Clever-Deformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

+$207

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

949

lifetime

Volume

$42.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$88

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-11 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

32% 100% +$29

Sports

12% — —

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-500	$-110	18¢	$-88	+$22	06-01 14:08
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No		-230	$-185	0¢	$-0	+$184	06-04 14:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	21	$2.0K	1,258	1,185	+74	open	—	05-27 22:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	12	$1.5K	1,098	1,098	+0	open	—	05-29 04:18
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	29	$1.2K	637	637	+0	open	—	03-27 14:25
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	9	$968	526	526	+0	open	—	05-09 15:23
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$846	600	600	+0	open	—	06-11 02:12
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	14	$777	415	415	+0	open	—	03-31 06:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	11	$697	393	393	+0	open	—	04-29 10:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$668	400	400	+0	open	—	05-24 15:47
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$651	370	370	+0	open	—	05-31 09:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$606	340	340	+0	open	—	04-22 08:42
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	9	$589	311	311	+0	open	—	03-29 05:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$537	510	506	+4	open	—	04-08 00:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$537	339	339	+0	open	—	05-16 07:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$505	276	276	+0	open	—	05-11 13:37
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$492	241	321	-80	open	—	04-01 01:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	7	$488	290	290	+0	open	—	05-25 08:57
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	6	$475	260	260	+0	open	—	03-31 01:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	8	$444	380	380	+0	open	—	05-23 23:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	12	$441	503	3	+500	open	—	04-22 16:23
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$424	297	297	+0	open	—	03-31 00:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	6	$421	220	220	+0	open	—	04-10 15:54
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$403	227	227	+0	open	—	03-14 07:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	5	$394	299	299	+0	open	—	05-14 10:50
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	5	$387	210	210	+0	open	—	03-27 09:43
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	3	$370	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 17:00
crude oil all time high by march 31	6	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 00:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	3	$360	193	192	+1	open	—	04-12 07:04
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 00:07
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	3	$357	188	187	+1	open	—	04-04 00:25
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$348	247	247	+0	open	—	06-09 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 02:57:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	SELL	191	70¢	$134	0x61fc07…
06-11 02:57:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x346e47…
06-11 02:57:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x09dae4…
06-11 02:30:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xdad85d…
06-11 02:30:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0c1d90…
06-11 02:30:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb7a31a…
06-11 02:30:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x602a19…
06-11 02:30:12	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9fb395…
06-11 02:30:12	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x4fa678…
06-11 02:30:01	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xc81e0f…
06-11 02:30:01	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0da284…
06-11 02:29:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xee46a6…
06-11 02:29:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x45cff6…
06-11 02:29:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x27c379…
06-11 02:29:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xeb2ab0…
06-11 02:29:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x90cd4f…
06-11 02:29:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x425e21…
06-11 02:29:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 220pt5	Under	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x03c124…
06-11 02:12:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	600	94¢	$564	0x5034da…
06-10 12:33:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	264	43¢	$115	0x1a4a33…
06-10 12:32:57	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xf014f5…
06-10 12:31:21	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xac8d44…
06-10 12:30:30	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x38caf0…
06-10 09:02:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	600	47¢	$282	0xe7a213…
06-10 08:58:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	41	44¢	$18	0x8c6542…
06-09 03:26:04	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	247	94¢	$232	0x1a94d2…
06-09 00:41:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	247	47¢	$116	0x5bbf42…
06-08 08:20:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x794779…
06-08 07:35:06	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	Yes	SELL	153	10¢	$15	0xcb3df7…
06-04 17:40:06	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	101	59¢	$60	0xd3ebb2…
06-04 17:39:22	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x7bf642…
06-04 17:39:21	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x30451a…
06-04 17:39:21	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x1a4110…
06-04 17:39:04	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x5fee0d…
06-04 17:39:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x25fd39…
06-04 17:38:58	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0xa0ca56…
06-04 17:38:19	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x7ba322…
06-04 17:38:03	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0xcd4aa3…
06-04 17:36:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xef25f8…
06-04 17:36:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xac95f4…
06-04 17:35:57	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x1b72cc…
06-04 17:35:51	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xc7a096…
06-04 17:35:45	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x6680bd…
06-04 17:35:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x48aa30…
06-04 17:35:15	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xcd4244…
06-04 15:43:18	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	345	92¢	$317	0xbf3e0d…
06-04 14:00:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xe15751…
06-04 14:00:00	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$161	0x1361d0…
06-04 13:59:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x9c2f70…
06-02 17:00:17	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x5036a5…
06-02 00:24:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4e5322…
06-02 00:21:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xed45ff…
06-01 14:13:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x473a91…
06-01 14:09:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	23¢	$45	0xd732d9…
06-01 14:09:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	120	12¢	$14	0x61080c…
06-01 14:08:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0x8e4309…
05-31 09:00:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	370	98¢	$363	0x3e87fc…
05-30 09:35:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	59¢	$42	0xa9222a…
05-30 09:34:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xd1667f…
05-30 09:31:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x58aa94…
05-30 09:25:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	59¢	$32	0xe45506…
05-30 09:25:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x861c24…
05-30 09:09:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x7f3fef…
05-30 08:21:09	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	53	32¢	$17	0x82e6e2…
05-30 08:21:04	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	87	32¢	$28	0x7fa15e…
05-30 04:06:00	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	171	20¢	$34	0xde1650…
05-30 03:10:23	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	151	20¢	$30	0x4193be…
05-29 19:04:14	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xafb687…
05-29 19:03:51	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x3c4337…
05-29 19:03:49	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	71	20¢	$14	0x787ee1…
05-29 16:38:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x5a5c63…
05-29 16:38:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	114	78¢	$89	0x77202b…
05-29 04:18:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0x7d3177…
05-29 04:00:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	115	59¢	$68	0x54ff91…
05-29 03:58:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x39af48…
05-28 11:11:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	31	86¢	$26	0xe11e1b…
05-28 10:59:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	269	86¢	$232	0x272d5b…
05-28 09:19:18	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	No	BUY	160	74¢	$118	0x0f07ba…
05-28 09:17:23	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	32¢	$23	0xc37348…
05-28 09:13:02	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	No	BUY	140	74¢	$104	0xfd6982…
05-28 08:43:31	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	135	32¢	$43	0x586fe1…
05-28 08:40:43	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	162	32¢	$52	0x73f436…
05-28 08:22:13	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	126	32¢	$40	0x0f492e…
05-28 06:28:02	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	103	60¢	$62	0x152ec3…
05-28 03:47:23	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x646080…
05-28 03:09:39	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	171	50¢	$86	0xd89989…
05-28 03:09:00	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xba0995…
05-28 03:08:55	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x403e5a…
05-28 03:08:34	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0e7cd2…
05-28 01:32:29	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x632977…
05-28 01:31:09	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x8a34e3…
05-27 22:55:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x412317…
05-27 22:55:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x75cc4a…
05-27 22:40:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	77	93¢	$72	0x41f35c…
05-27 16:54:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x3c1156…
05-27 16:10:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x84ca94…
05-27 16:09:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x9405ac…
05-27 16:09:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x78574d…
05-27 16:09:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x458111…
05-27 16:04:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	23	93¢	$22	0x49b8fc…