Past-Connotation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$952

Unrealized P&L

-$69

Hit rate

3.8%

Resolved (90d)

219

Trades (90d)

1,576 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$42.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$397

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-16 13:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

100% 5% -$954

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	Yes	-200	-$166	99¢	$-199	-$32	04-30 05:41
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?	No	-200	-$166	99¢	$-198	-$32	04-29 22:51
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	-0	$0	86¢	$-0	$0	05-10 23:57
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	+0	-$6	91¢	$0	+$6	05-16 09:00
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	+0	$10	2¢	$0	-$10	05-16 06:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?	42	$1.7K	1,629	1,629	+0	No	-$175	05-15 11:38
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	49	$1.5K	977	977	+0	Yes	-$2	05-16 12:57
Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?	12	$926	482	482	+0	No	-$2	05-12 21:13
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?	11	$888	700	700	+0	No	-$70	05-11 10:20
Will the Republican Party win the GA-13 House seat?	17	$878	699	699	+0	No	-$11	05-15 08:07
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?	29	$866	614	614	+0	Yes	-$21	05-16 06:15
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?	8	$794	800	800	+0	Yes	-$10	05-11 16:06
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat?	5	$766	600	600	+0	Yes	-$6	05-11 17:05
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	30	$755	768	768	+0	Yes	-$126	05-16 05:35
Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?	4	$744	400	400	+0	No	-$4	05-09 23:47
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	29	$718	435	435	+0	Yes	-$2	05-15 23:04
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?	25	$716	1,002	1,002	+0	Yes	-$54	05-16 05:40
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	20	$703	176,200	176,200	+0	Yes	-$2	05-03 21:13
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?	28	$693	481	481	+0	No	-$29	05-16 07:35
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?	19	$690	422	422	+0	Yes	-$7	05-16 13:06
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	60	$569	348	348	+0	Yes	$0	05-10 07:25
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	33	$536	662	662	+0	Yes	-$8	05-16 05:00
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	25	$531	515	515	+0	open	—	05-16 06:10
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	8	$528	650	650	+0	No	-$6	05-16 05:45
Will the Republican Party win the CA-51 House seat?	55	$506	265	265	+0	No	$0	05-11 03:38
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	19	$502	479	479	+0	No	-$3	05-12 11:56
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	11	$494	500	500	+0	Yes	-$46	05-16 07:35
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat?	6	$490	450	450	+0	Yes	-$6	05-11 13:21
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	25	$461	420	420	+0	open	—	05-16 09:00
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-01 House seat?	36	$453	240	240	+0	No	$0	05-12 21:43
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?	11	$430	282	282	+0	No	-$1	05-15 15:33
Will the Republican Party win the GA-05 House seat?	7	$420	600	600	+0	No	-$16	05-10 21:44
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?	6	$416	600	600	+0	No	-$12	05-11 03:28
Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?	6	$416	600	600	+0	No	-$8	05-12 21:13
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-01 House seat?	8	$409	470	470	+0	Yes	-$6	05-15 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 13:26:22	Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x8859f9…
05-16 13:22:34	Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x729706…
05-16 13:21:21	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x31011c…
05-16 13:17:33	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x02455b…
05-16 13:06:21	Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0xd0f641…
05-16 13:01:48	Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xbd6444…
05-16 12:57:38	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xe2f39f…
05-16 12:57:33	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x59bcbc…
05-16 12:46:19	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xcc8b80…
05-16 12:46:17	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x9696e6…
05-16 12:41:16	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x6b3acf…
05-16 12:38:00	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x84ad68…
05-16 12:36:45	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x583fb9…
05-16 12:26:15	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x9f6876…
05-16 12:21:14	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xa3822f…
05-16 12:21:14	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x17ce2c…
05-16 12:19:01	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x0018b0…
05-16 12:17:41	Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2d1b12…
05-16 12:16:13	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x28991b…
05-16 12:10:55	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xfa67dd…
05-16 11:56:11	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xf2dce0…
05-16 11:52:29	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xdb66fb…
05-16 11:36:10	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	No	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x1b5343…
05-16 11:26:10	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x8624d8…
05-16 11:17:37	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x26bda9…
05-16 10:21:15	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x43602b…
05-16 10:16:15	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xee7b46…
