Pale-Pray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$230

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$6.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-07 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

98% 60% -$184

Sports

1% 100% +$4

Crypto

1% 33% -$21

Politics

0% 0% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	34	$421	427	424	+3	No	+$16	04-17 10:28
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 30c	2	$265	153	153	+1	No	-$12	04-17 08:44
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 30c	18	$264	229	226	+3	No	+$38	04-17 10:28
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	2	$230	132	131	+1	Under	+$31	04-25 13:42
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	2	$212	112	112	+0	Tottenham Hotspur FC	+$12	05-19 21:57
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	2	$210	110	110	+0	FC Barcelona	+$10	05-10 22:43
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 30c	2	$206	112	112	+1	No	+$7	04-20 09:03
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	6	$192	218	217	+1	No	-$157	04-23 03:03
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 30c	6	$188	269	263	+6	No	-$72	04-22 04:39
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 28c	2	$169	123	119	+4	Yes	+$73	04-19 23:59
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	5	$139	96	94	+1	No	+$2	04-24 00:50
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 29c	4	$136	129	125	+4	Yes	+$40	04-22 10:21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	2	$133	83	83	+0	Yes	+$33	05-10 22:43
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 29c	2	$127	79	77	+1	No	+$29	04-21 09:44
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	2	$122	72	72	+0	Chelsea FC	+$22	05-16 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?	2	$120	243	243	+0	No	-$120	05-21 06:41
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	2	$117	67	67	+0	Tottenham Hotspur FC	+$17	05-19 21:58
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	4	$115	86	84	+2	Yes	+$13	04-24 09:23
epl cry wes 2026 04 20 spread home 1pt5	2	$110	60	60	+0	West Ham United FC	+$10	04-20 21:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	2	$110	60	60	+0	Yes	+$10	05-14 00:56
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 30corhigher	3	$110	100	100	+0	Yes	+$90	04-16 16:30
epl bri che 2026 04 21 spread away 1pt5	2	$109	60	59	+0	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	+$9	04-21 21:32
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 30c	2	$108	58	58	+0	No	+$8	04-20 09:03
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 29c	2	$106	209	204	+5	No	-$94	04-18 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	2	$103	53	53	+0	No	+$3	05-14 23:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	2	$103	53	53	+0	Yes	+$3	05-14 23:42
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	1	$100	125	0	+125	Under	-$100	04-25 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	2	$97	69	67	+2	Yes	+$39	04-26 08:49
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 28c	2	$93	68	67	+1	Yes	-$7	04-19 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	2	$92	62	62	+0	Yes	+$32	05-03 04:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 13:53:43	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9d609b…
07-03 14:28:07	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x564d47…
07-01 01:58:28	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x7e0842…
05-27 04:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x7ef950…
05-21 06:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	243	0¢	$0	0x9f26d3…
05-21 05:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	243	49¢	$120	0x6241da…
05-21 04:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf42d63…
05-21 04:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?	No	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0xf4b1fa…
05-21 04:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x29cc06…
05-21 04:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	44	67¢	$30	0xb80056…
05-20 22:37:43	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x077110…
05-20 13:51:41	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x9fbd29…
05-20 13:51:34	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbc6095…
05-20 05:53:37	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x93e8f1…
05-20 05:52:55	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x6022d6…
05-20 03:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?	No	SELL	63	7¢	$4	0xd9edea…
05-20 03:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?	No	SELL	22	88¢	$20	0xcaf559…
05-20 03:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xcc9877…
05-20 03:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?	No	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x57d0de…
05-19 21:58:16	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xaa36e2…
05-19 21:58:03	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x76cd3f…
05-19 21:57:58	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x3c54a0…
05-19 14:23:00	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xcb5299…
05-19 14:22:21	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x079b35…
05-19 14:10:50	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x606e33…
05-19 14:10:43	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc795b0…
05-19 14:10:19	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xed1023…
05-17 23:07:26	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5d5e20…
05-17 23:07:18	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe9f270…
05-17 15:24:20	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xbb7949…
05-17 15:24:02	Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc86981…
05-17 15:23:03	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xa7df77…
05-17 15:21:35	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xf6b4e5…
05-16 18:01:12	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe433f6…
05-16 17:57:46	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x66a655…
05-16 08:31:10	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x49ec16…
05-14 23:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xc68eaf…
05-14 23:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x6b9f14…
05-14 05:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xb1cf11…
05-14 05:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xb88bad…
05-14 00:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x5769f1…
05-14 00:56:15	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x7d55c6…
05-13 03:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	76	40¢	$30	0xcba507…
05-13 01:46:07	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd32b26…
05-13 01:45:49	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xcbf272…
05-13 01:45:40	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf0ab83…
05-12 22:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xccdc0d…
05-12 20:18:13	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	Elche CF	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x825a7f…
05-12 14:19:07	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	Elche CF	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x8a3b7e…
05-12 07:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x61fa2b…
05-12 07:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0xc633dc…
05-12 05:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xadd445…
05-12 00:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xe4761e…
05-11 13:47:38	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb7e972…
05-11 13:47:29	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x50e6dc…
05-11 13:47:17	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xef20f8…
05-11 10:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xeaa216…
05-11 04:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xaad134…
05-10 22:43:26	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x06c1fb…
05-10 22:43:19	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x904093…
05-10 22:43:00	Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x8a2743…
05-10 16:14:00	Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x32ec02…
05-10 16:13:53	Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf7eb18…
05-10 16:13:16	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xfb518f…
05-10 16:12:59	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x782a30…
05-10 08:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xbb80ad…
05-10 05:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?	No	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xc27c96…
05-09 13:59:30	Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc7447a…
05-08 09:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x9e0a3e…
05-07 23:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xa65884…
05-07 21:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x7ce17a…
05-07 05:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xce69ad…
05-06 14:02:30	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x28e012…
05-06 05:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x1aafae…
05-05 14:55:58	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x67904c…
05-05 14:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xea5fba…
05-03 04:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x759060…
05-01 03:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xc139eb…
04-30 13:06:40	Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x872e32…
04-28 02:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	202	4¢	$9	0x88148b…
04-27 07:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x449531…
04-27 06:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x43e190…
04-27 06:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	85	22¢	$18	0x315285…
04-26 08:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x7abc3d…
04-26 08:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0x5d24f8…
04-26 05:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	114	4¢	$5	0x96361e…
04-25 16:05:42	Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xc1c735…
04-25 16:05:14	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0xf4149d…
04-25 13:44:16	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xdde0fa…
04-25 13:42:16	Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0x944451…
04-25 11:46:20	Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x658af1…
04-25 10:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	118	25¢	$30	0x6e2e7d…
04-25 10:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	69	43¢	$30	0x065126…
04-25 06:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	No	SELL	117	6¢	$7	0x4eed02…
04-25 05:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x869f4a…
04-25 05:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?	No	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x4c292b…
04-25 05:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?	No	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0x2ede21…
04-25 04:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x7e5551…
04-24 23:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x8b55d4…
04-24 12:36:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x25bd34…