Best-Charm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$452

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$2.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-14 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

96% 100% +$452

Other

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+81	$29	19¢	$15	$-14	06-07 12:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	33	$774	2,163	2,163	+0	Yes	+$294	05-08 19:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$297	430	430	+0	Yes	+$157	05-09 11:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	10	$212	3,307	3,994	-687	open	—	03-22 18:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$193	1,991	1,991	+0	open	—	04-09 21:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	18	$181	568	618	-51	open	—	05-27 17:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	9	$155	398	251	+147	open	—	05-23 16:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$90	375	333	+42	open	—	03-24 20:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	7	$76	739	477	+262	open	—	06-12 17:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$71	161	81	+81	open	—	06-07 12:29
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	6	$61	445	445	+0	open	—	07-14 13:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	5	$51	405	405	+0	open	—	06-10 23:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$48	129	86	+43	open	—	05-27 12:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	05-22 22:16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	3	$45	215	215	+0	open	—	05-25 15:16
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	2	$31	26	26	+0	open	—	04-29 18:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$29	245	245	+0	open	—	05-22 22:19
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	3	$28	189	189	+0	open	—	01-15 00:43
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	2	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	04-29 19:20
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	3	$22	181	14	+167	open	—	04-29 19:25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$21	94	94	+0	open	—	05-28 14:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	3	$21	881	881	+0	open	—	07-01 00:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$20	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 12:31
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$20	105	0	+105	open	—	03-08 02:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-25 23:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$19	43	43	+0	open	—	05-08 18:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$17	0	56	-56	open	—	05-22 22:18
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$17	125	125	+0	open	—	07-01 00:34
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	1	$10	127	0	+127	open	—	07-14 13:39
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$10	201	0	+201	open	—	02-09 21:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	03-02 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 13:39:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x94f19b…
07-14 13:37:13	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	337	1¢	$3	0xf39538…
07-01 00:34:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	125	5¢	$7	0x3cab2e…
07-01 00:34:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	881	1¢	$6	0x784d4f…
07-01 00:30:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x5228ce…
07-01 00:29:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	573	2¢	$10	0x899faf…
07-01 00:29:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	308	2¢	$5	0x80a919…
06-28 20:05:32	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0x6d66bb…
06-28 20:05:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	164	3¢	$5	0xd140a7…
06-12 17:29:46	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x128285…
06-12 17:29:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x2a2f35…
06-12 13:37:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xabf03a…
06-12 10:41:36	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	107	12¢	$13	0x7558d6…
06-12 10:41:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	5¢	$21	0x5c97fb…
06-12 10:35:28	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x7397c8…
06-12 10:35:06	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x2726fa…
06-12 10:34:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xc4c2fa…
06-12 10:34:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x9065c2…
06-12 10:33:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0x8fa644…
06-10 23:05:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	5¢	$10	0x9634f2…
06-07 12:30:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0xa36591…
06-07 12:29:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	26¢	$21	0x12f328…
06-07 12:29:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	8¢	$16	0xe1767b…
06-04 19:23:21	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	3¢	$5	0xa7b2ad…
06-04 19:21:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x2a65a6…
06-04 19:21:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x66270f…
06-04 18:40:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x28c4f8…
06-04 18:40:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x1702b3…
05-28 14:50:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	94	6¢	$6	0xb6fa23…
05-27 17:58:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	8¢	$11	0x2d9002…
05-27 12:30:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	22¢	$9	0x3ed055…
05-27 12:24:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x81fd9f…
05-27 10:47:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	21¢	$9	0x629661…
05-27 10:47:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	9¢	$13	0x8460ab…
05-27 00:34:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	1¢	$3	0x4fda79…
05-27 00:32:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x0f20d0…
05-27 00:32:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xb49f8b…
05-27 00:31:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xca55b9…
05-27 00:30:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc96520…
05-27 00:29:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x355f63…
05-26 18:53:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0x019801…
05-25 23:02:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x3841a3…
05-25 23:02:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xaeaf1b…
05-25 15:39:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xc55603…
05-25 15:20:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9a71d7…
05-25 15:19:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1556ba…
05-25 15:18:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x618ae3…
05-25 15:18:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0xce695c…
05-25 15:17:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0xa5e9c9…
05-25 15:16:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	215	7¢	$15	0x9b1a37…
05-24 14:16:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xb4530a…
05-24 14:16:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x8f2061…
05-24 14:13:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0xb1f0d6…
05-24 02:09:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x1c929f…
05-24 02:05:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x288eba…
05-24 01:59:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd1685e…
05-24 01:45:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	27¢	$41	0x3ecf1c…
05-23 20:46:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x322e1a…
05-23 19:22:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x2d3055…
05-23 16:27:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	110	3¢	$4	0xcab814…
05-23 01:40:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3a91c0…
05-23 01:08:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	79	20¢	$16	0xa0b67b…
05-23 00:14:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xde8112…
05-22 23:48:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	62	34¢	$21	0x6c29ad…
05-22 23:44:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x186e09…
05-22 23:40:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x542bb6…
05-22 22:27:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x5aed26…
05-22 22:24:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	127	24¢	$30	0x40b896…
05-22 22:19:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	245	8¢	$19	0x3c02f9…
05-22 22:18:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	56	31¢	$17	0x99d456…
05-22 22:16:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x1db439…
05-22 19:16:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	245	4¢	$10	0x371906…
05-22 19:15:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xbac15d…
05-09 11:11:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xeaf5c5…
05-08 19:22:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	24¢	$35	0x44047d…
05-08 19:22:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x06b6fe…
05-08 19:18:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x631955…
05-08 19:16:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6b2ff2…
05-08 19:14:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x160e8d…
05-08 19:11:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x1eab94…
05-08 19:03:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	33¢	$22	0xb29df7…
05-08 18:56:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2ca6a1…
05-08 18:56:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8985b4…
05-08 18:47:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xd694e6…
05-08 18:47:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	42¢	$33	0xa24a8a…
05-08 18:41:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x2e1bf8…
05-08 18:40:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x84a8bb…
05-08 18:39:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0x13e50b…
05-08 18:38:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	53¢	$130	0x236dba…
05-08 18:37:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	56¢	$90	0x61ba1a…
05-08 18:35:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	55¢	$45	0x8c65b8…
05-08 18:33:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x48116f…
05-08 18:31:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	40¢	$41	0xa0d927…
05-08 18:29:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	40¢	$55	0xc3e14d…
05-08 18:24:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	37¢	$67	0x45498b…
05-08 18:15:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	23¢	$56	0xd404ad…
05-08 18:06:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	19¢	$30	0x34d04d…
05-08 18:03:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x784c12…
05-08 18:02:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x18afb0…
05-04 18:35:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	5¢	$14	0xbba736…