Waterlogged-Smoke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-08 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$0

Other

33% 100% +$0

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	2	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	04-24 09:32
bitcoin above 68k on april 16	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-15 13:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	2	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-26 21:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	05-23 00:27
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	05-02 20:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	04-15 13:15
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 11:31
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	05-09 05:41
bitcoin above 82k on april 17	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-16 01:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-18 11:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-19 17:31
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-22 08:20
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-13 03:58
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-28 00:49
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-16 10:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-25 23:20
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-26 04:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-19 14:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-23 21:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 05:39
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	05-25 01:05
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-17 20:05
bitcoin above 84k on april 23	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-22 13:15
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	01-28 22:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-26 06:55
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-05 08:19
highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 54forhigher	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-21 03:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-02 05:44
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-17 10:47
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-20 11:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 01:46:22	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6bc1ba…
06-01 13:37:37	Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbaa7b3…
06-01 03:34:49	Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16a671…
05-30 06:23:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x96327c…
05-29 20:06:47	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf835ad…
05-28 00:49:23	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb5e495…
05-26 14:37:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x88f58d…
05-26 12:28:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3deba6…
05-26 06:55:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa506f2…
05-25 23:20:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa95e1b…
05-25 01:05:43	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x2edaf0…
05-24 22:55:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x083ee0…
05-24 18:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9c7736…
05-24 03:08:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8b773b…
05-23 21:52:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x39f186…
05-23 00:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc3df3c…
05-22 03:33:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x68c9c8…
05-19 17:31:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7d8670…
05-19 14:46:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa9c32f…
05-18 11:27:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd363a6…
05-10 01:24:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x779f43…
05-09 05:41:36	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9e8e72…
05-05 05:39:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd96bce…
05-03 17:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe551c6…
05-02 20:09:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x76fed4…
04-30 22:09:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x99dc8a…
04-28 20:54:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xb578c7…
04-27 12:29:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x176df2…
04-27 11:31:18	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbfc955…
04-26 21:42:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdd1190…
04-26 05:38:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x03214b…
04-26 04:41:26	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd19fe5…
04-24 17:53:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6343e7…
04-24 09:32:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x252b1d…
04-24 09:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc78e00…
04-23 17:31:16	ethereum above 2600 on april 24	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc23518…
04-23 11:40:22	ethereum above 2200 on april 23	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9e775a…
04-22 13:15:32	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8743d5…
04-22 08:20:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbea9d4…
04-21 04:24:14	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 21c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7d7cd6…
04-21 03:23:50	highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 54forhigher	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x30e8d7…
04-20 11:18:56	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc49a07…
04-17 23:15:48	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xb6e018…
04-17 20:05:20	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xd0b06e…
04-17 10:47:22	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbc8808…
04-17 01:23:24	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbde0e9…
04-16 10:30:44	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf26f89…
04-16 01:31:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd0a0fd…
04-15 13:15:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x265ad3…
04-15 13:14:56	bitcoin above 68k on april 16	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9b028f…
04-15 04:02:10	bitcoin above 68k on april 16	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0d289e…
04-14 09:49:53	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf967cc…
04-13 21:50:13	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 19c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdc4a51…
04-13 17:02:29	highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 22corhigher	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf877a6…
04-13 03:58:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x280a03…
04-12 15:18:41	ethereum above 2400 on april 13	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x641885…
04-03 20:04:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x996d02…
04-02 05:44:09	highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x531383…
03-15 16:41:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe27952…
03-05 08:19:35	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xa3e12f…
02-12 19:33:35	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcb401b…
02-09 11:58:39	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x494e61…
01-28 22:18:16	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2d96ae…
01-25 10:01:28	will ben shelton win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x676d01…
01-21 08:45:30	will stefanos tsitsipas win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdd35d…
01-04 07:53:41	will no other choice win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe7d412…