Acrobatic-Crawdad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$313

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-24 06:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-0

Politics

25% 0% $-0

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

8% 0% $-0

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-01 01:28
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 02:54
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-20 06:28
netanyahu out by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-07 04:28
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-16 04:45
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-17 03:27
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 00:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 02:51
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 02:44
chatgpt full outage by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 01:21
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 06:35
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 01:10
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 03:53
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-09 06:11
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:18
is earth flat 20260608195956112	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-10 06:31
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:19
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-03 09:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 02:53
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 03:06
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 01:38
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 03:04
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:30
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 04:41
will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 01:24
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 03:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 03:26
will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-09 00:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 04:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 06:35:51	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x42ae90…
07-24 06:35:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa949a6…
07-24 06:20:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa2ea98…
07-24 06:16:06	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x120f83…
07-23 06:29:27	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7db36d…
07-23 06:07:37	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf81b73…
07-20 04:56:27	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718 274	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x537fa4…
07-20 04:44:39	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718 274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x299063…
07-18 06:24:51	will aristotle self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618249	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4f638a…
07-18 04:53:21	will aristotle self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618249	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd42324…
07-17 06:35:57	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe46262…
07-17 06:18:13	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x260d75…
07-16 06:09:11	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4375a2…
07-16 04:37:31	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf644a0…
07-15 03:22:20	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x62cd81…
07-15 03:09:50	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d7f1b…
07-14 00:46:58	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x053384…
07-14 00:08:01	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84cbf2…
07-13 04:44:43	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0ddfb1…
07-13 04:23:13	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaa60d9…
07-11 00:28:50	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x696f0f…
07-11 00:27:50	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x341327…
07-11 00:04:20	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa52ec7…
07-10 23:57:31	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe4bf78…
07-10 03:58:07	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x53d687…
07-10 03:57:10	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x332efe…
07-10 03:34:55	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7fb226…
07-10 03:30:35	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d0e75…
07-09 00:25:47	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc807e9…
07-09 00:11:43	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x21c16e…
07-08 06:18:19	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x173f4e…
07-08 04:41:55	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d66f6…
07-07 04:28:56	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdd0717…
07-07 03:39:34	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd0670…
07-06 03:40:32	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd183ed…
07-06 03:39:20	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x94daa5…
07-06 03:26:08	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x651965…
07-06 03:20:59	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4dc19…
07-04 02:57:56	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8368b1…
07-04 02:57:16	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xab7c17…
07-04 02:50:50	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x89e1c6…
07-04 02:45:07	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7cdbf7…
07-03 09:54:10	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ee50a…
07-03 09:51:58	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbeb564…
07-03 09:24:44	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0928bd…
07-03 09:14:50	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c4c2a…
07-01 03:45:13	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa86b86…
07-01 03:44:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2f8641…
07-01 03:25:08	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe55d1a…
06-30 09:56:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4e1ea…
06-27 03:51:32	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x04138f…
06-27 03:35:34	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x02c856…
06-26 02:05:01	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb7f4a8…
06-26 01:44:22	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f4aaf…
06-25 06:37:14	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1db51d…
06-25 04:53:52	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9bcdd4…
06-24 00:46:20	will yeet launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4b572b…
06-24 00:29:29	will yeet launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc1a458…
06-23 06:13:50	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xae9ef3…
06-23 04:45:59	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6677ed…
06-22 01:24:02	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb3822e…
06-22 01:09:41	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0fd97d…
06-21 06:38:22	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2fc8fd…
06-21 04:55:10	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7aa093…
06-17 06:56:38	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x826ed8…
06-17 06:10:56	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f758e…
06-16 04:41:06	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdfeda8…
06-16 04:24:27	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x556bc8…
06-15 04:43:51	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf130b8…
06-15 04:43:22	bitcoin above 54k on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x23ec49…
06-12 04:42:43	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x05856a…
06-12 04:41:48	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x26bad3…
06-12 04:20:24	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf8886f…
06-12 03:50:19	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2da24a…
06-11 04:31:12	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x08859f…
06-11 04:29:27	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe6c238…
06-11 03:50:27	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x852c8e…
06-11 03:41:01	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5031d…
06-10 06:32:06	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x11e0d5…
06-10 06:31:16	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa94a65…
06-10 04:48:39	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb3b6ac…
06-10 04:42:52	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30c197…
06-09 06:11:21	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5edafb…
06-08 04:30:58	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x09c3f7…
06-08 04:30:16	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0476f5…
06-08 03:08:10	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9144ce…
06-08 03:04:36	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdedec4…
06-06 04:52:13	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcebe62…
06-06 04:51:07	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5fcb81…
06-06 03:54:46	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcde879…
06-06 03:50:46	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d748b…
06-05 04:18:28	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x290a13…
06-05 03:36:52	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x315d9d…
06-04 08:19:34	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xde80c2…
06-04 08:12:15	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e5c0a…
06-03 06:51:28	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x764999…
06-03 04:56:10	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3efd8f…
06-02 03:26:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3cae11…
06-02 03:05:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29fe57…
06-01 07:03:24	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbb186e…