Realized P&L
-$836
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved
509
Trades
987
lifetime
Volume
$137.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$2.76K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-02 08:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
89% 95% -$949
Politics
5% 92% +$46
Crypto
4% 95% +$25
Sports
2% 91% +$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,419 $1,358 98¢ $1.4K +$36 10-25 02:39
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +543 $532 98¢ $535 +$2 11-02 08:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +287 $284 99¢ $283 -$1 11-02 07:28
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +247 $238 97¢ $240 +$2 11-01 13:31
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 10-15 03:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +67 $62 94¢ $63 +$1 10-20 03:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? No +55 $54 96¢ $53 -$1 11-01 13:26
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +50 $47 94¢ $47 +$1 10-15 03:36
OKX IPO in 2026? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 +$0 10-15 03:34
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +20 $17 91¢ $18 +$1 10-02 06:40