Gray-Boot — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$1.33K

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,656 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.41M lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.67K

Open exposure

$16.3K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

48% 73% +$4,908

Crypto

46% 89% +$2,748

Politics

5% 86% +$4,989

Sports

1% 68% -$5,089

Tech

0% 100% +$1,074

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+13,500	$12,555	98¢	$13.3K	+$736	09-08 02:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+2,850	$1,987	90¢	$2.6K	+$564	09-09 06:07
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+400	$368	98¢	$392	+$24	08-21 11:25
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	+41	$39	98¢	$40	+$1	09-11 06:05
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$16	94¢	$21	+$5	05-19 14:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	188	$1.97M	1,975,209	0	+1,975,209	No	+$3,950	01-02 23:20
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	114	$1.85M	1,858,722	0	+1,858,722	No	+$5,576	01-19 06:49
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	48	$102.7K	106,257	0	+106,257	No	+$3,599	01-20 02:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$52.3K	40,586	12,000	+28,586	No	+$268	05-15 10:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	9	$49.6K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$350	07-23 10:01
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	14	$46.7K	44,199	4,000	+40,199	No	+$1,487	01-31 08:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	231	$45.4K	46,928	46,928	+0	No	+$5,570	06-02 15:48
dtrump out as president by september 30	22	$36.2K	36,749	0	+36,749	No	+$589	09-05 00:36
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	59	$34.8K	35,000	0	+35,000	No	+$245	08-08 19:36
Iran leadership change by June 30?	9	$25.0K	27,107	0	+27,107	No	+$2,079	06-10 19:36
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	11	$13.6K	13,970	0	+13,970	No	+$383	08-09 02:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$12.6K	13,500	0	+13,500	open	—	09-08 02:15
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	26	$8.9K	9,382	0	+9,382	Yes	+$521	05-22 14:55
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$8.0K	4,200	4,200	+0	No	+$348	01-20 02:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	7	$7.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$171	05-26 05:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	25	$7.1K	9,360	0	+9,360	Yes	+$2,252	07-23 12:39
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	48	$5.9K	6,311	0	+6,311	Yes	-$5,876	01-31 09:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	29	$4.9K	5,254	0	+5,254	No	+$319	05-24 11:30
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	7	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$210	05-22 23:22
will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	12	$4.4K	4,594	0	+4,594	No	+$181	08-09 11:42
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$4.4K	5,200	0	+5,200	Yes	-$4,402	05-25 04:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	26	$4.4K	5,099	0	+5,099	Yes	+$746	09-04 02:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	84	$4.3K	7,089	2,711	+4,378	Yes	-$1,997	05-28 10:09
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	3	$4.0K	2,040	2,040	+0	No	+$59	05-26 04:59
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	7	$4.0K	4,217	0	+4,217	No	+$223	05-22 18:19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$64	05-24 02:43
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$3.9K	4,008	0	+4,008	Yes	+$140	01-20 02:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	6	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$177	05-26 08:00
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	7	$3.5K	1,700	2,088	-388	No	+$331	01-20 02:19
will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	6	$3.2K	1,656	1,656	+0	No	+$110	01-31 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:35:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,350	3¢	$120	0x1f146a…
09-30 09:40:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	5¢	$40	0x34cd35…
09-28 05:17:29	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	6¢	$38	0xe598fb…
09-26 07:22:02	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1b7f6c…
09-26 06:34:08	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$1	0xd12cc4…
09-26 02:49:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x07169a…
09-26 02:40:08	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x62f367…
09-26 02:40:08	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	37¢	$95	0x5011f5…
09-26 01:42:00	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xf4352a…
09-26 01:41:51	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x7c3007…
09-26 01:41:51	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x722c4f…
09-26 01:41:51	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x390ee8…
09-26 01:41:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9740e4…
09-26 01:41:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x429f84…
09-26 01:41:47	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb3b4a9…
09-26 01:41:47	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x95f61b…
09-26 01:40:35	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	55¢	$58	0xcaa50e…
09-26 01:40:35	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x9b83f0…
09-26 01:40:35	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x428475…
09-26 01:40:35	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x3f9316…
09-26 01:39:00	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe5f7f7…
09-26 01:37:41	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x8ac2b1…
09-21 00:42:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	6¢	$48	0x564055…
09-20 15:48:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$201	0xf34997…
09-19 12:22:03	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	467	100¢	$466	0xb805b8…
