Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
214
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$51
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-24 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
83% 75% +$3
Other
16%
Politics
0%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +40 $39 96¢ $38 $-0 07-12 16:53
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +13 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 07-05 15:16
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 45¢ $1 +$0 07-05 15:16