Realized P&L (90d)
+$85
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved (90d)
1,361
Trades (90d)
2,295
2,801 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$14.7K
$18.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$94
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 09-26 16:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
72% 59% -$52
Politics
15% 61% -$51
Sports
10% 59% +$86
Crypto
3% 60% -$60
Tech
1% 76% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +41 $28 97¢ $40 +$12 09-24 19:21
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +27 $17 98¢ $26 +$10 09-26 06:47
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 09-24 17:51
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +8 $5 97¢ $8 +$3 09-17 05:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $4 29¢ $2 -$2 08-09 20:38
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +4 $1 50¢ $2 +$1 08-18 03:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +9 $4 22¢ $2 -$2 08-14 06:28
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +5 $3 24¢ $1 -$1 09-09 09:05
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 08-14 16:05
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-22 07:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +0 $0 60¢ $0 $0 07-31 09:23
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 09-25 18:50
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +0 $7 36¢ $0 -$7 09-03 08:03