09-19 12:14:29	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0b0a78…
09-19 11:21:57	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x09e2f9…
09-19 10:25:17	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x29e7aa…
09-19 10:21:53	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3acc5a…
09-19 10:21:50	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfaeda3…
09-19 10:21:50	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xf40121…
09-19 10:21:50	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe7fcb2…
09-19 10:21:50	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x7b035b…
09-19 10:21:50	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x62ec9f…
09-19 10:21:50	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0acdf7…
09-18 14:51:55	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x178dc7…
09-18 14:48:57	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0xa17048…
09-18 13:32:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x043811…
09-17 13:21:07	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xe80302…
09-17 13:21:07	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	43¢	$113	0xc8663e…
09-17 13:21:07	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xbd8fe5…
09-17 13:21:07	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x9b56fb…
09-17 13:21:07	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x197b15…
09-17 13:20:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xb30c2c…
09-17 13:20:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x9916d7…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xb7c491…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x4c8dcf…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x32c1e3…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x11b6a0…
09-17 13:20:27	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0aadb8…
09-17 13:19:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xcdc46b…
09-17 13:19:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xb1bbca…
09-17 13:19:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x00702b…
09-17 13:19:46	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	46¢	$66	0x511606…
09-17 13:19:46	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	46¢	$14	0x37ad31…
09-17 13:19:27	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0xd7b119…
09-17 13:18:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0xd64643…
09-17 08:43:18	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	348	77¢	$268	0x794ffa…
09-17 00:17:37	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x956e4e…
09-16 22:26:18	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x2b35a4…
09-16 18:37:57	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xfd0d4b…
09-16 18:36:04	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdd379c…
09-16 18:33:18	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x76480f…
09-16 18:25:57	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xc939c1…
09-16 18:25:57	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x73d247…
09-16 18:25:57	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	80¢	$90	0x427767…
09-16 18:25:57	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	80¢	$158	0x15bdf0…
09-16 07:10:34	Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	113	94¢	$107	0x335b6c…
09-15 18:32:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x29a73c…
09-15 16:23:58	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0xd75972…
09-15 16:23:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	18¢	$43	0xf4ceeb…
09-15 14:41:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	10¢	$24	0x7c46ab…
09-15 14:06:34	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xb2fb1d…
09-15 13:49:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xa80865…
09-15 13:45:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x9bddc0…
09-15 13:45:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	150	86¢	$129	0x9bddc0…
09-14 22:48:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0x946013…
09-14 02:34:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0x18e867…
09-13 15:55:22	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	82¢	$293	0x6e56fd…
09-13 15:28:49	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	82¢	$35	0x41a222…
09-13 14:15:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x03175f…
09-13 12:53:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	28¢	$252	0xcf66d8…
09-13 12:53:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	30¢	$270	0x83c366…
09-13 12:45:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	26¢	$234	0x128b6f…
09-13 06:28:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	24¢	$216	0x3a3ae0…
09-11 09:24:24	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in August?	No	BUY	2,250	99¢	$2,228	0xbac82f…
09-11 06:05:06	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x3d9528…
09-10 20:26:24	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	168	94¢	$159	0x5ed3eb…
09-09 06:07:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	99	72¢	$71	0x0ab6eb…
09-08 23:23:27	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xc2b3b3…
09-08 21:58:28	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$378	0x027ca9…
09-08 20:14:54	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	71	95¢	$67	0xc4f3db…
09-08 19:11:16	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0x793bdf…
09-08 14:59:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x0179e7…
09-08 14:51:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x4985a3…
09-08 14:40:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x315c1a…
09-08 14:40:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc45017…
09-08 13:42:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x79421f…
09-08 12:29:48	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xde8213…
09-08 11:55:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x46e32b…