	open	—	05-12 20:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$17	200	200	+0	No	$-11	04-24 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 22:42:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	500	94¢	$469	0xb7c616…
06-25 19:25:14	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xd38e47…
06-25 19:22:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x8f13b7…
06-25 18:37:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0xf47609…
06-25 18:17:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6905ff…
06-25 17:58:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0xb6dfb6…
06-25 17:58:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0xb0360c…
06-25 17:58:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0xd7d233…
06-25 17:58:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	2,252	20¢	$450	0xac2c56…
06-25 17:58:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0x90d529…
06-25 07:33:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	76	78¢	$59	0x832a06…
06-25 07:33:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x31f556…
06-25 07:33:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xbc86c4…
06-25 07:33:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe612ef…
06-25 07:33:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x8e9b3a…
06-25 07:32:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xcc98ea…
06-25 07:32:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2e6740…
06-25 07:32:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x06f336…
06-25 07:31:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	127	78¢	$99	0x2ad02d…
06-25 07:13:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x7dea40…
06-25 07:10:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	136	78¢	$106	0x6833fe…
06-25 06:40:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xdc3575…
06-25 06:21:47	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0xa6e583…
06-25 06:17:52	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x926b04…
06-25 06:17:49	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	70	39¢	$27	0x4ea146…
06-25 06:17:47	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	550	39¢	$214	0x63c266…
06-25 06:17:25	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd61d6c…
06-25 06:17:20	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	529	39¢	$206	0x336d38…
06-25 06:15:26	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xeb5dc2…
06-25 06:15:25	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x846662…
06-25 06:15:22	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	550	39¢	$214	0xc6c68e…
06-25 06:15:16	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x7e2bfb…
06-25 06:15:11	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x5729dc…
06-25 06:15:11	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	131	39¢	$51	0x56badf…
06-25 06:15:10	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x700aca…
06-25 06:15:07	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	87	39¢	$34	0xbb2970…
06-25 06:15:07	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xa66cd6…
06-25 01:08:17	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	430	46¢	$198	0x70f65b…
06-25 01:07:50	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x126e66…
06-25 01:03:07	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x19dd08…
06-25 01:03:02	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	550	46¢	$253	0x7b300b…
06-25 01:02:56	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xe1b659…
06-25 01:02:52	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	445	47¢	$209	0x77e430…
06-25 01:02:50	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x23d4e5…
06-25 01:02:46	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	547	47¢	$257	0x87da71…
06-24 17:11:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x985321…
06-24 16:37:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	341	20¢	$68	0x1fc527…
06-24 16:36:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	2,151	20¢	$430	0x5f9176…
06-24 06:38:05	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0x75ac03…
06-24 06:36:02	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	120	61¢	$73	0x4150ed…
06-24 06:35:56	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	150	61¢	$92	0x57b316…
06-24 06:35:52	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	63	61¢	$39	0x7096f7…
06-24 06:35:52	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	150	61¢	$92	0x6a4bc0…
06-24 06:35:16	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x70a148…
06-24 06:09:50	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	800	61¢	$488	0xcb7004…
06-24 06:08:07	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x13535d…
06-11 20:10:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,351	34¢	$1,129	0xba373d…
06-11 20:10:09	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	SELL	1,639	70¢	$1,143	0x4b3432…
06-10 18:32:46	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	1,169	61¢	$714	0x5a13f8…
06-10 18:08:13	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	469	58¢	$270	0xe7fadc…
06-10 05:47:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,517	62¢	$2,181	0xbf994b…
06-09 02:26:46	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	178	58¢	$103	0x68dc71…
06-09 02:19:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	202	52¢	$105	0xbf8e34…
06-07 07:26:12	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	5,510	16¢	$890	0xec0ad3…
06-07 06:17:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	4,794	21¢	$1,000	0xade335…
06-06 23:28:15	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	342	56¢	$192	0xbaeba5…
06-06 02:42:46	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	330	30¢	$99	0xfb06c2…
06-06 02:14:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	178	55¢	$98	0xa2e375…
06-05 23:19:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	287	68¢	$195	0x9f9834…
06-05 23:11:34	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	323	33¢	$106	0x51a211…
05-29 18:16:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0x182c54…
05-29 18:16:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	821	49¢	$405	0x84ea33…
05-25 23:00:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	321	62¢	$198	0xcae1b0…
05-25 22:59:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	336	59¢	$198	0xc4f0b1…
05-23 19:54:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	58¢	$99	0xab9d25…
05-23 16:25:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,194	67¢	$800	0x2b79fc…
05-23 15:37:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	214	18¢	$39	0x3d9d88…
05-23 00:50:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x035c16…
05-22 13:43:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,362	73¢	$1,000	0xfd5529…
05-21 18:36:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,336	75¢	$1,000	0xf5d6e1…
05-21 18:34:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,432	80¢	$2,755	0x977ba3…
05-21 17:41:25	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	874	97¢	$848	0x99f438…
05-21 17:40:38	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	2,057	97¢	$1,995	0x633ff2…
05-21 17:39:33	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	529	90¢	$476	0x22e6e5…
05-21 15:57:48	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	529	9¢	$50	0x98f127…
05-21 15:19:32	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0xf57953…
05-21 15:18:48	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x14aa4c…
05-21 15:18:23	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	297	17¢	$50	0xcec897…
05-21 14:45:07	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x6e7637…
05-21 12:57:57	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0xf4ddf6…
05-21 12:44:30	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xdf9aa5…
05-21 12:12:34	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x932a73…
05-21 12:12:32	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	482	17¢	$82	0x293341…
05-21 09:21:34	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xfd403d…
05-21 06:36:53	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xbf47fd…
05-20 22:37:02	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	218	10¢	$22	0x586fbd…
05-20 22:18:43	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x480e57…
05-20 22:16:55	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0x5616ed…
05-20 22:15:57	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfdd5a4…
05-20 19:19:05	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	595	11¢	$63	0x32dcc3…