05-16 10:11:27	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xafbb17…
05-16 10:01:14	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0x09c9ab…
05-16 09:57:11	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0xa4f54f…
05-16 09:11:09	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x21ac78…
05-16 09:05:04	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0xb2c47e…
05-16 09:00:59	Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x4c2d95…
05-16 08:56:06	Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x59ee49…
05-16 08:45:57	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x99a604…
05-16 08:37:33	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x7b2ba6…
05-16 08:37:16	Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd8825c…
05-16 08:37:11	Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x72ddf9…
05-16 08:05:53	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcf1946…
05-16 08:05:53	Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	39	9¢	$4	0x24b985…
05-16 08:00:52	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x457836…
05-16 08:00:52	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0x0bf679…
05-16 07:54:18	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x243274…
05-16 07:35:50	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa3b2fe…
05-16 07:35:49	Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xf5f318…
05-16 07:35:49	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xba1cc2…
05-16 07:35:49	Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x371140…
05-16 07:30:46	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0xb5d610…
05-16 07:25:05	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xf071b8…
05-16 06:55:35	Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	27	84¢	$23	0xec6432…
05-16 06:45:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x310dc4…
05-16 06:45:33	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0xc0bfd3…
05-16 06:40:43	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x08eb9a…
05-16 06:15:26	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3225c3…
05-16 06:15:26	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x257248…
05-16 06:10:25	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x1a6e84…
05-16 06:10:23	Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xc40c5c…
05-16 06:10:23	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xaf3002…
05-16 06:05:22	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0xf09544…
05-16 06:05:22	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x1076e0…
05-16 06:00:19	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x170d52…
05-16 06:00:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x05f397…
05-16 05:59:32	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xbe1827…
05-16 05:59:06	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xfa3286…
05-16 05:52:44	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xd9654e…
05-16 05:52:44	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xc604c4…
05-16 05:50:15	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x32de4c…
05-16 05:45:14	Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	27	84¢	$23	0xf476e9…
05-16 05:45:14	Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?	No	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xea445c…
05-16 05:45:14	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xe62f4d…
05-16 05:45:14	Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xc0b4fb…
05-16 05:45:14	Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xac7f50…
05-16 05:45:14	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xa59db6…
05-16 05:45:14	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6b7148…
05-16 05:45:14	Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x497320…
05-16 05:40:41	Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x78bd39…
05-16 05:40:12	Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd0accb…
05-16 05:40:12	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xae73fc…
05-16 05:40:12	Will the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x56d849…
05-16 05:40:12	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x2118d4…
05-16 05:40:10	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?	Yes	SELL	32	92¢	$29	0xf60e44…
05-16 05:40:10	Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0xe36826…
05-16 05:40:10	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xccfc27…
05-16 05:40:10	Will the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat?	No	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xc7bdfa…
05-16 05:40:10	Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xbe1613…
05-16 05:40:10	Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x92ebfc…
05-16 05:40:10	Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x78b1dd…
05-16 05:40:10	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x3fc52e…
05-16 05:40:10	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x2d0b28…
05-16 05:40:08	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xee1899…
05-16 05:40:08	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x72f55a…
05-16 05:40:08	Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x621e6f…
05-16 05:40:08	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	46	79¢	$36	0x5eb432…
05-16 05:40:03	Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x7e867b…
05-16 05:35:33	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x7c264e…
05-16 05:35:33	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x48e69b…
05-16 05:35:33	Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x4875f3…
05-16 05:35:33	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x113873…
05-16 05:35:32	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	46	79¢	$36	0xf60454…
05-16 05:35:32	Will the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat?	No	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xd3c40b…