Clever-Deformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,065

lifetime

Volume

$55.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-01 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

25% 100% +$29

Sports

9% — —

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	21	$2.0K	1,258	1,185	+74	open	—	05-27 22:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	12	$1.5K	1,098	1,098	+0	open	—	05-29 04:18
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	8	$1.3K	822	880	-58	open	—	06-16 03:15
will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	18	$1.3K	747	747	+0	open	—	06-28 18:38
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	29	$1.2K	637	637	+0	open	—	03-27 14:25
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	9	$968	526	526	+0	open	—	05-09 15:23
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$846	600	600	+0	open	—	06-11 02:12
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	14	$777	415	415	+0	open	—	03-31 06:18
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$768	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-30 09:00
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	12	$723	500	500	+0	open	—	06-26 13:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	11	$697	393	393	+0	open	—	04-29 10:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$668	400	400	+0	open	—	05-24 15:47
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$651	370	370	+0	open	—	05-31 09:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$606	340	340	+0	open	—	04-22 08:42
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	9	$589	311	311	+0	open	—	03-29 05:43
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 first half total 0pt5	1	$568	860	0	+860	open	—	06-29 16:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$537	510	506	+4	open	—	04-08 00:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$537	339	339	+0	open	—	05-16 07:54
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	1	$515	780	0	+780	open	—	07-01 15:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$505	276	276	+0	open	—	05-11 13:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$498	600	0	+600	open	—	06-11 17:24
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$492	241	321	-80	open	—	04-01 01:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	7	$488	290	290	+0	open	—	05-25 08:57
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	6	$475	260	260	+0	open	—	03-31 01:08
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	2	$465	300	300	+0	open	—	06-14 22:57
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	1	$450	570	0	+570	open	—	06-28 18:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	8	$444	380	380	+0	open	—	05-23 23:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	12	$441	503	3	+500	open	—	04-22 16:23
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$424	297	297	+0	open	—	03-31 00:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	6	$421	220	220	+0	open	—	04-10 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 15:25:47	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	No	BUY	780	66¢	$515	0x3274be…
06-30 09:00:10	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	1,200	64¢	$768	0x74c9f2…
06-29 16:22:46	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	860	66¢	$568	0xa6f794…
06-28 18:39:49	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	570	79¢	$450	0xffa785…
06-28 18:38:46	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x3f02d1…
06-28 18:38:44	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xd33989…
06-28 18:38:43	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	120	94¢	$113	0x96cb0f…
06-28 18:38:41	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	86	94¢	$81	0xe9a3c0…
06-27 08:58:07	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x857ef8…
06-27 08:58:04	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	165	93¢	$154	0x6f9e23…
06-27 08:57:50	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	89	94¢	$83	0x2062e7…
06-26 13:06:12	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xc26cc5…
06-26 13:04:57	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xcdf32a…
06-26 13:04:07	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	376	65¢	$245	0xdcb977…
06-26 13:03:33	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	247	88¢	$218	0x3d3d38…
06-25 23:58:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	109	1¢	$1	0xa4d461…
06-25 23:16:13	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	247	88¢	$218	0x8f4a39…
06-25 23:12:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x48e514…
06-24 23:15:23	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	98	97¢	$95	0xab5c12…
06-24 23:11:41	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	265	66¢	$175	0xfe5367…
06-24 23:11:31	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	135	66¢	$89	0x448451…
06-24 23:08:46	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x0f4c9d…
06-24 19:12:01	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Qatar	BUY	350	64¢	$224	0xf4b05d…
06-24 01:08:28	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe359d3…
06-24 00:35:16	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	260	20¢	$52	0x6af581…
06-23 22:55:37	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	260	56¢	$146	0x6d8772…
06-23 22:55:17	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	310	45¢	$140	0xd2dff7…
06-23 22:01:44	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd73ea…
06-23 20:02:34	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	England	BUY	280	37¢	$104	0xed8549…
06-23 20:02:19	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	290	62¢	$180	0x7ac9d5…
06-23 16:28:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	330	46¢	$152	0x7bb09b…
