Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$567

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

551

lifetime

Volume

$168.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$305

Open exposure

$14.9K

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-12

last 10-26 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

48% 62% +$1,144

Other

48% 67% +$1,120

Sports

2% 75% +$307

Tech

2% 0% -$137

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	+3,842	$3,601	92¢	$3.6K	-$47	10-26 08:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+3,581	$3,325	99¢	$3.6K	+$226	10-16 20:31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,199	$1,871	88¢	$1.9K	+$53	10-24 01:07
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	+1,800	$1,538	98¢	$1.8K	+$217	10-14 14:50
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	+1,592	$1,530	98¢	$1.6K	+$32	10-24 01:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	+1,600	$1,440	92¢	$1.5K	+$40	10-16 20:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	+1,230	$1,019	86¢	$1.1K	+$45	10-01 11:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	24	$10.1K	6,880	6,880	+0	open	—	10-04 16:14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	15	$8.0K	4,136	4,136	+0	open	—	10-13 18:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	6	$7.4K	3,769	3,769	+0	No	+$135	07-17 20:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	11	$6.4K	3,704	3,704	+0	No	+$756	07-28 18:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	11	$5.9K	3,324	3,324	+0	No	+$389	08-25 09:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	9	$4.3K	2,530	2,530	+0	No	-$23	08-25 09:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners team home 3pt5	13	$4.3K	3,615	1,836	+1,780	Under	-$1,473	07-18 22:44
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$4.0K	2,100	2,100	+0	No	+$146	09-23 16:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	8	$4.0K	2,668	1,440	+1,228	No	+$59	08-25 10:08
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	21	$3.9K	2,892	1,300	+1,592	open	—	10-24 01:16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	4	$3.9K	2,050	2,050	+0	No	+$207	09-21 00:33
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	12	$3.8K	1,988	1,988	+0	No	-$69	08-31 00:01
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	10	$3.8K	3,699	1,500	+2,199	open	—	10-24 01:07
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	10	$3.7K	2,129	2,129	+0	No	-$107	07-27 15:05
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	21	$3.6K	3,842	0	+3,842	open	—	10-26 08:05
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$3.6K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$22	09-20 23:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	8	$3.4K	1,974	1,974	+0	No	-$61	08-18 15:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	9	$3.3K	3,581	0	+3,581	open	—	10-16 20:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	15	$2.9K	2,346	2,346	+0	No	+$533	07-09 11:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	6	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$198	08-14 19:06
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$2.7K	1,717	1,717	+0	Yes	-$23	09-19 21:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$2.7K	1,589	1,589	+0	Yes	-$137	07-15 16:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	11	$2.6K	1,408	1,408	+0	No	+$231	08-11 15:23
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	8	$2.3K	1,196	1,196	+0	Yes	-$25	10-04 02:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	8	$2.2K	1,126	1,126	+0	No	+$58	09-24 11:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	6	$2.1K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$134	10-12 09:07
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 3pt5	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	Argentina	$0	07-19 19:21
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$20	09-19 20:38
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	08-13 06:47
will xi jinping visit us by september 23	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$81	09-23 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:05:33	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	93¢	$71	0x8d0dd6…
10-25 23:24:21	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x02babe…
10-25 23:24:08	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xd609f7…
10-25 23:23:00	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeef22d…
10-25 23:23:00	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2942f1…
10-25 23:22:59	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfc84ba…
10-25 23:22:59	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5cc083…
10-25 23:22:59	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x3d0206…
10-25 21:25:45	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x401ce2…
10-25 21:25:42	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xf1796c…
10-25 21:25:42	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe8fc5f…
10-25 21:25:42	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x461388…
10-24 01:16:24	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	297	97¢	$288	0xc08574…
10-24 01:07:59	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x509f62…
10-24 01:04:35	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0x2f4db9…
10-24 00:48:39	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x46b708…
10-16 20:31:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x98ad92…
10-16 20:31:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xc87da0…
10-16 10:12:07	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0xff8e69…
10-16 10:12:00	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xc9bb29…
10-16 10:05:10	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x989a29…
10-16 10:04:36	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x329a7d…
10-16 10:02:01	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0x0af6ba…
10-16 08:56:55	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xa8a63c…
10-16 08:55:51	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x8a2fe4…
10-16 08:55:45	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x02735e…
