Staid-Stamp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 06-09 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

52% 0% $-0

Other

24% 100% +$0

Sports

21% 50% $-0

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+32	$25	76¢	$24	$-1	06-09 14:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	84¢	$1	$-1	06-07 22:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	04-21 03:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$72	75	75	+0	open	—	05-25 00:42
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	03-27 14:20
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	03-28 04:59
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	03-22 00:37
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	10	$65	182	182	+0	open	—	06-03 23:20
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$64	66	66	+0	open	—	03-22 03:49
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	05-23 21:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$63	46	46	+0	open	—	05-26 11:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	03-27 08:45
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$60	34	34	+0	open	—	04-19 02:48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$59	31	31	+0	No	$-0	04-27 01:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$59	32	32	+0	open	—	05-20 11:20
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	04-18 09:27
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$59	99	99	+0	open	—	04-22 04:36
Will Alberta join the US?	7	$58	105	105	+0	open	—	06-07 07:44
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	06-03 11:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$57	65	65	+0	open	—	06-06 12:07
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	2	$55	41	41	+0	open	—	06-09 09:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	05-17 15:12
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	2	$54	31	31	+0	No	$-0	04-01 00:38
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-16 23:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	05-31 00:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$52	49	49	+0	open	—	06-01 20:51
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	05-16 04:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$52	33	33	+0	open	—	06-02 17:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$52	38	38	+0	open	—	06-04 19:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$52	32	31	+1	open	—	06-07 22:24
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	05-28 06:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$50	41	41	+0	open	—	06-09 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:16:36	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xcc5c78…
06-09 09:12:33	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	67¢	$27	0x9c0f39…
06-09 09:11:43	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	67¢	$27	0xe41d58…
06-09 04:09:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0xca7db3…
06-09 00:20:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0xff2101…
06-09 00:20:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x9964a0…
06-08 17:24:16	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x8a5d04…
06-08 15:52:36	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x20bc05…
06-07 22:24:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0xf4fe01…
06-07 20:11:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xea2867…
06-07 20:11:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x6c3d3f…
06-07 07:44:28	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xef8874…
06-07 07:44:28	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xceb59e…
06-07 07:44:28	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x08eb9d…
06-07 03:30:03	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xa1859d…
06-07 03:30:03	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x759a47…
06-06 12:07:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0xf7f060…
06-06 02:03:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x85a99c…
06-06 02:03:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x74fcc9…
06-04 19:09:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	38	69¢	$26	0x036480…
06-04 12:42:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x463052…
06-04 12:42:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xec7170…
06-04 12:42:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0xb0eb16…
06-03 23:20:46	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0x1d5ff8…
06-03 22:15:54	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xf32bc3…
06-03 22:15:54	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$1	0x22a8ed…
06-03 11:15:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x81d6ca…
06-03 11:15:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x3cf146…
06-02 23:37:53	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	78	4¢	$4	0x53bfe3…
06-02 21:22:55	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x0c26e1…
06-02 17:43:37	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0xda15b7…
06-02 15:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0x183ffb…
06-02 02:58:35	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	31¢	$11	0x86f2a9…
06-02 01:15:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x7793e6…
06-01 20:51:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	53¢	$26	0xe94048…
06-01 18:47:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	54¢	$26	0xc7f855…
06-01 08:38:37	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xc4281c…
06-01 00:44:21	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	64	7¢	$4	0x2060a1…
05-31 22:47:27	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	64	7¢	$4	0x9f40bd…
05-31 00:02:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xc8b147…
05-30 19:12:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xfc9b66…
05-30 15:04:03	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0x822691…
05-30 13:41:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xde610c…
05-30 13:41:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x7a106f…
05-30 13:41:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x10b27c…
05-30 12:31:33	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xd3c01d…
05-30 10:44:42	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x24437c…
05-29 22:07:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x515db1…
05-29 22:07:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0x0dae1c…
05-29 18:03:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x118355…
05-29 14:17:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x6f61e5…
05-28 22:13:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x5b5775…
05-28 18:46:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3e0373…
05-28 06:58:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xceea0b…
05-28 05:41:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xd6279b…
05-27 21:15:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	33¢	$26	0x5933e1…
05-26 11:54:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	67¢	$31	0xf7d6e7…
05-26 09:44:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	71¢	$33	0x59f776…
05-25 00:42:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	39	82¢	$32	0xc25f1b…
05-24 20:39:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x1f678e…
05-23 21:52:05	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xb30390…
05-23 19:33:13	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xa7465e…
05-23 14:45:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0xc8f15b…
05-23 13:18:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x4129b4…
05-21 22:04:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	26¢	$9	0xf6b1b6…
05-21 20:45:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x3ffe2b…
05-20 11:20:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0xd01fe0…
05-20 09:15:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x5063fa…
05-17 15:12:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xdf9aa6…
05-17 10:04:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xd393b6…
05-16 04:22:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x0db505…
05-15 20:29:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xab028b…
04-27 01:06:20	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x9426f0…
04-27 01:05:42	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x6f77da…
04-27 01:04:54	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x8f7be6…
04-25 07:03:42	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xa7e303…
04-25 04:40:04	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8df3a8…
04-22 13:30:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x78eaff…
04-22 13:30:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$2	0x53bbf8…
04-22 10:57:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$2	0xba9881…
04-22 08:26:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	78	6¢	$5	0xd5aac7…
04-22 08:04:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xcef134…
04-22 08:04:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	43	6¢	$2	0x2a5f97…
04-22 04:36:58	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xee2176…
04-22 02:01:24	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x7676b7…
04-21 03:48:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x62b220…
04-21 00:10:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xd3fb83…
04-19 02:48:14	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x7773ab…
04-19 02:47:28	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x2eb446…
04-18 09:27:22	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x867319…
04-18 07:44:30	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x028e72…
04-17 12:55:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7a388a…
04-17 12:55:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x0e5f48…
04-17 10:58:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x88a5d7…
04-16 23:32:04	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x7ce5ef…
04-16 23:32:04	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x33634d…
04-16 22:10:34	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x8622d9…
04-16 11:08:22	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0xe2641e…
04-16 09:38:40	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0x6aaa85…
04-16 05:12:32	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	82	6¢	$5	0xbccf99…