Twin-Tin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-02 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 75% +$3

Other

17% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$1.4K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-16 20:11
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	2	$744	376	370	+6	open	—	04-15 15:24
ethereum above 2000 on april 9	10	$659	330	330	+0	open	—	04-09 12:05
bitcoin above 78k on april 12	2	$649	329	322	+7	open	—	04-12 05:30
bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	2	$477	250	230	+20	open	—	04-22 14:39
bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	2	$406	206	206	+0	open	—	06-04 15:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	8	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-12 02:30
will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	3	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	07-02 21:26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	05-20 11:09
bitcoin above 66k on april 21	1	$380	380	0	+380	open	—	04-21 09:14
bitcoin above 64k on june 29 2026	3	$348	250	100	+150	open	—	06-29 06:27
ethereum above 2400 on april 13	1	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	04-13 06:09
bitcoin above 74k on april 10	1	$289	303	0	+303	open	—	04-09 12:28
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$260	262	0	+262	open	—	04-07 07:03
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$259	260	0	+260	open	—	04-08 05:22
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 3	1	$236	237	0	+237	open	—	06-04 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$218	220	0	+220	Yes	+$2	05-13 03:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	1	$209	210	0	+210	open	—	06-03 07:15
bitcoin above 64k on june 11 2026	2	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	06-11 15:13
bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	2	$201	204	0	+204	open	—	07-01 15:59
o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	06-17 16:22
bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	06-04 15:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	1	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	05-25 03:11
bitcoin above 80k on april 23	1	$197	200	0	+200	open	—	04-23 11:25
bitcoin above 72k on april 12	1	$178	200	0	+200	open	—	04-12 12:38
ethereum above 1700 on march 11	2	$149	75	74	+1	open	—	03-11 09:11
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	03-17 16:21
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 10	4	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-11 03:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$111	113	0	+113	No	+$2	05-12 02:03
bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	3	$109	212	110	+101	open	—	06-26 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 21:26:07	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9dd0cd…
07-01 15:59:20	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x58476a…
07-01 15:22:20	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x62c6f2…
07-01 15:03:11	ethereum above 1600 on july 1 2026	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xd437ad…
07-01 14:22:14	ethereum above 1600 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa6e26b…
07-01 12:48:28	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0xcbb07c…
07-01 02:59:28	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd4d062…
06-30 07:27:47	will bitcoin dip to 46k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8d486b…
06-30 07:27:08	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc66d16…
06-29 06:27:49	bitcoin above 64k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0xe22dfa…
06-29 02:45:26	bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbdc04d…
06-29 02:42:41	bitcoin above 64k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x47bd62…
06-29 02:40:20	bitcoin above 56k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xff7667…
06-28 14:00:58	bitcoin above 64k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9eef36…
06-27 15:50:59	ethereum above 1600 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9f8e2d…
06-27 10:24:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe4e21e…
06-27 02:38:04	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 26	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1f0703…
06-26 12:38:32	bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x3909f0…
06-26 06:52:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0x232704…
06-26 03:17:28	bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2c33e4…
06-23 16:19:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x9b8b50…
06-17 16:22:47	o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x790e2b…
06-17 16:22:14	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x065398…
06-15 10:03:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x72b709…
06-14 15:52:55	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x9c5208…
06-14 12:07:13	wti closes above 90 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xaa7368…
06-14 12:04:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x759fff…
06-14 12:02:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd98351…
06-14 12:02:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x72bd56…
06-14 12:01:40	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x32e10e…
06-13 15:54:06	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xf50d72…
06-13 15:32:16	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x2e8100…
06-13 15:16:39	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xeda168…
06-13 15:15:55	bitcoin above 64k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xcf6fce…
06-13 03:06:55	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xefca69…
06-11 15:13:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x063048…
06-11 14:24:43	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x66e942…
06-11 14:02:51	bitcoin above 64k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9a2688…
06-09 17:31:24	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x66437d…
06-04 16:00:30	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x70a90f…
06-04 15:59:25	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x60f313…
06-04 15:57:54	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xf9bf23…
06-04 15:55:49	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x3a5834…
06-04 15:29:58	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x80b64b…
06-04 15:23:42	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x3b1399…
06-04 09:57:57	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x840009…
06-04 03:11:09	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 3	No	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0xa6a2f4…
06-04 02:00:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 3	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xc40eed…
06-04 01:59:40	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 3	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb41768…
06-03 16:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0901e6…
06-03 07:15:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xe6b255…
06-01 15:36:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x866ead…
06-01 15:16:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x164f16…
06-01 14:45:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbde93b…
05-26 03:58:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe4a0ba…
05-25 03:11:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xaece13…
05-25 02:55:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xae80e2…
05-24 12:41:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xc095b8…
05-21 14:25:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x610031…
05-20 13:15:38	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x651c9a…
05-20 11:09:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x6908a7…
05-20 11:01:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07be13…
05-20 11:00:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc227fe…
05-18 04:30:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe7fb7e…
05-18 04:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x43fba7…
05-18 04:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfe6255…
05-15 03:06:16	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x264a04…
05-15 02:34:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 14?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6f323f…
05-15 02:29:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xc4941f…
05-14 16:00:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x90390d…
05-14 15:52:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0a55b6…
05-14 15:51:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xc17442…
05-14 15:30:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x344aa6…
05-14 07:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x806586…
05-14 07:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf4398d…
05-14 06:56:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x313f31…
05-14 03:56:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x5e33c8…
05-14 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x38ecc4…
05-13 03:56:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0x74e2da…
05-12 02:30:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa9c5ab…
05-12 02:30:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x56e29b…
05-12 02:30:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xf15073…
05-12 02:30:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x532fdb…
05-12 02:30:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9e90f0…
05-12 02:30:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xdfd5e1…
05-12 02:30:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe29cd1…
05-12 02:05:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x4b9a7a…
05-12 02:03:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0x66843b…
04-23 11:25:36	bitcoin above 80k on april 23	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xf0fd30…
04-22 14:39:54	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x15de43…
04-22 13:51:08	ethereum up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x75d38e…
04-22 13:10:34	bitcoin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	250	99¢	$247	0xdd6d98…
04-22 13:10:12	ethereum up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xcf04c4…
04-21 09:14:14	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	380	100¢	$380	0x402a82…
04-16 20:11:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	121	74¢	$89	0xc4b219…
04-16 20:10:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xb09495…
04-16 20:05:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0xf3596b…
04-16 20:02:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	166	74¢	$123	0x9a20de…
04-16 18:02:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0x5171b0…
04-16 15:35:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	400	77¢	$308	0x32a24b…