Runny-Upward — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$920

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-12 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

82% 100% +$1

Other

16% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	04-17 15:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$75	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 08:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	04-26 20:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-26 06:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$64	44	33	+11	open	—	03-09 04:19
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	04-24 19:17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	02-26 13:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$56	45	27	+18	open	—	03-08 19:32
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	02-19 21:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-29 16:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	1	$34	35	0	+35	open	—	04-26 20:51
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$25	26	2	+24	open	—	04-22 07:36
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	02-26 18:44
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-26 13:07
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-26 17:12
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$18	15	4	+10	open	—	03-08 01:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 19:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	03-14 19:27
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-14 13:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$11	17	17	+0	open	—	03-01 01:33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 22:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-08 18:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-08 05:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-08 18:33
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 18:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 08:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-10 21:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-07 23:41
will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 01:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	2	$3	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 19:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:19:51	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x7e7ea7…
06-11 20:57:33	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7d1033…
05-18 19:10:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0xc969cb…
05-13 19:55:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd15193…
05-10 21:11:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x4ecbcf…
05-08 18:37:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x243f37…
05-08 18:37:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x258e7c…
05-08 18:33:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9af3a0…
05-08 05:58:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x84abe9…
05-06 20:01:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x931df1…
05-06 11:18:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa3801c…
05-05 12:14:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9114ac…
05-05 11:26:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x89cdb2…
05-02 14:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xde301b…
05-02 14:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa5f5e4…
05-02 07:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3172d8…
05-02 06:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x21c54d…
05-01 22:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x824c77…
05-01 22:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7720cd…
05-01 22:45:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5493c8…
05-01 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xce0b5b…
05-01 22:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0db3d9…
05-01 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8bbf7a…
05-01 22:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdf1e91…
05-01 22:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4d3be1…
05-01 22:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x70ac0e…
05-01 22:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6521da…
05-01 21:27:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x131bc8…
05-01 21:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x62638b…
05-01 21:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2bbb83…
05-01 16:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x999242…
05-01 16:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x613012…
05-01 16:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5e3a92…
05-01 16:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb483fb…
05-01 12:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf0e7b5…
04-29 16:27:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x070886…
04-26 20:51:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xc64e23…
04-26 20:50:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xee35aa…
04-26 06:24:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xf9cde2…
04-26 06:23:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x513fc7…
04-25 17:33:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x36adeb…
04-24 19:51:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x44791a…
04-24 19:17:36	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf1862b…
04-24 18:14:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x1493f0…
04-24 18:14:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8c1ea5…
04-23 08:28:38	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9cc73c…
04-23 08:20:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7632c0…
04-22 14:48:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x959791…
04-22 11:59:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9f630d…
04-22 07:36:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x897275…
04-21 21:38:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x17b6fd…
04-21 21:33:06	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x6114b1…
04-21 21:29:06	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf4fc5b…
04-18 08:04:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x98bd02…
04-17 15:19:14	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x418ac0…
04-17 15:15:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x75d5c8…
04-17 15:01:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x993122…
04-08 15:23:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xf3791a…
04-08 10:35:29	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf1029d…
04-07 23:51:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xbca011…
04-07 23:44:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x817eab…
04-07 23:43:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x650fec…
04-07 23:42:03	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9ddb8a…
04-07 23:41:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdbad38…
04-06 23:28:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x845a81…
04-06 23:27:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8405b8…
04-06 23:17:59	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbcb8f9…
04-01 04:34:05	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9e4cf2…
04-01 04:31:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa29287…
03-26 11:34:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x762d54…
03-24 21:51:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x41c0c4…
03-23 12:40:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeee610…
03-23 11:13:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xd8171a…
03-23 11:13:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x985a3a…
03-20 20:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf831b9…
03-19 17:15:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3c9c08…
03-18 21:59:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x5f585a…
03-16 21:42:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x91ecee…
03-15 01:58:59	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x89aabf…
03-14 19:29:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x550350…
03-14 19:27:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x592e8b…
03-14 16:11:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xa5faa3…
03-14 13:25:03	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x295872…
03-10 11:17:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x57beb2…
03-09 04:19:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xac976f…
03-08 19:32:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x246a59…
03-08 19:32:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x5959f3…
03-08 13:39:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	12	90¢	$10	0x3646ca…
03-08 01:22:59	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x240996…
03-08 01:22:25	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x85e08a…
03-08 01:16:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x8d9426…
03-06 21:35:55	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x2bfc92…
03-04 00:10:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x048d4c…
03-03 23:34:21	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xead9c5…
03-03 22:31:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3ba388…
03-03 21:08:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0xd750c2…
03-03 20:42:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0x7eaa56…
03-03 20:42:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0xbd925b…
03-01 08:11:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x609322…
03-01 08:10:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x78afed…