Austere-Ectodermal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$307

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-03 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% 0% $-0

Politics

20% 0% $-0

Tech

12% — —

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-16 08:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-09 01:55
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:31
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 09:45
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-03 02:25
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 02:44
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 03:26
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 02:44
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-04 08:02
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 03:40
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 03:16
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be less than 60	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:54
will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week 835	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:02
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 02:43
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 03:53
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-09 06:11
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:06
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-12 04:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 01:53
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 02:47
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 02:09
is earth flat 20260608195956112	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-10 06:31
bitcoin above 84k on january 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-20 09:37
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 11corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 06:27
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 02:53
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-03 09:53
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 03:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 02:17
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 19 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 09:54:08	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x44229f…
07-03 09:53:32	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x98dfea…
07-03 09:24:52	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ba381…
07-03 09:15:07	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd24614…
07-01 03:51:11	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ca559…
07-01 03:50:59	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf86164…
07-01 03:24:55	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xac3fcd…
06-30 09:56:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c3cdb…
06-27 03:51:32	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3a8c7c…
06-27 03:35:44	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8c1a6d…
06-26 02:05:40	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe0991b…
06-26 01:44:22	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc91d9a…
06-25 06:37:32	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfc8b31…
06-25 04:53:53	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x096ae5…
06-24 00:46:20	will yeet launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x848b1d…
06-24 00:29:31	will yeet launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x46c9c9…
06-23 06:13:44	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x844dc2…
06-23 04:48:01	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8beb7f…
06-22 01:24:02	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea0b54…
06-22 01:09:44	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x08771c…
06-21 06:38:25	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xef52f2…
06-21 04:55:10	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1f8d06…
06-17 06:56:38	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x096996…
06-17 06:11:07	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4b5c2…
06-16 04:41:06	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0ab84d…
06-16 04:24:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd47561…
06-15 04:43:06	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x355c06…
06-15 04:42:24	bitcoin above 54k on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe90751…
06-12 04:42:37	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x022dca…
06-12 04:41:48	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb81c04…
06-12 04:20:36	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x89149a…
06-12 03:50:25	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd39e8c…
06-11 04:31:10	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7cd526…
06-11 04:29:25	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb8b87f…
06-11 03:52:37	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24bd80…
06-11 03:41:01	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfb9a59…
06-10 06:32:03	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x592985…
06-10 06:31:15	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1595e4…
06-10 04:56:24	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x353217…
06-10 04:42:52	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcdd0de…
06-09 06:11:18	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf29ece…
06-08 04:30:58	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x18b882…
06-08 04:30:19	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x742e31…
06-08 03:08:09	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c4e67…
06-08 03:04:34	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc84bf3…
06-06 04:52:25	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x71434f…
06-06 04:51:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd5dd1e…
06-06 03:54:58	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x57ebb7…
06-06 03:52:15	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x165324…
06-05 04:10:48	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd21b08…
06-05 03:36:49	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51221c…
06-04 08:19:34	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf3e6ef…
06-04 08:12:15	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59dd81…
06-03 06:51:26	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe70dc1…
06-03 04:56:07	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x85e8ba…
06-02 03:27:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0e5222…
06-02 03:05:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f5d9e…
06-01 07:03:52	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x500731…
06-01 06:34:00	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x094bf1…
05-30 10:02:02	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5e821b…
05-30 04:36:23	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x03539c…
05-28 04:28:52	Claude 4.8 released by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc3344a…
05-28 04:28:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x225071…
05-28 03:49:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29236c…
05-28 03:41:42	Claude 4.8 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c0f4a…
05-25 04:28:13	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xafd104…
05-21 04:31:53	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x523dce…
05-21 03:39:37	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81389b…
05-20 04:47:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd2aa7c…
05-20 04:46:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0a73ce…
05-20 04:20:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x62868c…
05-20 03:34:00	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x333feb…
05-16 03:40:42	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xba25da…
05-16 03:12:10	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc87c77…
05-14 03:33:56	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9c804f…
05-14 03:17:32	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8967a8…
05-13 03:53:20	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbfae20…
05-13 03:13:02	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd61844…
05-12 03:56:11	Will Citrea launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7110fe…
05-12 03:55:20	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x606d8e…
05-12 03:33:57	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa338b3…
05-12 03:27:41	Will Citrea launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e2d12…
05-09 06:37:01	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5faf34…
05-09 04:47:12	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce1bdc…
05-07 03:43:50	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x99a49a…
05-07 03:43:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc58d20…
05-07 03:18:17	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5f514c…
05-07 03:14:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa1880e…
05-06 03:08:24	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x841942…
05-06 03:03:24	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xde5531…
05-05 03:22:34	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3ffe63…
05-05 03:16:28	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd85910…
04-30 02:08:50	Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x804188…
04-30 02:02:48	Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd994c…
04-29 03:06:50	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe81b8d…
04-29 03:01:06	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3897c…
04-28 02:54:00	Will White House post 60-79 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2bff87…
04-28 02:53:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1f586a…
04-28 02:48:18	Will White House post 60-79 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32de99…
04-28 02:43:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d01bd…