10-16 08:46:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x922bd6…
10-16 08:44:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x0af45a…
10-16 08:36:25	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	300	36¢	$108	0xbf9b2b…
10-16 01:08:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xa925d9…
10-14 19:37:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by november 30	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcf2c8e…
10-14 19:36:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by november 30	No	BUY	273	89¢	$243	0x2a3c8c…
10-14 19:16:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by november 30	No	BUY	225	89¢	$201	0xc210ea…
10-14 19:05:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by november 30	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x6be6bf…
10-14 19:03:49	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xa0cf98…
10-14 18:56:33	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xe276f8…
10-14 18:55:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x33f54d…
10-14 14:50:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0xb06f15…
10-14 08:22:17	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x78a9a3…
10-14 06:20:35	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x7848d2…
10-14 06:12:34	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$16	0xb866c4…
10-14 06:09:40	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xe67296…
10-14 06:04:08	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x0a00f5…
10-14 05:26:20	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x465475…
10-14 05:21:20	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd9560e…
10-14 05:21:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x54864f…
10-14 05:20:44	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xb9ffd9…
10-14 05:20:44	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x78fd43…
10-14 05:20:44	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x1858c3…
10-14 02:06:01	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x06b3ad…
10-13 18:57:49	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	326	94¢	$306	0x8c514a…
10-13 18:55:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x5a5a5c…
10-13 18:54:57	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x832d38…
10-13 18:52:13	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,736	99¢	$2,709	0x812bd0…
10-13 14:11:47	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xc57ee0…
10-13 02:55:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x3d4bf4…
10-12 13:15:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x938d97…
10-12 09:07:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$958	0xd40f8d…
10-12 09:03:58	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,399	98¢	$1,377	0xd44f50…
10-12 08:58:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$383	0x90183a…
10-12 08:48:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0x52cd36…
10-12 08:47:04	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	1,300	92¢	$1,196	0xc241fa…
10-06 20:29:09	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x325fbf…
10-06 20:16:39	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x893350…
10-06 12:17:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0x4a8b5f…
10-06 11:44:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x3c929b…
10-06 11:03:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xf16410…
10-06 09:20:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	78¢	$54	0x74e357…
10-06 08:49:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xc4ba2d…
10-06 00:32:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x97ecc8…
10-05 23:30:56	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xfa5a56…
10-05 23:29:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x63f535…
10-05 23:14:46	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	110	60¢	$66	0x9babc6…
10-05 23:14:11	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x8569b2…
10-04 19:25:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xecedaf…
10-04 19:17:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xba387e…
10-04 17:59:59	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	223	92¢	$205	0x5fea39…
10-04 17:07:04	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x66e224…
10-04 16:19:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x13c0eb…
10-04 16:16:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xf09910…
10-04 16:14:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,486	95¢	$1,410	0x656fd9…
10-04 14:09:53	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x8fd9ee…
10-04 14:03:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,100	83¢	$913	0x25d851…
10-04 13:07:29	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x1d582e…
10-04 02:19:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x0ded62…
10-04 02:09:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	1,014	95¢	$963	0x1bab8b…
10-04 02:07:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0xac1466…
10-04 02:01:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	182	96¢	$175	0x8b21af…
10-01 12:00:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	454	97¢	$442	0x2f7923…
10-01 11:05:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0xf77b14…
10-01 11:04:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x30172d…
10-01 11:04:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	96	97¢	$94	0x236fe2…
10-01 07:14:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x9d460d…
10-01 07:12:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	510	97¢	$494	0xdd2c36…
10-01 07:11:29	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	110	61¢	$67	0xa3a881…
10-01 07:03:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d74b5…
10-01 06:55:09	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x171a62…
09-24 16:27:17	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	396	97¢	$382	0x7352d0…
09-24 16:16:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	486	93¢	$452	0x670513…
09-24 14:23:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x2cf5e5…