06-23 16:28:23	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	240	68¢	$163	0x42abbd…
06-23 02:51:17	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x84958b…
06-23 00:59:11	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x248dfa…
06-23 00:03:47	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xec10c3…
06-22 21:12:04	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	380	48¢	$182	0x939d68…
06-22 17:11:55	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	300	37¢	$111	0x226b12…
06-22 16:16:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x50f36f…
06-22 15:45:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xf624fc…
06-22 15:12:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	SELL	75	94¢	$71	0x46b135…
06-22 15:11:29	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	SELL	99	94¢	$93	0x91c9b9…
06-22 00:57:26	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0x33cb3a…
06-22 00:56:43	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	New Zealand	BUY	420	68¢	$286	0x62b0b9…
06-21 22:11:29	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0xf1be50…
06-21 22:11:28	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	91	59¢	$54	0x902c55…
06-21 22:11:28	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x1f3b29…
06-21 22:09:43	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x1b40e9…
06-21 18:51:19	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	710	43¢	$305	0x82dcc5…
06-21 15:29:56	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	536	52¢	$279	0x14bfdc…
06-21 04:23:16	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Tunisia	BUY	320	44¢	$141	0x7371a8…
06-21 02:19:20	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$27	0xbdb476…
06-20 23:46:28	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Curaçao	BUY	450	58¢	$261	0xff19cd…
06-20 13:51:04	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	113	62¢	$70	0x750e7f…
06-20 13:23:01	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf4a1c2…
06-20 13:12:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x7a9e67…
06-20 13:12:38	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x45f19e…
06-20 13:12:28	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xac2edc…
06-20 13:11:04	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	82	62¢	$51	0xac8445…
06-20 10:48:58	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x5cdc36…
06-20 01:16:26	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x0b01de…
06-20 00:45:32	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	420	67¢	$281	0xdd6c00…
06-20 00:45:10	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8c2496…
06-20 00:45:07	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	61	64¢	$39	0x8135ef…
06-20 00:45:05	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb7c33c…
06-20 00:44:58	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x29c919…
06-20 00:44:52	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0xa19473…
06-20 00:44:52	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x402fc1…
06-20 00:44:50	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	72	64¢	$46	0x42f321…
06-19 22:34:10	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	346	52¢	$180	0xb1e5e0…
06-19 22:33:58	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x91eeec…
06-19 22:33:38	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xdf59a8…
06-19 22:33:38	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x285703…
06-19 00:01:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x33f4f1…
06-18 11:23:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xce9432…
06-18 11:21:34	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	520	67¢	$348	0x3cc6ff…
06-18 02:14:31	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0x9dff48…
06-17 23:12:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x4b3f0e…
06-17 20:06:26	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	278	33¢	$92	0x36112e…
06-17 13:25:47	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xd9e94c…
06-16 20:01:13	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	300	29¢	$87	0x3afda3…
06-16 19:52:22	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0xeb8063…
06-16 17:54:56	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0xc91733…
06-16 15:44:32	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x63bc40…
06-16 14:55:47	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x31ace7…
06-16 14:55:44	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfbf356…
06-16 14:55:23	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe4124d…
06-16 08:42:09	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xbab3f2…
06-16 08:42:03	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6e3bf2…
06-16 08:41:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	17	49¢	$9	0xc3fd5e…
06-16 08:41:03	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdd33c2…
06-16 08:40:15	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0xd491fa…
06-16 08:36:54	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	34	49¢	$16	0x08bc87…
06-16 08:35:40	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x4348b6…
06-16 08:31:57	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	52	49¢	$25	0x7995da…
06-16 08:07:31	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	184	49¢	$90	0x77f15c…
06-16 03:15:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	632	99¢	$629	0x83813a…
06-16 03:10:51	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc996dc…
06-16 02:43:06	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x76c132…
06-16 02:41:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0x5c2ddd…
06-15 18:06:54	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	322	70¢	$226	0x163dee…