Troubled-Pantologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$303

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-04 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-0

Politics

23% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% 0% $-0

Tech

11% — —

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-16 08:28
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 02:54
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-04 08:02
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-04 08:02
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-08 03:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 02:51
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 07:11
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-30 02:45
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 03:24
Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-10 08:26
nba 2025 26 ppg leader luka doncic	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 06:28
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 03:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-10 02:09
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 02:43
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 04:44
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-09 06:11
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:06
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	07-04 02:57
is earth flat 20260608195956112	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-10 06:31
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 02:09
will the central bank of colombia announce a decrease at the march meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 02:53
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-03 09:53
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 03:06
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 01:38
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 04:41
will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 01:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 03:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 04:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 02:57:56	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x522ef6…
07-04 02:57:16	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x560693…
07-04 02:50:50	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x14d97c…
07-04 02:45:08	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf90825…
07-03 09:54:08	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2fffac…
07-03 09:53:35	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe8cfef…
07-03 09:24:53	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac6fd0…
07-03 09:14:43	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1c9c7…
07-01 03:45:11	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4b90cc…
07-01 03:44:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5f0fb8…
07-01 03:25:04	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8826fd…
06-30 09:56:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc370fc…
06-27 03:51:32	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6c2251…
06-27 03:35:56	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x36318c…
06-26 02:05:07	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x08ac4e…
06-26 01:44:22	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87b8be…
06-25 06:37:11	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x793c62…
06-25 04:53:55	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7bdc2a…
06-24 00:46:25	will yeet launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x755ee3…
06-24 00:29:37	will yeet launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb5fa89…
06-23 06:13:50	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x58a8b2…
06-23 04:46:01	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa67ee0…
06-22 01:24:04	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x228b3a…
06-22 01:09:40	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8a6c3…
06-21 06:38:26	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1eb5f9…
06-21 04:55:13	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x425b78…
06-17 06:56:41	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x27d3aa…
06-17 06:11:01	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7a34cb…
06-16 04:41:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xffae8d…
06-16 04:24:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x284ced…
06-15 04:43:52	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x87019b…
06-15 04:43:12	bitcoin above 54k on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3ae93b…
06-12 04:42:40	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbbee1f…
06-12 04:41:48	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c04b2…
06-12 04:20:25	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa6621f…
06-12 03:50:21	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1011ee…
06-11 04:31:13	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x97c5cd…
06-11 04:29:28	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe1b369…
06-11 03:50:55	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3580d4…
06-11 03:41:01	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa4001e…
06-10 06:32:01	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x04a92c…
06-10 06:31:19	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x052a3a…
06-10 04:57:03	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f46b2…
06-10 04:43:10	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x923b91…
06-09 06:11:25	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6997a4…
06-08 04:31:03	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x23b47d…
06-08 04:30:22	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbd505e…
06-08 03:08:15	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f6364…
06-08 03:02:34	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x843fb6…
06-06 04:52:15	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x53d2f2…
06-06 04:51:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x66023d…
06-06 03:54:48	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x374fa6…
06-06 03:50:49	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x430e75…
06-05 04:10:51	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6e0bbf…
06-05 03:36:54	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5e83f3…
06-04 08:19:34	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0341a7…
06-04 08:12:10	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06f8a0…
06-03 06:51:30	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3f984a…
06-03 04:56:09	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2c7f44…
06-02 03:26:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x564334…
06-02 03:05:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48f3f6…
06-01 07:03:25	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xeac91d…
06-01 06:34:01	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3ef3e3…
05-30 10:02:09	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4ea952…
05-30 04:36:29	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x276eb3…
05-28 04:28:53	Claude 4.8 released by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70c262…
05-28 04:28:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcd8f77…
05-28 03:49:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x795dd7…
05-28 03:41:38	Claude 4.8 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3bd351…
05-25 04:28:15	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba423b…
05-21 04:32:00	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7bcd3a…
05-21 03:39:44	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf73bfe…
05-20 04:47:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdd687f…
05-20 04:46:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5810b9…
05-20 04:20:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xba0eef…
05-20 03:34:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6055fd…
05-16 03:40:42	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x60b94a…
05-16 03:12:02	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd8d803…
05-14 03:33:56	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf2b110…
05-14 03:17:34	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xed3865…
05-13 03:53:27	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x695560…
05-13 03:13:16	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeed438…
05-12 03:56:14	Will Citrea launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdc4560…
05-12 03:55:23	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0eac94…
05-12 03:33:45	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdd59df…
05-12 03:27:39	Will Citrea launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x600302…
05-09 06:37:04	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6cf6f3…
05-09 04:47:19	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa67e65…
05-07 03:43:53	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1baaac…
05-07 03:43:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd42a9d…
05-07 03:18:17	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfddbd6…
05-07 03:14:13	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c14ca…
05-06 03:08:24	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc2cd8d…
05-06 03:03:26	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8f096c…
05-05 03:22:32	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5d3c4c…
05-05 03:16:24	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff2ddb…
04-30 02:08:50	Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x216ade…
04-30 02:02:52	Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x252b85…
04-29 03:06:52	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe7b9a8…
04-29 03:01:06	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x399ac7…